
The Bayesian Conspiracy
A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.
Latest episodes

Oct 19, 2023 • 1h 47min
198 – Tuskegee & Age/Race Bias?
Two smaller episodes dropped as one – The History of the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment, and Reflections on Steven’s Jury Experience LINKS We Tuskegeed My Dad Unraveling the Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis SNL skit Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson Enhancement Drug … Continue reading →

Oct 4, 2023 • 1h 52min
197 – What To Expect When You’re Expecting To Go To Burning Man
We talk with Charlie and Alex about going to Burning Man to help prep Steven to maybe go next year LINKS You Will Be Miserable, And It Will Set You Free – Eneasz’s post on Burning Man Burning Man Survival … Continue reading →

Sep 23, 2023 • 8min
Bayes Blast 21 – Dudes Catching Son of Sam and Dread Pirate Roberts
How non-expert dudes caught bad dudes.

Sep 20, 2023 • 2h 11min
196 – Steven Goes To Court
Steven achieved his dream of serving on a jury. Our local lawyer Justin returns to score him on rational jurying. 0:00:23 – All Rise 1:51:30 – Less Wrong Posts 2:06:55 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:09:28 – Thank the Patron … Continue reading →

Sep 6, 2023 • 1h 54min
195 – KataGo vs AlphaGo: Fight!
Matt’s back which means we have some more AI stuff to talk about! KataGo was built as an adversary to AlphaGo and can beat it 94% of the time using a mere 8% of the computational power! The trick to … Continue reading →

Aug 23, 2023 • 1h 41min
194 – Kinky Data Science with Aella
We talk with Aella about some of the results of her absolutely massive sex & kink survey LINKS Aella’s Substack Aella’s Twitter You don’t need a perfectly random sample for useful data, jfc Women Prefer More Violent Porn Monogamous men … Continue reading →

Aug 15, 2023 • 18min
Bayes Blast 20 – Blue Pill/Red Pill in Roko’s Blender
Kill yourself for no reason, or save others? Lisatomic’s Poll Roko’s Poll Eneasz’s annoyance Scissor’s Statements origin

Aug 10, 2023 • 9min
Bayes Blast 19 – Musicgen and Audiogen
Musicgen lets anyone make a quick music snippet and Audiogen is surprisingly good at generating non-confusing sounds! These tools are currently free and will no doubt be mind blowing in just a few months when better, paid versions come out. … Continue reading →

Aug 9, 2023 • 2h 18min
193 – Building Baileys with Yassine Meskhout
We speak with Yassine Meskhout of The Bailey about… a whole bunch of things actually. LINKS Yassine’s Substack The Motte The Bailey podcast Yassine’s I Am Here Because Of Blind Dumb Luck Check Here For Racial Oppression – history of … Continue reading →

Jul 26, 2023 • 1h 54min
192 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life, with Alex
Alex joins us to smile as we push some boulders up some hills. LINKS Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions The Myth of Sisyphus by Albert Camus The Guild of the Rose 0:01:31 – Post-Rat Feedback 0:21:16 – Absurdism … Continue reading →