
The Bayesian Conspiracy
A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.
Latest episodes

May 3, 2023 • 1h 31min
186 – Why We Aren’t Technically EAs But Totally Would Be, Unlike This Guy
We discuss Eric Hoel’s Why I Am Not An Effective Altruist Other Links: EA Forum – Comments on Hoel’s Essay EA Forum – What actually is the argument for effective altruism? SSC – Arguments From My Opponent Believes Something Ken … Continue reading →

Apr 25, 2023 • 4min
Bayes Blast 12 – AI White Pills
One of these white pills is more realistic than the other. Which one is which is left as an exercise to the listener. 😉 Roko’s White Pill AXRP reform AI Alignment with Scott Aaronson

Apr 19, 2023 • 1h 23min
185 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni
We discuss The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni from Experimental History We also touch on The dance of the naked emperors and Ideas aren’t getting harder to find and anyone who tells you otherwise is a … Continue reading →

Apr 15, 2023 • 10min
Bayes Blast 11 – Exposure to Lizardman Is Lethal
With Wes from The Mind Killer we discuss Exposure to Lizardman is Lethal

Apr 10, 2023 • 12min
Bayes Blast 10 – Shoggoth Tongues
Speaking in GPT tongues with Matt MUDsim Respectful Criticism Lambda Calc? gfodor’s take Eliezer take + followup

Apr 7, 2023 • 5min
Bayes Blast 9 – The salt in pasta water fallacy
The salt in pasta water fallacy

6 snips
Apr 5, 2023 • 1h 18min
184 – The Cultic Milieu
We discuss Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu by Ozy Brennan Other Links: Doocy asking about AI doom at the White House 0:00:38 – Feedback/Thanks DC Rats! 0:01:30 – Guild of the Rose Update 0:03:36 – Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu 0:43:48 … Continue reading →

Apr 2, 2023 • 6min
Bayes Blast 8 – An AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readers
An AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readers

Mar 29, 2023 • 7min
Bayes Blast 7 – Chatbot convinces Belgian to commit suicide
Probot joins to discuss Chatbot convinces Belgian to commit suicide De Standaard

Mar 28, 2023 • 12min
Bayes Blast 6 – The Parable of the King and the Random Process
Matt comes on to blast Eneasz with his LW post The Parable of the King and the Random Process