The Bayesian Conspiracy

Mo’ productivity, mo’ money, at last Zvi’s The Overemployed Via ChatGPT

We talk with Brooke, creator and driving force behind VibeCamp. We talk about VibeCamp 2, being human, and the post/rats corner of twitter. LINKS Brooke on Twitter Brooke’s most-moved-by-this Tweet, the Lemur Who Vibed Eneasz’s retrospective post on VibeCamp What are vibes? Meme to Vibe: A Philosophical Report by Peter Limberg The Neighborhood SF project Rational Magic, an article about postrationalists by The New Atlantis DashCon 0:00:01 – VibeCamp!! 1:00:51 – Listener Feedback 1:05:51 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:06:51 – Less Wrong Posts 1:30:03 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Words as Hidden Inferences Extensions and Intensions Next Sequence Posts: Buy Now Or Forever Hold Your Peace Similarity Clusters

Steven blasts Eneasz with the latest news about how Reddit is doing it’s best to ruin everyone’s good time. Reddit post from Apollo’s developer on the subject Followup post for some debunking and elaboration Links to everything Steven mentioned in the blast are in those two links.

Actual photo of David’s Baklava David Youssef from The Guild of the Rose has great ways to integrate ChatGPT into your work, and also thinks AIs will keep humans around. Links: ChatGPT leaking Samsung chip secrets is iceberg’s tip Training an LLMs model Achieving 99.3% of ChatGPT’s Performance GPT 4 is Smarter than You Think: Introducing SmartGPT 0:00:23 – Part One: Maximizing ChatGPT(4) usefulness 0:36:15 – Part Two: No Really, We Might Live! 1:14:04 – Thank the Patron 1:15:24 – Less Wrong Posts We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Newcomb’s Problem and Regret of Rationality The Parable of the Dagger The Parable of Hemlock Next Sequence Posts: Words as Hidden Inferences Extensions and Intensions

Matt Freeman joins us to discuss life in changing times. Major take away for Eneasz: Be the kind of person your post-singularity descendants will be proud to say “I descended from that man/woman” Links: Put stuff in orbit on a budget Three Worlds Collide Singularity Song, by The Lisps 0:05:37 –  Guild of the Rose Update 0:09:03 – Part One: OMG Guys This Stuff is Awesome!! 0:53:07 – Part Two: Eneasz’s Sexy French Depression We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Sequence Posts: Newcomb’s Problem and Regret of Rationality The Parable of the Dagger The Parable of Hemlock

Richard Acton returns to denounce pre-publication peer review, and propose a replacement building off the open source software ethos, and review bounties Richard’s extensive notes for this episode, which include a ton of great links at the bottom Contact him at richardjacton@pan-narrans.xyz Other Links: Richard on Showing Our Work and Multi-Panel Figures Richard’s podcast XenoThesis, and the Aging & Immortality Episode in specific Richard + David from Guild of the Rose’s podcast The Oasis of Rest Scott Alexander’s ACX Grants and update on results Richard Acton’s previous appearance on our show – All About Aging Richard Acton’s book Data: Inception to Publication & Beyond Our reaction to FTX episode John Q 0:00:00 – Richard Acton & The Issues 0:50:54 – The Scheme to Fix It (Review Bounties+) 1:20:04 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:21:04 – Less Wrong Posts 1:47:18 – Thank the Patron  We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Trust in Bayes Something to Protect Next Sequence Posts: Newcomb’s Problem and Regret of Rationality The Parable of the Dagger The Parable of Hemlock

Blast with Matt re OpenAI using GPT-4 to automatically write explanations for the behavior of neurons in GPT-2, and what this means for Doom (spoiler: it’s good!) OpenAI’s explanation Thread – less than 1% of neuron’s explained with good confidence

We discuss Eric Hoel’s Why I Am Not An Effective Altruist  Other Links: EA Forum – Comments on Hoel’s Essay EA Forum – What actually is the argument for effective altruism? SSC – Arguments From My Opponent Believes Something Ken Ham’s Ark EconTalk Podcast with Russ Roberts and Eric Hoel Thing of Things substack We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Circular Altruism The “Intuitions” Behind “Utilitarianism” Next Sequence Posts: Trust in Bayes Something to Protect

One of these white pills is more realistic than the other. Which one is which is left as an exercise to the listener. Roko’s White Pill AXRP reform AI Alignment with Scott Aaronson

We discuss The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni from Experimental History We also touch on The dance of the naked emperors and Ideas aren’t getting harder to find and anyone who tells you otherwise is a coward and I will fight them Other Links: Is Ice Cream… healthy? (origin) What Lies Dreaming 0:00:01 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review with Adam Mastroianni 0:59:03 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:01:15 – Listener Feedback 1:03:21 – Less Wrong Posts 1:21:34 – Thank the Patron  We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Allais Malaise Against Discount Rates Next Sequence Posts: Circular Altruism The “Intuitions” Behind “Utilitarianism”