UBS Asset Management Allocation Strategist, BNP Paribas Chief US Economist, Defiance ETFs CEO and CIO, and Deepwater Asset Management Managing Partner discuss topics including the stock market, tech growth vs cashflow companies, memorable hockey moments and crypto investments, productivity trends and economic sentiment, investing in Bitcoin and wealth management services, MEC's Magnificent Seven and private late stage AI companies, and the intersection of technology and entertainment.
AI technology is expected to contribute 20-30% to the overall growth of tech giants like Apple and Microsoft, indicating significant long-term potential.
Regulation in the AI industry may focus on issues like water marking and prevention of malicious AI use, rather than hindering overall growth, allowing the tech industry to continue driving significant investment in AI.
Deep dives
Importance of AI in the Tech Industry
AI is expected to have a significant impact in the tech industry, particularly for companies like Apple and Microsoft. The Magnificent Seven tech giants, along with other AI-first companies, are investing heavily in AI technology, which is expected to contribute 20-30% to their overall growth. While there may be concerns about iPhone demand and app store policies, the long-term potential of AI in these companies is significant. Additionally, there is anticipation for upcoming IPOs in the AI space, which could further drive the growth of this sector.
Sum of Parts Analysis for Apple and Microsoft
When considering the sum of parts for Apple, the company's services, including the iPhone business and other devices, contribute to its overall value. Despite concerns about iPhone demand and app store policies, the impact of these factors is expected to be minimal. Apple is viewed as a company with immense potential, and some estimate its value to exceed $3 trillion. On the other hand, Microsoft's sum of parts analysis revolves around its cloud business and the potential uptake of co-pilot in their office suite. A strong presence in the cloud market, along with the expected revenue increase from co-pilot usage, contributes to Microsoft's significant growth potential.
Investment in AI and Regulation
Investment in AI is expected to continue and grow, particularly among tech giants. While concerns about regulation and potential impact may arise, it is unlikely to hinder the substantial growth expected in the AI industry. Tim Cook from Apple has expressed the importance of regulation and Apple's willingness to comply. However, the focus of regulation may revolve around issues like water marking and prevention of malicious AI use rather than hindering overall growth. The tech industry, as a whole, will continue to tackle regulatory challenges while also driving significant investment in AI.
Future of Tech and AI
The tech industry, including AI and related sectors, is anticipated to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years. Companies heavily invested in AI, such as Apple and Microsoft, are expected to drive significant advancements in this field. Although concerns about regulation and potential market pauses may arise, the long-term potential of AI remains strong. Additionally, upcoming IPOs in the AI space are expected to contribute to the growth and development of this sector, leading to further innovations and opportunities.