Forward Guidance
Blockworks
The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Felix Jauvin interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they envision.Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_incFollow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ForwardGuidanceBWFollow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidanceForward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx
Episodes
Mentioned books
24 snips
Jan 8, 2025 • 60min
Higher Bond Yields To Wreak Havoc In 2025 | Jonny Matthews
Jonny Matthews, a renowned portfolio manager with experience at Brevin Howard and Citigroup, shares his expertise on the economic landscape. He discusses the implications of Fed policy on rising bond yields and the resilience of the U.S. labor market. Matthews sheds light on the potential consequences of the Trump Administration's market strategies and offers insights into investment tactics for uncertain times, focusing on the intricate relationship between productivity, inflation, and economic growth.
47 snips
Dec 28, 2024 • 1h 9min
How Macro Trading Veterans Are Thinking About 2025 | David Cervantes & DCP
David Cervantes, a macro investor at Pinebrook Capital, shares valuable insights on the economic landscape, including reflections on the FOMC's recent decisions. He draws parallels between today's market conditions and the 1990s, discussing how traders manage their emotions during volatility. The conversation touches on the impact of recent Federal Reserve policies, expectations for 2025, and strategies for navigating inflation amidst political shifts. Cervantes emphasizes the importance of a resilient mindset in adapting to market changes.
9 snips
Dec 23, 2024 • 58min
Debating The Impact Of A Bitcoin Strategic Reserve | Travis Kling
Travis Kling, CIO of Ikigai Fund, shares his insights from a background in traditional finance. He discusses financial nihilism and the logistics of a U.S. Bitcoin strategic reserve, pondering its potential impact on global monetary policy. Kling dives into how this reserve might reshape Bitcoin's price trajectory and the interplay with central bank dynamics. He also tackles wealth inequality stemming from quantitative easing and the philosophical implications for Bitcoin owners, highlighting a cautious optimism for its future.
15 snips
Dec 21, 2024 • 1h 11min
Post-FOMC Fallout: Did The Fed Get It Right? | Weekly Roundup
Danny Dayan, a financial expert known for his sharp insights on economic trends, joins the discussion on the recent Federal Reserve decisions. They dissect the volatility spikes in the markets and the ongoing risks posed by China's economy. The conversation shifts to the labor market's state and the implications of interest rate strategies. They also delve into how geopolitical tensions are reshaping investor sentiments and market dynamics, including the importance of understanding historical precedents and adapting strategies for future growth.
36 snips
Dec 18, 2024 • 52min
This Is Peak Hawkishness From The Fed | Joseph Wang
Joseph Wang, an expert on the Federal Reserve and financial markets, dives into the latest Fed decisions and their impact on economic projections. He predicts more than two rate cuts next year and expresses a bearish outlook on US equities for 2025. The discussion highlights the Fed's hawkish shift and the market's volatile reaction, while exploring the intricacies of the Fed's communication strategy. Wang also analyzes how geopolitical factors influence asset dynamics, including currencies and commodities like gold and Bitcoin.
48 snips
Dec 14, 2024 • 1h 3min
How Long Can The Goldilocks Market Last? | Weekly Roundup
This discussion delves into the small-cap trade and upcoming Fed decisions, tackling whether inflation fears are exaggerated. The impact of China’s balance sheet recession and the evolving dynamics of Bitcoin and MicroStrategy are explored. Conversations on housing affordability add depth, while the complex relationship between US-China affairs reveals competitive undertones. Innovative blockchain solutions promise a fee-free experience, all while analyzing market trends amidst geopolitical tensions, making for an insightful and engaging listen.
73 snips
Dec 12, 2024 • 1h 7min
Rethinking Rate Cuts: Are We Fueling Inflation Or Controlling It? | Warren Mosler
Warren Mosler, a renowned economist and pioneer of modern monetary theory, tackles the complexities of monetary policy and its real-world effects. He discusses how interest rates influence economic health and the misconceptions surrounding trade deficits. The conversation highlights the intricate connection between government spending and inflation, emphasizing the need for a shift in fiscal strategies. Mosler critiques outdated economic models and argues that budget deficits shouldn't be feared in a fiat currency system, offering fresh perspectives on today’s economic challenges.
30 snips
Dec 7, 2024 • 1h 10min
The Post-Payrolls Debate: Growth, Inflation, And Rate Cuts | Weekly Roundup
This week features Capital Flows, a macroeconomic expert and author known for analyzing market trends. They dive into the November jobs report and the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts. The conversation touches on the complexities of ongoing inflation, contrasting economic indicators, and the implications of credit market dynamics. Additionally, they explore the evolution of blockchain technology and its transformative power in finance, particularly regarding gas-free transactions, and the intricate relationship between labor, inflation, and Bitcoin in today's economy.
18 snips
Dec 4, 2024 • 45min
Is The U.S. Entering A Golden Age Of Capitalism? | Dan Tapiero
Dan Tapiero, Managing Partner and CEO of TenTen Holdings, dives into his bullish outlook on macro trends and the potential golden age of capitalism. He discusses his transition from gold to Bitcoin, emphasizing its transformative impact on investments. Tapiero highlights the future of decentralized finance, the essential role of self-custody, and strategic investment in Bitcoin amidst fiat inflation. The conversation also covers the dollar's relationship with Bitcoin and the significance of generational shifts affecting financial systems.
9 snips
Nov 25, 2024 • 54min
Why The Fed Rate Cuts Were A Mistake | Michael Kao
Michael Kao, a finance expert known for his deep analysis of macroeconomic trends, argues that the Fed's recent rate cuts were misguided. He discusses the ramifications of a strong dollar and rising oil prices while weighing the likelihood of renewed inflation. Kao evaluates the labor market's inflationary pressures and how geopolitical tensions affect the U.S. dollar's status. The conversation also dives into market dynamics, speculations on future Fed decisions, and the potential volatility stemming from political shifts.
