
The Bayesian Conspiracy
A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.
Latest episodes

May 31, 2023 • 1h 52min
188 – Living in the Early Singularity, with Matt Freeman
Matt Freeman joins us to discuss life in changing times. Major take away for Eneasz: Be the kind of person your post-singularity descendants will be proud to say “I descended from that man/woman” Links: Put stuff in orbit on a … Continue reading →

May 17, 2023 • 1h 48min
187 – GitLab & Review Bounties to Save Science, with Richard Acton
Richard Acton returns to denounce pre-publication peer review, and propose a replacement building off the open source software ethos, and review bounties Richard’s extensive notes for this episode, which include a ton of great links at the bottom Contact him … Continue reading →

May 16, 2023 • 11min
Bayes Blast 13 – GPT-4 maps every neuron in GPT-2
Blast with Matt re OpenAI using GPT-4 to automatically write explanations for the behavior of neurons in GPT-2, and what this means for Doom (spoiler: it’s good!) OpenAI’s explanation Thread – less than 1% of neuron’s explained with good confidence

May 3, 2023 • 1h 31min
186 – Why We Aren’t Technically EAs But Totally Would Be, Unlike This Guy
We discuss Eric Hoel’s Why I Am Not An Effective Altruist Other Links: EA Forum – Comments on Hoel’s Essay EA Forum – What actually is the argument for effective altruism? SSC – Arguments From My Opponent Believes Something Ken … Continue reading →

Apr 25, 2023 • 4min
Bayes Blast 12 – AI White Pills
One of these white pills is more realistic than the other. Which one is which is left as an exercise to the listener. 😉 Roko’s White Pill AXRP reform AI Alignment with Scott Aaronson

Apr 19, 2023 • 1h 23min
185 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni
We discuss The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni from Experimental History We also touch on The dance of the naked emperors and Ideas aren’t getting harder to find and anyone who tells you otherwise is a … Continue reading →

Apr 15, 2023 • 10min
Bayes Blast 11 – Exposure to Lizardman Is Lethal
With Wes from The Mind Killer we discuss Exposure to Lizardman is Lethal

Apr 10, 2023 • 12min
Bayes Blast 10 – Shoggoth Tongues
Speaking in GPT tongues with Matt MUDsim Respectful Criticism Lambda Calc? gfodor’s take Eliezer take + followup

Apr 7, 2023 • 5min
Bayes Blast 9 – The salt in pasta water fallacy
The salt in pasta water fallacy

6 snips
Apr 5, 2023 • 1h 18min
184 – The Cultic Milieu
We discuss Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu by Ozy Brennan Other Links: Doocy asking about AI doom at the White House 0:00:38 – Feedback/Thanks DC Rats! 0:01:30 – Guild of the Rose Update 0:03:36 – Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu 0:43:48 … Continue reading →
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