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Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Latest episodes

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Apr 30, 2025 • 44min

Did the Stock Market Win the Tariff Throwdown? (Ep. 133)

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dissect the market’s strong rally amid tariff turmoil and examine whether policy pullbacks from Washington are signaling a win for the stock market.The duo also dives into technical indicators, sentiment extremes, earnings expectations, and the broader economic implications of continued trade tensions with China. Plus, a golden discussion — literally — about gold’s recent surge and what it might mean for investors.Key Takeaways:Markets vs. TariffsPolicy SensitivityMarket Breadth & TechnicalsNear Bear MarketsTrade Impact LagFed & Policy OutlookEarnings ExpectationsSentiment ExtremesGold SurgeConnect with Ryan: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseQuestions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#StockMarket #Tariffs #MarketUpdate #EconomicOutlook #InvestorSentiment #S&P500 #Gold #MarketRally #FederalReserve #EarningsSeason #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #FinancialPodcast
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Apr 23, 2025 • 45min

Cathie Wood is Back! (Ep. 132)

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, are joined by Cathie Wood of Ark Invest to unpack the state of innovation in finance, the market’s reaction to tariffs, and the evolving role of AI, Bitcoin, and government in shaping the future economy.Together, they explore whether we are entering a recession or exiting one, and how long-term investors can cut through short-term volatility. Cathie also shares her thoughts on manufacturing reshoring, AI’s role in diagnostics and automation, OpenAI’s dominance, and why Bitcoin might just be getting started. Key Takeaways:Market headwinds are turning into tailwindsRisk of a recession is on the riseTariff chaos could be offset some by tax cuts and deregulationAI will catalyze every sectorBitcoin and gold can be hedges against market volatility, but there’s still uncertaintyManufacturing is coming back to the U.S., but with more automationThe government’s role in innovation is evolving as the private sector progressesConnect with Cathie:•       X: @cathiedwoodConnect with Ryan:•       LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick•       X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:•       LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese•       X: @sonusvarghe Relevant Hashtags:#CathieWood #ARKInvest #Bitcoin #AI #Tariffs #Innovation #StockMarket #Recession #FactsVsFeelings #TechnologyInvesting #CarsonGroup #FinancialPodcast #OpenAI #Automation #EconomicOutlook #RollingRecession #Reshoring #DigitalAssets #Investing
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Apr 16, 2025 • 50min

Is The Recession Imminent? (Ep. 131)

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dissect the ripple effects of tariffs, high interest rates, and a wavering investment environment on the U.S. and global economies.With companies freezing investment plans and government spending cooling off, the duo explores how the consumer remains the last line of economic defense—so long as the labor market holds. They also explore why the Fed might be making a mistake by keeping rates elevated, the possibility of a white-flag moment from President Trump, and how diversification remains the smartest play during times of uncertainty.Key TakeawaysTariffs Are Already Reshaping Corporate Behavior GDP Growth is Vulnerable Labor Market is the Tipping Point Fed Policy May Be Too Tight for Too Long The Market’s Bull Case? Trump Waves the White Flag Next Week's Guest: Cathie Wood Our next episode will feature Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood, as we’ll dive into tech and recession perspectives.Connect with Ryan: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseMusic Credit: Ryan the Savior of Stocks – by Jake Guttman (This song was created using A.I.) https://suno.com/song/c11f8ece-b4b8-45f0-b6e6-ae0e761708b7Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com#FactsVsFeelings #Markets #Tariffs #FedPolicy #GDP #LaborMarket #Investing #Diversification #InterestRates #TrumpEconomy #CathieWood #EconomicOutlook #ConsumerSpending
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Apr 9, 2025 • 45min

Welcome to the Crash of 2025 (Ep. 130)

Dive into the aftermath of recent tariffs and their shocking impact on the markets, as the Dow takes a nosedive. Explore the looming possibility of a recession and rising inflation due to tariff-induced price hikes. Discover why diversification in investment portfolios is more crucial than ever as market volatility increases. The hosts also share insights on navigating trade relationships, economic strategies, and even throw in some light-hearted personal anecdotes that connect life's unpredictability to market trends.
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Apr 2, 2025 • 1h 3min

Celebrating Women's History Month with Jess Menton and Kate Hall (Ep. 129)

