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The Rate Guy

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Dec 30, 2024 • 34min

Lead Pipe Lock Guarantees for 2025

The hosts share hilarious holiday tales and chaotic travel experiences while heading to a playoff game. They evaluate past predictions and introduce bold forecasts for 2025. The conversation flows from navigating treasury yields to discussing labor market statistics, highlighting their humorous take on economic forecasting. With self-deprecating humor, they reflect on missed calls, including unemployment rates, while maintaining optimism for the future. A tech solution for real estate also garners attention, emphasizing practical benefits amid the economic chaos.
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Dec 16, 2024 • 9min

'Twas the Night Before FOMC

Anticipation fills the air as the hosts dissect expectations for the upcoming FOMC meeting and potential rate cuts. They weave humor into the discussion, even reciting a whimsical version of 'Twas The Night Before FOMC.' The conversation dives deep into monetary policy, inflation, and labor market trends, all while encouraging listeners to keep an eye on future developments. Join in for a mix of festive fun and insightful economic analysis.
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Dec 8, 2024 • 22min

The Economy Lost 355k Jobs Last Month

On this episode of The Rate Guys we discuss the Jobs Report and.how it will affect the Fed Meeting. Also, what data point can you not trust right now. And we of course had to touch on the heartbreak of the Penn State loss. So if you want to skip the football, fast forward to about the 3:45 mark. For those that want to check out the the CME Fed Match link  that JP discussed. Here you go!
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Dec 2, 2024 • 18min

DAYzed And Confused

Dive into a lighthearted discussion filled with Thanksgiving mishaps and football drama! The hosts tackle the unexpected firing of a coach amid a game, intertwining humor with critiques of college football. Transitioning to serious topics, they explore inflation data and its potential impact on interest rates and job growth. The complexities of job statistics are unraveled, highlighting influences from government and healthcare sectors. The conversation artfully balances economic insights with playful banter, making tough topics engaging.
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Nov 25, 2024 • 27min

I Can Give You the Rate or the Timeline, But Not Both at Once

The hosts share hilarious stories about family driving mishaps, inviting laughter and relatable moments. They cleverly draw parallels between these adventures and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy challenges. With inflation cooling and job growth slowing, the discussion reveals how the Fed might be navigating economic crossroads. The complexities of interest rates and their impacts on the economy are unpacked, emphasizing the delicate dance between rate decisions and economic indicators. Tune in for insightful forecasts and plenty of laughs!
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Nov 17, 2024 • 24min

Will Deficits Push the T10 to 7%?

Explore the intriguing relationship between economic deficits and the 10-Year Treasury, as the hosts unpack the market's reactions to inflation data. Discover insights into Mike Tyson's boxing legacy and the evolving expectations of athletes, enhanced with humor. Debate the potential economic repercussions of recent political victories on treasury yields, and dive into the intricacies of Federal Reserve decision-making, likening it to a sports game where critics are impossible to please.
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Nov 10, 2024 • 26min

Just How Inflationary Could Tariffs Be?

Dive into a lively discussion on recent Federal Reserve meetings and their inflation concerns. Explore the intricate link between tariffs and their potential to influence inflation, particularly the proposed hefty tariffs on Chinese goods. The hosts also touch on election dynamics, the public’s frustration, and how these factors might shape future policies. Plus, there's a light-hearted moment involving a pet that adds a dash of humor to the serious economic talk!
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Nov 3, 2024 • 19min

Gaslighting Doesn't Exist. You just Made It Up Because You're Crazy.

Frustration mounts as the parallels between Penn State football and the economy become clear. A dismal jobs report reveals only 12,000 new jobs, raising concerns about the labor market and possible Fed rate cuts. Outside factors like hurricanes and strikes add complexity to the situation. Looking ahead, election dynamics hint at potential shifts in interest rates, influenced by the leading candidates. It’s a tough week for both sports fans and economic observers!
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Oct 28, 2024 • 35min

The Fed is Cutting and the T10 is Surging?

Dive into market mayhem as the hosts tackle current economic chaos and the Fed's potential rate cuts. They discuss whether inflation's comeback is real, alongside GDP forecasts and upcoming job reports. The conversation shifts to their Iceland adventure, packed with stunning waterfalls and the elusive northern lights. They hilariously recount their underwhelming Blue Lagoon experience and the challenges of the Icelandic language. Get ready for a blend of financial insights and travel tales that keep you entertained and informed!
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Oct 7, 2024 • 17min

The Fed is Still Cutting in November

The hosts dive into the latest jobs report, doubting its significance for the Fed's decision-making. They highlight layoffs in tech and real estate while noting gains in leisure and healthcare. Discrepancies in labor market surveys reveal conflicting employment data. The conversation emphasizes the importance of understanding seasonal adjustments and deeper trends beneath surface statistics. Finally, they discuss how skepticism regarding reported data could shape future Federal Reserve policies and interest rate predictions.

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