Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Dive into the aftermath of recent tariffs and their shocking impact on the markets, as the Dow takes a nosedive. Explore the looming possibility of a recession and rising inflation due to tariff-induced price hikes. Discover why diversification in investment portfolios is more crucial than ever as market volatility increases. The hosts also share insights on navigating trade relationships, economic strategies, and even throw in some light-hearted personal anecdotes that connect life's unpredictability to market trends.

In this special episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, welcome Jess Menton, Senior Reporter at Bloomberg News, and Kate Hall, VP, Alternative Due Diligence, at Carson Group. The conversation explores career growth, industry challenges, and what the future holds for female leaders in financial services.Key Takeaways:The importance of representation: Women in leadership serve as role models, paving the way for future generations.Overcoming industry challenges: Jess and Kate share personal experiences navigating male-dominated spaces in finance.The power of mentorship: The guests discuss how building strong networks and mentorship opportunities are key to helping advance women in the industry.Market insights: The panel discusses economic trends, investing strategies, and the current state of the markets.Advice for the next generation: The group talks about how to encourage young women considering careers in finance and how the industry can better support them.This is more than just a market discussion—it’s about leadership, resilience, and the future of finance.Connect with Ryan: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseConnect with Jess Menton:LinkedIn: Jessica MentonX: @JessicaMentonConnect with Kate Hall:LinkedIn: Kate K. HallHashtags#FactsVsFeelings #MarketTrends #Economy #FedPolicy #StockMarket #Turkey #InterestRates #Inflation #Investing #LaborMarket

In this special episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, welcome Lindsey Bell, Chief Market Strategist at Clearonomics, and Debbie Taylor, Managing Partner and Chief Tax Strategist at Carson Wealth, for a special Women’s History Month Livestream. Together, they discuss their careers, recent market trends, and how investors can navigate today's economic landscape.Key Takeaways:Market Insights & Volatility – Are recent corrections normal? We take a look at the stock market’s history following recent corrections. The Role of Women in Finance – Lindsey and Debbie share their career journeys, the challenges they faced along the way, and lessons from their time in the financial industry. Tax Strategies & Planning – Debbie discusses tax efficiency, investment strategies, and financial planning for long-term success. Economic Trends & Consumer Behavior – What do earnings growth, job markets, and tariffs mean for investors?Connect with Ryan: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseConnect with Lindsey:LinkedIn: Lindsey BellX: @justLBellConnect with Debbie:LinkedIn: Debbie TaylorQuestions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

The recent sharp decline in the S&P 500 triggers a fascinating discussion about market corrections and recovery patterns. Historically, quick drops often lead to significant rebounds. Investor sentiment is bearish, reminiscent of 2009, presenting potential buying opportunities. While domestic markets stumble, international stocks show surprising resilience. The hosts delve into the effects of inflation trends and the Fed's role, all while advocating the necessity of diversification across portfolios to navigate these turbulent times.

Warren Pies, Co-founder of 3Fourteen Research, joins the discussion, offering expertise in macro quantitative research. They explore the latest job numbers, stressing that despite concerns, key indicators like residential construction payrolls are holding steady. The Fed's challenge of finding a neutral interest rate and its potential impact on economic growth takes center stage. Additionally, they celebrate Pi Day and St. Patrick’s Day with lighthearted anecdotes about favorite pies and Chicago's iconic green river tradition.

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into the latest market volatility, tariff concerns, and whether the economy is truly slowing down or if fears are overblown. Despite uncertainty, they analyze the data behind the "growth scare" and discuss whether the bull market still has room to run.Key Takeaways:Market Volatility & Growth Concerns: Stocks have pulled back due to new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, but history shows that early-year volatility in a post-election cycle is normal.Tariffs & Economic Impact: Tariffs are sparking concerns, but the lack of a dollar surge suggests it may not spiral into a full trade war.Stock Market Resilience: While tech has struggled, financials, real estate, and consumer staples have shown strong performance, proving the market can broaden out beyond large-cap tech.Fed & Interest Rates: Despite inflation fears, rate cuts remain on the table for later this year, potentially providing a tailwind for stocks.Seasonal Trends & Historical Context: The first quarter of post-election years tends to be choppy, but historical data suggests a stronger market performance in the coming months.Consumer Spending & Economic Data: A sharp drop in GDP expectations is mostly driven by a trade imbalance and tariff front-loading, rather than an actual economic collapse.What’s your take on the markets? Drop a comment below and let us know! Don't forget to like, subscribe, and share for weekly market insights!Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu Varghese#StockMarket #Investing #MarketVolatility #Tariffs #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #BullMarket #FederalReserve #FinancePodcast #CarsonGroup

