
The Bayesian Conspiracy
A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.
Latest episodes

Jan 25, 2023 • 1h 21min
179 – The Plan (to align AI), with John Wentworth
Worried about AGI running amok in the near future? John Wentworth thinks we can align AI. In 10-15 years. With greater than 50/50 probability. And he has a plan! We discuss The Plan, its merits, and how it has progressed … Continue reading →

Jan 11, 2023 • 1h 19min
178 – Out To Get You
We discuss Out To Get You by Zvi. A lot of clouds get yelled at. 2:55 – Main Topic: Getting Got 1:08:48 – LW posts 1:18:55 – Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon … Continue reading →

Dec 14, 2022 • 2h 34min
177 – Decision Trees and Butlerian Jihads with Matt Freeman
Matt Freeman gives a primer in how to uses Bayesian decision making in normal life, via decision trees. We also discuss utilitarianism, the Guild of the Rose, and recent AI advances. We are now in the early singularity. Guild of … Continue reading →

Nov 30, 2022 • 1h 45min
176 – Circling with Aella
Aella comes on the show to tell us what the heck Circling is and why we should do it. 0:01:21 How Many Rationalists Are There? 0:04:40 Circling 1:09:42 LW Posts 1:41:35 Thank the Patron! Aella’s Blog The Patreon bit where … Continue reading →

Nov 16, 2022 • 1h 46min
175 – FTX + EA, and Personal Finance
David from The Mind Killer joins us. We got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. Afterwards David helps us out with personal finance. 0:00:00 Intro 0:02:08 The Sequences … Continue reading →

Nov 13, 2022 • 43min
BREAKING – FTX collapse & EA shockwaves
While recording the next episode we got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. We decided to break it out into a separate segment so it can air while … Continue reading →

Nov 2, 2022 • 1h 16min
174 – Jon Stewart, The Consensus Emancipator
Wes and David from The Mind Killer show up for a special cross-over episode. We discuss How Stewart Made Tucker Listen to The Mind Killer 🙂 Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From … Continue reading →

Oct 19, 2022 • 2h 4min
173 – Oh Lawd, Strong AI is Comin’
Matt Freeman returns to discuss General Artificial Intelligence timelines, and why they are short. Our primary text is: Why I think strong general AI is coming soon Other links: “Let’s think step by step” is all you need NVIDIA A100 … Continue reading →

Oct 5, 2022 • 2h 8min
172 – Virtue Ethics
Kerry discusses virtue ethics with us, and how one is to live. After Virtue, by Alasdair MacIntyre Pareto efficiency at Wikipedia, slightly less dense Pareto Improvement at Investopedia Our 23rd episode – Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe The 12 Virtues of … Continue reading →

Sep 21, 2022 • 1h 45min
171 – All About AGP
Tailcalled gives us the down low on a variation of the popularly discussed (if not that widely liked) transgender typology – autogynephilia (or AGP). Unfortunately, due to technical difficulties, Jace was only on for part of the episode and our … Continue reading →