Bloomberg Surveillance: Tesla Slumps, Netflix Soars
Jan 25, 2024
auto_awesome
Guests Ed Hyman, Lucas Shaw, Garrett Nelson, and Jane Foley discuss topics including inflation, interest rates, the labor market, the Hollywood entertainment industry, Tesla's stock slump, the non-Tesla EV market, challenges in Tesla's Cybertruck production, and the impacts of the Euro Yen exchange rate, ECB comments, and fiscal situation on markets.
Tesla's strong demand for EVs, including the Cybertruck, indicates resilience in the market despite investor concerns over slowing auto shipment growth.
The dynamics of Euro Yen can affect Japanese corporations differently depending on their exposure to exports and domestic consumption.
Deep dives
Investor concerns over slowing auto shipment growth in 2024 affect Tesla stock
Tesla's stock has faced some profit-taking due to investor concerns over the company's guidance of slowing auto shipment growth in 2024. However, this was already anticipated by analysts, and Tesla's strong demand for EVs, including the Cybertruck, indicates resilience in the market. While non-Tesla EVs have struggled to sell well, Tesla's market share in the US EV market was 55% last year. Additionally, Tesla's confirmation of a next-gen mass-market EV signals future growth opportunities, despite manufacturing challenges.
Impact of Euro Yen dynamics on Japanese corporations
The Euro Yen currency pairing has an impact on Japanese corporations, depending on their exposure to exports and domestic consumption. A weaker yen benefits Japanese exporters like Toyota, as it helps stimulate demand and allows them to export inflation through pricing. However, companies focused on the domestic market may face challenges, such as higher commodity prices and difficulty passing on costs to consumers. The dynamics of Euro Yen can affect different corporations in different ways.
European Central Bank's cautious stance and potential rate cut impact on European currencies
The recent cautious stance of the European Central Bank (ECB), including the indication of a possible summer rate cut, has influenced European currencies, such as the Euro. While ECB President Christine Lagarde's comments didn't explicitly confirm a rate cut, the lack of forceful pushback against market expectations allowed the market to speculate on earlier rate cuts. The focus on data and the absence of pushback suggest the potential for earlier ECB actions. However, market pricing and economic uncertainties remain influential factors in European currency movements.
Political and fiscal considerations impact the British pound sterling
Political dynamics and fiscal considerations play a role in the valuation of the British pound sterling. The anticipation of tax cuts by UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt to bolster the Tory party's electoral prospects might have a limited impact due to the party's lower polling numbers. Furthermore, the new government will face a challenging fiscal situation, potentially being the worst fiscal position in 70 years. This might lead to a need for fiscal discipline. As a result, the upcoming UK election might not have significant market implications, given memories of past fiscal concerns in the markets.