Explore the latest market dynamics as stocks hit record highs despite concerns over tariffs and inflation. Discover the potential for Fed rate cuts and impressive earnings growth across sectors. The hosts discuss surprising resilience in consumer finances amid rising debt and the complexities of economic indicators. They highlight the importance of diversification in uncertain times and share entertaining personal stories alongside valuable insights into market trends.

Summary:In this episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into the rising cost of eggs and other factors contributing to inflation stickiness. They also discuss the stock market flirting with an all-time high, when to expect cuts from the Fed, and much more!Key Takeaways:The S&P 500 is near an all-time high despite economic concerns.Inflation remains a hot topic, with rising egg prices making headlines.Momentum is driving market performance, with all 11 S&P sectors in positive territory.Housing, auto insurance, and used cars are the primary contributors to inflation stickiness.The Fed remains in a cutting bias, but rate cuts may not happen until midyear.Trade and tariff policies have the potential for long-term market impacts.The possibility of a government shutdown is looming, adding another layer of uncertainty.Retail sales took a surprising hit, but that may be due to recent extreme weather and seasonality.Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comConnect with Ryan:LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu:LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseRelevant Hashtags:#StockMarket #Investing #Inflation #InterestRates #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #Eggflation #FederalReserve #Tariffs #PersonalFinance #CarsonGroup

Summary: In this episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss the biggest economic and market concerns beyond tariffs. They dive into historical market indicators, the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates, employment trends, and whether the third year of a bull market signals trouble. The duo also touches on global markets, the effects of potential retaliatory tariffs, and the latest employment data revisions.Key Takeaways:·       Tariff Uncertainty: New tariffs on steel and aluminum imports could lead to retaliatory measures from Europe and other trade partners.·       Market Indicators: The December low indicator flashed a warning, though broader market trends remain resilient.·       Federal Reserve & Interest Rates: The Fed is taking a cautious approach, possibly delaying rate cuts until later in the year or even 2026.·       Employment Trends: Payroll revisions lowered job growth estimates, but productivity gains remain a silver lining.·       Market Breadth & Leadership Shift: Large-cap tech stocks show signs of lagging, while broader market participation remains mixed.·       Historical Trends: Year three of a bull market tends to be weaker, averaging only a 2% gain.·     Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com  Connect with Ryan:  ·    LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick·     X: Ryan Detrick Connect with Sonu:  ·    LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese·      X: Sonu Varghese Relevant Hashtags: #StockMarket #Investing #Economy #Tariffs #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Finance #MarketTrends #WealthManagement #Trading #EconomicOutlook

In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group,  dive into the latest tariff drama, analyzing its potential impact on the economy, markets, and inflation. They explore past trade wars, the Fed’s stance on inflation uncertainty, and how fiscal policy—especially potential tax cuts—could shape 2025. Plus, they discuss the January market rally, historical trends for February, and why volatility is a necessary part of investing.Ryan and Sonu discuss:Tariffs create uncertainty, but history shows markets adapt.The Fed’s rate cut timeline may be delayed due to inflation concerns.Fiscal policy could offset the impact of tariffs, especially with potential tax cuts.Despite uncertainty, broadening market trends and strong corporate earnings remain positive.February has historically been weak post-election, but the long-term outlook remains bullish.Resources: ●         Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com  Connect with Ryan Detrick:  ●         LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick●         X: Ryan Detrick Connect with Sonu Varghese:  ●         LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese●         X: Sonu Varghese Publishing Tags: #FinancialMarkets #Investing #StockMarket #Economy #Tariffs #TradeWar #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #GlobalEconomy #StockMarketAnalysis #EconomicPolicy #PersonalFinance #FinancialPlanning #InvestorEducation #MarketVolatility #Trading #WealthManagement #FinancePodcast