
The Bayesian Conspiracy
A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.
Latest episodes

Apr 20, 2022 • 2h 7min
160 – GAI is Imminent
Four Major AI Advancements In One Week! New Scaling Laws for Large Language Models – essentially everyone has been training large language models with a deeply suboptimal use of compute Googles Pathways Language Model explains jokes, and it can distinguish … Continue reading →

6 snips
Apr 6, 2022 • 1h 51min
159 – Cryonics Concerns, and Theses On Sleep
We address theoretical cryonics concerns, and discuss Guzey’s Theses On Sleep 3:15 Cryonics Concerns 49:21 Theses On Sleep 1:23:01 LW posts 1:50:16 Thank the Patron Also mentioned: LW Cryonics Probability Estimates guide Our episode with Rudy Hoffman Lifespan podcast Limitless … Continue reading →

Mar 27, 2022 • 16min
Monarchy Reactions – post Episode 158 discussion (Teaser)
The Conspirators regroup to discuss if/how their views on monarchy have changed. The full episode is available for our Patrons Mentioned: List of Current States With Monarchs CGP Gray’s Rules for Rulers (Keys of Power) Tears For Fears – Everybody … Continue reading →

Mar 23, 2022 • 2h 16min
158 – Can Monarchy Save Us From Fascism?
We speak with Cornelius about this idea that Monachy is good because it can save us from populist fascism. 1:44:50 LW posts 2:14:45 Thank the Patron Cornelius blogs at EsotericMusings.substack.com Also mentioned: Gray Mirror Substack Democracy: The God that Failed … Continue reading →

Mar 9, 2022 • 1h 23min
157 – A Fistful of Topics
We catch up on stuff and hit a few wandering targets. 0:01 Jace on Lithium 21:10 Feedback 26:05 LW posts 50:06 Nuclear Ukraine 59:43 Nuclear Us 1:05:30 Steven Tries To Get Us Cancelled Lithium in drinking water linked with lower … Continue reading →

Feb 23, 2022 • 1h 51min
156 – A Chemical Hunger
We discuss A Chemical Hunger – the paper presenting the hypothesis that the modern obesity epidemic is due to enviromental contamination causing widespread lithium poisoning. EDIT – MAJOR UPDATE – It’s probably not lithium! Links to become a patron of … Continue reading →

Feb 14, 2022 • 3min
Trailer For Bonus Aella
This is a trailer for a bonus Patrons-only episode. It’s 45 minutes chatting with Aella about various things that struck Eneasz’s interest. Aella’s twitter is Aella_Girl. Homepage at Knowingless, also has a substack.

Feb 9, 2022 • 1h 40min
155 – Normal Predictions, and Change is Bad
The Conspiracy comes out strongly in favor of switching to Normal Predictions, which is safe and easy when you use the Jan Christian Refsgaard method! Also, we agree with Zvi that Change is Bad. (Though note that changing to Normal … Continue reading →

Feb 4, 2022 • 6min
Trailer For Wirehead Extras
A few days ago I asked Wes a couple follow-up questions on wireheading, and later chatted with Emilio from the Discord on-record. I thought it wouldn’t be too long, but it turned out to go about as long as a … Continue reading →

Jan 26, 2022 • 2h 10min
154 – Two General Thinkers Discuss General Thinking
Jace and Steven cover this one since Eneasz is busy drinking cocktails out of a coconut in a beach in Hawaii. Robin Hanson (probably correctly) thinks the world is going to shit (paraphrasing). He thinks that a robust check on … Continue reading →