Forward Guidance
Blockworks
The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Felix Jauvin interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they envision.Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_incFollow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ForwardGuidanceBWFollow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidanceForward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx
Episodes
Mentioned books
5 snips
Nov 23, 2024 • 1h 1min
Mastering Risk Management In A Rotational Market | Weekly Roundup
Dive into risk management strategies tailored for a rotational market! The hosts unravel the complexities of navigating crypto sentiments, emphasizing investor psychology and the impact of macroeconomic indicators. They analyze trends in the volatility index and how market seasonality shapes trading behavior. The rise of Bitcoin as a decentralized finance alternative sparks a discussion on reevaluating traditional assets. Finally, they explore innovative financial strategies, especially in emerging sectors, pushing for a forward-thinking approach amidst economic challenges.
Nov 16, 2024 • 58min
Exercising Caution Amid Market Euphoria | Weekly Roundup
This week, the conversation dives deep into the Federal Reserve's evolving policies and their impact on interest rates and market dynamics. There's an engaging analysis of small versus large cap stocks amidst current economic conditions. The discussion shifts to the intriguing world of cryptocurrencies, examining trading strategies and the psychological effects of market euphoria. With a focus on Bitcoin and the influence of central banking, the hosts emphasize the need for caution as traders navigate these volatile waters.
82 snips
Nov 13, 2024 • 1h 8min
Breaking Down Trump's Potential Trade & Economic Policies | Stephen Miran
Stephen Miran, a senior strategist at Hudson Bay Capital and veteran of the Trump administration, shares keen insights on potential future trade and economic policies. He discusses how Trump's tariff strategies could shift global dynamics, the complex role of the dollar as a reserve currency, and the implications of a Mar-a-Lago Accord aimed at currency manipulation. Miran also analyzes the balance of trade and national security, and speculates on how deregulation and energy policy could drive economic growth while avoiding inflation.
4 snips
Nov 12, 2024 • 1h 8min
The Stock Market Melt Up Is About To Accelerate | George Robertson
George Robertson, an expert in monetary policy and macroeconomics known for his contrarian views, dives into the absence of effective monetary policy. He critiques the Fed's shifting strategies, asserting that traditional models no longer suffice. The conversation examines fiscal policies driving nominal GDP growth, the implications of recent economic surprises, and potential stock market mania on asset values. Robertson warns of the risks associated with these market dynamics, emphasizing the need for nuanced financial discourse.
7 snips
Nov 9, 2024 • 56min
Positioning For The New Post-Election Market Regime | Weekly Roundup
This week dives into post-election market dynamics and the surprising optimism from voters. There's a riveting discussion on the rise of decentralized media and its effect on political narratives. Investors learn about the dangers of excessive caution leading to missed opportunities. The implications of recent Fed decisions on market volatility and bond yields are examined. Lastly, explore cryptocurrency prospects, especially Bitcoin, in a favorable political climate and how emerging regulations could shape its future.
Nov 8, 2024 • 53min
Biggest Takeaways From The Fed Interest Rate Decision | Bob Elliot
In this discussion, Bob Elliot, CIO of Unlimited Funds, shares expert insights on the Fed's recent interest rate cut and its anticipated effects on markets. He highlights the complexities of inflation, labor market dynamics, and the Fed's independence amidst political shifts. Elliot suggests that a balance between equities and gold might be wise in the current environment. He also dives into the risks of corporate credit and the implications of global easing policies, painting a vivid picture of today's challenging financial landscape.
4 snips
Nov 6, 2024 • 58min
Unpacking The Election’s Impact On Markets | Cem Karsan
Cem Karsan, founder of Kai Volatility Advisors and expert in market volatility, dives into the election's influence on financial landscapes. He explores the rise of populism under Trump and its broader societal impacts. Karsan highlights how recent elections have shaped market volatility and the Federal Reserve's response. The conversation also touches on historical lessons about inflation and the challenges of coordinating monetary policy during politically charged times. A rich analysis of market dynamics sets the stage for navigating future uncertainties.
Nov 2, 2024 • 55min
Why The Macro Is Still Bullish Liquidity | Weekly Roundup
This week, experts analyze the latest job growth trends and rising unemployment influenced by external factors. The discussion shifts to the implications of the upcoming elections on market volatility and investor sentiment. Key insights are shared on MicroStrategy's strong earnings linked to Bitcoin, and the strategic significance of recent Treasury borrowing strategies. The conversations highlight how generational factors and economic stability shape current market dynamics, igniting debates around liquidity and the Trump trade.
43 snips
Oct 29, 2024 • 58min
Where Are We In The Bull Market? | Jurrien Timmer
Jurrien Timmer, Director of Macro at Fidelity Investments, shares his insights on the current bull market's dynamics. He discusses how earnings and valuations are interplaying amidst rising interest rates. Timmer also analyzes the risks associated with U.S. debt levels and potential inflation reacceleration. He highlights the unique traits of today’s market compared to historical trends and explores alternative investments like gold and Bitcoin as protection strategies. Tune in for a captivating take on what lies ahead for investors!
Oct 26, 2024 • 1h 3min
Is It Too Late To Buy Election Hedges? | Weekly Roundup
This week, the hosts dive into the dynamics of the bond market and the impact of rising yields. They explore the intricate relationship between election probabilities and market behavior, particularly regarding potential candidates. Discussions shed light on MicroStrategy's Bitcoin strategy and the implications of hedging costs amidst volatility. The group also examines the overarching themes of interest rates and political dynamics, pondering how these factors will shape future market conditions.
