The Bayesian Conspiracy

The Bayesian Conspiracy
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Feb 15, 2023 • 16min

Bonus preview – YIMBY follow-ups and Vulgar EA

We have some follow-up questions to Brian, including how to weigh utils, how moral claims to an area can be adjudicated, crime, use of home ownership as an investment as government policy, eviction law, and more! For the full episode, subscribe at Patreon CA YIMBY main page and support pages here
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Feb 8, 2023 • 1h 45min

180 – YIMBY in CA with Brian Hanlon

We discuss the YIMBY movement in California, and how Brian Hanlon & co. got real legislative change happening. Primary Links CA YIMBY Contact Brian – Brian@CAYIMBY.org Great article on SB827 including interview with Brian The Welcoming Neighbor Network Other Links George Carlin on NIMBY CARLA is now CalHDF SF BARF Black-Eyes put on a hell […]
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Jan 25, 2023 • 1h 21min

179 – The Plan (to align AI), with John Wentworth

Worried about AGI running amok in the near future? John Wentworth thinks we can align AI. In 10-15 years. With greater than 50/50 probability. And he has a plan! We discuss The Plan, its merits, and how it has progressed over the past year. Primary Sources: The Plan The Plan – 2022 Update Also discussed: […]
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Jan 11, 2023 • 1h 19min

178 – Out To Get You

We discuss Out To Get You by Zvi. A lot of clouds get yelled at. 2:55 – Main Topic: Getting Got 1:08:48 – LW posts 1:18:55 – Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, […]
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Dec 14, 2022 • 2h 34min

177 – Decision Trees and Butlerian Jihads with Matt Freeman

Matt Freeman gives a primer in how to uses Bayesian decision making in normal life, via decision trees. We also discuss utilitarianism, the Guild of the Rose, and recent AI advances. We are now in the early singularity. Guild of the Rose: Playlist of Decision Tree “lectures” Guild workshop page 1 Guild workshop page 2 […]
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Nov 30, 2022 • 1h 45min

176 – Circling with Aella

Aella comes on the show to tell us what the heck Circling is and why we should do it. 0:01:21 How Many Rationalists Are There? 0:04:40 Circling 1:09:42 LW Posts 1:41:35 Thank the Patron! Aella’s Blog The Patreon bit where we discuss The Murder Button Circle Anywhere Authentic Relating International Julia Galef on Bayes’ Equation […]
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Nov 16, 2022 • 1h 46min

175 – FTX + EA, and Personal Finance

David from The Mind Killer joins us. We got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. Afterwards David helps us out with personal finance. 0:00:00 Intro 0:02:08 The Sequences Now Formatted For Zoomers 0:11:25 FTX Collapse & EA Shockwaves 0:54:20 Personal Finance 1:43:20 Thank […]
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Nov 13, 2022 • 43min

BREAKING – FTX collapse & EA shockwaves

While recording the next episode we got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. We decided to break it out into a separate segment so it can air while it’s still relevant. FTX: The $32B implosion – a good fast roundup of what the […]
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Nov 2, 2022 • 1h 16min

174 – Jon Stewart, The Consensus Emancipator

Wes and David from The Mind Killer show up for a special cross-over episode. We discuss How Stewart Made Tucker Listen to The Mind Killer 🙂 Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Episode’s Sequence […]
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Oct 19, 2022 • 2h 4min

173 – Oh Lawd, Strong AI is Comin’

Matt Freeman returns to discuss General Artificial Intelligence timelines, and why they are short. Our primary text is: Why I think strong general AI is coming soon Other links: “Let’s think step by step” is all you need NVIDIA A100 info The Mind Killer AI suggested 40,000 new possible chemical weapons in six hours Yo […]

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