In this special episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, welcome Jess Menton, Senior Reporter at Bloomberg News, and Kate Hall, VP, Alternative Due Diligence, at Carson Group. The conversation explores career growth, industry challenges, and what the future holds for female leaders in financial services.Key Takeaways:The importance of representation: Women in leadership serve as role models, paving the way for future generations.Overcoming industry challenges: Jess and Kate share personal experiences navigating male-dominated spaces in finance.The power of mentorship: The guests discuss how building strong networks and mentorship opportunities are key to helping advance women in the industry.Market insights: The panel discusses economic trends, investing strategies, and the current state of the markets.Advice for the next generation: The group talks about how to encourage young women considering careers in finance and how the industry can better support them.This is more than just a market discussion—it’s about leadership, resilience, and the future of finance.Connect with Ryan: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseConnect with Jess Menton:LinkedIn: Jessica MentonX: @JessicaMentonConnect with Kate Hall:LinkedIn: Kate K. HallHashtags#FactsVsFeelings #MarketTrends #Economy #FedPolicy #StockMarket #Turkey #InterestRates #Inflation #Investing #LaborMarket
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Mar 26, 2025 • 1h

Celebrating Women's History Month with Lindsey Bell and Debbie Taylor (Ep. 128)

In this special episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, welcome Lindsey Bell, Chief Market Strategist at Clearonomics, and Debbie Taylor, Managing Partner and Chief Tax Strategist at Carson Wealth, for a special Women’s History Month Livestream. Together, they discuss their careers, recent market trends, and how investors can navigate today's economic landscape.Key Takeaways:Market Insights & Volatility – Are recent corrections normal? We take a look at the stock market’s history following recent corrections. The Role of Women in Finance – Lindsey and Debbie share their career journeys, the challenges they faced along the way, and lessons from their time in the financial industry. Tax Strategies & Planning – Debbie discusses tax efficiency, investment strategies, and financial planning for long-term success. Economic Trends & Consumer Behavior – What do earnings growth, job markets, and tariffs mean for investors?Connect with Ryan: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseConnect with Lindsey:LinkedIn: Lindsey BellX: @justLBellConnect with Debbie:LinkedIn: Debbie TaylorQuestions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com
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Mar 19, 2025 • 44min

Correction, How Worried Should We Be? (Ep. 127)

The recent sharp decline in the S&P 500 triggers a fascinating discussion about market corrections and recovery patterns. Historically, quick drops often lead to significant rebounds. Investor sentiment is bearish, reminiscent of 2009, presenting potential buying opportunities. While domestic markets stumble, international stocks show surprising resilience. The hosts delve into the effects of inflation trends and the Fed's role, all while advocating the necessity of diversification across portfolios to navigate these turbulent times.
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Mar 12, 2025 • 47min

Talking Pies, Pi Day & Patty’s Day with Warren Pies (Ep. 126)

Warren Pies, Co-founder of 3Fourteen Research, joins the discussion, offering expertise in macro quantitative research. They explore the latest job numbers, stressing that despite concerns, key indicators like residential construction payrolls are holding steady. The Fed's challenge of finding a neutral interest rate and its potential impact on economic growth takes center stage. Additionally, they celebrate Pi Day and St. Patrick’s Day with lighthearted anecdotes about favorite pies and Chicago's iconic green river tradition.
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Mar 5, 2025 • 45min

Growth Scare (Ep. 125)

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into the latest market volatility, tariff concerns, and whether the economy is truly slowing down or if fears are overblown. Despite uncertainty, they analyze the data behind the "growth scare" and discuss whether the bull market still has room to run.Key Takeaways:Market Volatility & Growth Concerns: Stocks have pulled back due to new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, but history shows that early-year volatility in a post-election cycle is normal.Tariffs & Economic Impact: Tariffs are sparking concerns, but the lack of a dollar surge suggests it may not spiral into a full trade war.Stock Market Resilience: While tech has struggled, financials, real estate, and consumer staples have shown strong performance, proving the market can broaden out beyond large-cap tech.Fed & Interest Rates: Despite inflation fears, rate cuts remain on the table for later this year, potentially providing a tailwind for stocks.Seasonal Trends & Historical Context: The first quarter of post-election years tends to be choppy, but historical data suggests a stronger market performance in the coming months.Consumer Spending & Economic Data: A sharp drop in GDP expectations is mostly driven by a trade imbalance and tariff front-loading, rather than an actual economic collapse.What’s your take on the markets? Drop a comment below and let us know! Don't forget to like, subscribe, and share for weekly market insights!Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu Varghese#StockMarket #Investing #MarketVolatility #Tariffs #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #BullMarket #FederalReserve #FinancePodcast #CarsonGroup
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Feb 26, 2025 • 54min

Denominator Blindness (Ep. 124)

Explore the latest market dynamics as stocks hit record highs despite concerns over tariffs and inflation. Discover the potential for Fed rate cuts and impressive earnings growth across sectors. The hosts discuss surprising resilience in consumer finances amid rising debt and the complexities of economic indicators. They highlight the importance of diversification in uncertain times and share entertaining personal stories alongside valuable insights into market trends.

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