The Bayesian Conspiracy

Matt’s back which means we have some more AI stuff to talk about! KataGo was built as an adversary to AlphaGo and can beat it 94% of the time using a mere 8% of the computational power! The trick to it ties into an older LessWrong post – The Strangest Thing an AI Could Tell You. 0:00:50 – LK99 0:10:08 – KataGo 1:33:20 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:37:27 – Less Wrong Posts 1:51:54 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Feel the Meaning The Argument from Common Usage Next Sequence Posts: Empty Labels Taboo Your Words

We talk with Aella about some of the results of her absolutely massive sex & kink survey LINKS Aella’s Substack Aella’s Twitter You don’t need a perfectly random sample for useful data, jfc Women Prefer More Violent Porn Monogamous men in long-term relationships aren’t doin too hot Want to maybe marry Aella? Here’s her Date-Me Doc, and info more links: We speak with Adam Mastroianni on The Rise and Fall of Peer Review My kink survey design methodology Who Took My Big Kink Survey? Updated Age of fetish onset, by sex, gender, orientation, and dom/sub How taking hormones impacts sexual preferences Escorts are the ER Doctors of Relationships Why Your Polyamorous Friend’s Relationship Sucks Eneasz on Nerds Bloom Late (Socially) 0:00:23 – Survey Data Literacy 0:29:58 – Women Prefer More Violent Porn 0:53:48 – Monogamous men aren’t doin too hot 1:17:11 – Feedback 1:23:53 – Less Wrong Posts 1:37:16 – Thank the Patron 1:38:08 – Guild of the Rose Update We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: How An Algorithm Feels From Inside Disputing Definitions Next Sequence Posts: Feel the Meaning The Argument from Common Usage

Kill yourself for no reason, or save others? Lisatomic’s Poll Roko’s Poll Eneasz’s annoyance Scissor’s Statements origin

Musicgen lets anyone make a quick music snippet and Audiogen is surprisingly good at generating non-confusing sounds! These tools are currently free and will no doubt be mind blowing in just a few months when better, paid versions come out. Musicgen Audiogen

We speak with Yassine Meskhout of The Bailey about… a whole bunch of things actually. LINKS Yassine’s Substack The Motte The Bailey podcast Yassine’s I Am Here Because Of Blind Dumb Luck Check Here For Racial Oppression – history of the US Federal racial categories SSC post popularizing & explaining the Motte And Bailey Doctrine Alex Jones as Epic Poetry Yassine’s posts on Paul Ehrlich’s Gymnastics and Meghan Murphy’s Speedrun Guide to Logical Fallacies There Are No Amendments in Islam Eleven Magic Words Morality is Accidental & Self-Congratulatory Consider The Hand Axe Slavery in Video Games The post about that video game with slavery 0:00:23 – Hard open 0:01:05 – Yassine is (officially) white 0:19:48 – Official open + The Bailey podcast 0:26:36 – MCU-level mental gymnastics 0:55:55 – Yassine on Eleven Magic Words and being a Public Defender 1:20:41 – There Are No Amendments in Islam 1:37:48 – Any anti-tech movement is necessarily a pro-slavery movement 1:51:50 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:53:10 – Feedback 1:56:42 – Less Wrong Posts 2:17:58 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Disguised Queries Neural Categories Next Sequence Posts: How An Algorithm Feels From Inside Disputing Definitions  

Alex joins us to smile as we push some boulders up some hills. LINKS Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions The Myth of Sisyphus by Albert Camus The Guild of the Rose 0:01:31 – Post-Rat Feedback 0:21:16 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life 1:21:25 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:28:32 – Thank the Patron 1:33:57 – Less Wrong Posts We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Typicality and Asymmetrical Similarity The Cluster Structure of Thingspace Next Sequence Posts: Disguised Queries Neural Categories

Me and Wes exchange hot takes. Mine is stolen shamelessly from Based Camp, go listen to the original source material there, it’s good!

Seriously though, what’s going on here? Arielle dives in with us. LINKS Arielle’s substack – Analog Futures Bayesian Conspiracy episode #5(!) on What is Rationalism? The Mind Killer live episode recorded at VibeCamp Eneasz’s novel – What Lies Dreaming 0:00:27 – What is a Post-Rat? 1:03:13 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:05:01 – Less Wrong Posts 1:16:33 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Buy Now Or Forever Hold Your Peace Similarity Clusters Next Sequence Posts: Typicality and Asymmetrical Similarity The Cluster Structure of Thingspace

How to talk about the future From On “Present Rate No Singularity” at Thing of Things

Mo’ productivity, mo’ money, at last Zvi’s The Overemployed Via ChatGPT