Bloomberg Surveillance

Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, says we are always flying blind in this economy. Douglas Holtz-Eakin, American Action Forum President, discusses debt-limit talks between Biden and McCarthy. Diana Amoa, Kirkoswald Asset Management CIO of Long Biased Strategies, says valuations aren't "based purely on fundamentals," and that investors are getting "FOMO." Larry Adam, Raymond James Chief Investment Officer, says tech continues to reinvent itself. Mandeep Singh, Bloomberg Intelligence, discusses Nvidia soaring on strong AI demand outlook.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Greg Peters, PGIM Fixed Income Co-CIO, says the yield curve is already pricing in a recession. Oliver Chen, Cowen Senior Equity Research Analyst, discusses the slump in European luxury retailers. James Lucier, Capital Alpha Partners Senior Political Analyst, discusses debt-limit talks and DeSantis' potential announcement of his 2023 presidential bid on Twitter with Musk. Liz Young, SoFi Head of Investment Strategy, says the market is showing "pretty classic late cycle behavior." Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, explains why he thinks the debt ceiling is a sideshow distracting investors from the seriously negative ramifications of a top heavy market.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Savita Subramanian, BofA Global Research Head of US Equity & Quantitative Strategy, raises her 2023 target for the S&P 500.Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief US Policy Strategist, discusses debt-limit talks between Biden and McCarthy. Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist, sees a recession starting in the second half of this year. Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management Chief Economist, says a recession is on the horizon. Bill Winters, Standard Chartered CEO, is not expecting another banking crisis. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Despite the lack of a banking crisis, Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of US Rates Strategy sees credit tightening conditions lingering.Christopher Marinac of Janney Montgomery Scott sees regional banks "marching forward" with lending and profits. Lisa Hornby, Schroders Head of US Multi-Sector Fixed Income sees a cautious Fed saying they "may go a little bit further"Michael O'Leary, CEO of Ryanair sees airfares rising 5-10% for the next couple of years.Bloomberg's Annmarie Hordern reports on the US debt ceiling. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Sonali Basak, Bloomberg News Wall Street Correspondent says Morgan Stanley CEO Jim Gorman announcing he will resign in the next 12 months is the surprise news from today's AGM.Priya Misra, TD Securities Global Head of Rates Strategy says she sees the Fed hiking one more time and "it's a high bar for them to keep going".Henrietta Treys, Veda Partners Economic Policy Research Director says there is a 2% chance the US defaults on its debt. Jordan Rochester, Nomura G-10 FX Strategist says the dollar will zigzag the rest of this year like it did in 2021. David Bailin, Citi Global Wealth CIO says putting money overseas right now is a "gimmee".Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

 John Kirby, National Security Council Coordinator for Strategic Communications says if you don't take care of the nation's debt, virtually nothing else matters in terms of what you're trying to do around the world. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief US Economist says the Fed is close enough to restrictive. Barbara Reinhard, Voya Investment Management Head of Asset Allocation sees the US outpacing the rest of the world with inflation data "likely to go our way". Joe Feldman, Telsey Advisory Group Senior Research Analyst says consumers are stronger than we think and have money to spend. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research Founder & President. says there's likely more pain to come thanks to the ongoing bank turmoil. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Amy Wu Silverman of RBC Capital Markets says the market consensus is bearish and the tale of optimism doesn't exist. Libby Cantrill of PIMCO believes a deal on the debt ceiling is "imminent," and could come together by this weekend. Mike Schumacher of Wells Fargo Securities says global inflation remains stubborn. Michael Gapen of BofA Securities says a Fed rate hike in June can't be ruled out. Chris Marinac of Janney Montgomery Scott says banks are in a goog spot and getting better each quarter. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Marvin Loh, State Street Senior Global Macro Strategist, says a recession is unavoidable. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO Economist says the consumer is hanging in there following retail sales data. Lindsay Rosner, Portfolio Manager at PGIM Fixed Income says the inflation battle is not over, and says a move into fixed income makes sense. Chuck Grom of Gordon Haskett warns of a "discretionary recession" in retail. Isaac Boltansky, BTIG Director for Policy Research says hearings rarely change policy ahead of the Senate hearing on the failures of SVB and Signature Bank. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Stuart Kaiser, Citi Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, says we're "bouncing into a ceiling and a floor" between 3,800 and 4,200 on the S&P 500. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says 2Q GDP could actually surprise to the upside. Oscar Munoz, Former United Airlines CEO, discusses the state of the airline industry. Janno Lieber, MTA Chair & CEO, discusses safety and affordability of New York City public transit. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief US Policy Strategist, discusses Biden, McCarthy's upcoming debt-limit meeting. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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