Prediction Market Movers

In this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with entrepreneur and prediction-market expert Ben Freeman to break down the future of forecasting, market structure, liquidity, and how AI is transforming trading platforms. Chris and Ben discuss how he entered the prediction market space, the biggest problems with current market infrastructure, what founders misunderstand about focus and scale, and why smarter incentives could unlock massive growth in forecasting markets. 👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

In this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with ProphetX Co-Founder Jake Benzaquen for a deep dive into the future of prediction markets. Jake shares his journey through major career pivots, how he entered the prediction market ecosystem, and what it has taken to navigate CFTC compliance while building an innovative trading platform. The conversation expands into macro-level prediction market trends, what the next generation of trading could look like, and how AI is poised to reshape the entire landscape. Whether you’re a trader, a policymaker, or someone fascinated by emerging fintech, this is a must-watch episode. 👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Evie, founder of XO Live — known online as @0xgingergirl — to talk about how her app is reshaping community engagement and prediction markets. Evie shares how she pivoted from building a dating app to creating a thriving prediction market platform, the difference between men and women in trading communities, and why she loves no mention markets. The two discuss how prediction markets influence companies, the ongoing badge wars, and Evie’s candid take on X as a sometimes toxic space for creators. Plus, she shares her experience meeting Shane Copeland. 00:00 - Intro 1:00 - Joinng the prediction market ecosystem 3:45 - Founding a dating app 5:15 - On pivoting from her dating app 9:25 - Live stream markets 13:15 - The impact of her app 16:30 Prediction markets influencing companies 17:30 - Difference between men and women in the prediction market space 22:30 - Approaching the no mention markets 24:15 - On meeting  Shane Copeland 26:15 - Why X can be a toxic place  28:00 The badge wars on social media 30:00 - Improvements to the industry 

This week’s guest, Damon Thayer, Former Kentucky Senate Majority Leader and Political Director at Prediction News, dissects the surprising election outcomes in New York, New Jersey, and Virginia. He predicts how Zohran Mamdani’s win might reshape Democratic strategies and examines pressing voter issues. Thayer also delves into the potential shifts in party leadership and why Democrats might misinterpret their off-year victories. Plus, he addresses the role of Trump in shaping candidate dynamics and the balance Republicans need for future success.

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Jeremiah Johnson, Co-Founder of the New Center of Liberalism. Jeremiah shares how he got involved in prediction markets, his concerns about their role in politics, and how prediction data could reshape political discourse.   Chris and Jeremiah dive into the New York Mayoral race, explore what could happen if Zohran Mamdani wins, discuss life after Trump, and unpack the shifting dynamics in modern American politics.   👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com   0:00 - Intro 1:00 - How Jeremiah got involved into Prediction Markets 2:30 - Concerns in prediction markets 5:00 - Nate SIlver’s impact on polls 9:00 - Theology in prediction markets 13:30 - NYC mayoral race 19:30 - Who can challenge Cuomo? 22:00 - Brad Lander’s mass appeal 23:45 - Zohran Mamdani’s expectations as NY mayor 26:25 - 2026 midterms 35:15 - “There’s a lot of soul searching for the democrats” 42:00 - Paths for Trump 45:45 - Life after Trump 49:00 - Split Republican Party #PredictionMarkets #PoliticalPodcast #ChrisGerlacher #JeremiahJohnson #PredictionMarketMovers #ZohranMamdani #NYCPolitics #ElectionForecast #PostTrumpEra #PoliticsAndMarkets #PredictionNews

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with @PredMTrader, a leading content creator in the prediction market space. The two dive into PMT’s journey into prediction markets, the thrill of live trading, and how to find an edge in competitive prediction markets. Chris and PMT also explore the New York Mayoral race, discuss tips for young traders, and break down the obstacles and opportunities within the growing prediction market industry. 🎧 Watch, learn, and trade smarter with Prediction Market Movers! 👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Joel Simkins, CEO and founder of XST Capital Group, for an in-depth conversation about the future of prediction markets and what could be one of the biggest shakeups in the space — the potential sale of Novig, one of the fastest-growing prediction market platforms. Chris and Joel break down: 💡 The business and regulatory challenges of acquiring a prediction market platform ⚖️ The sustainability of prediction markets in a competitive landscape 📊 What a Kalshi or Polymarket acquisition could mean for the industry #PredictionMarkets #Novig #JoelSimkins #XSTCapital #Kalshi #Polymarket #Fintech #CryptoTrading #FinancePodcast #MarketMovers #PredictionMarketMovers #MarketTrends #TradingPlatforms 00:00 - Intro 1:30 Skeptic about a possible acquisition 2:30 - Different types of acquisition deals 3:30 - Novig rumors 5:30 - Investor/founder aftermath 7:00 - Sweepstakes being outlawed 9:00 What makes prediction markets more sustainable? 11:15 - Acquisition wars in the prediction markets 13:00 - Market breakdown after Kalshi/Poly 15:00 - Regulatory risks in the industry 21:20 - Deal terms and earn outs with acquisition 22:40 - Administration changes impacting deals acquisition 24:00 - Future of prediction markets 26:00 - Will Kalshi/Poly dominate the market? 👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.predictionnews.com

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Damon Thayer, Director of Politics at Prediction News and former Kentucky Senator, to explore the connection between sports betting, politics, and prediction markets. Thayer takes listeners inside Kentucky’s journey to legalizing sportsbooks, discussing the behind-the-scenes process, economic impact, and what the state’s success means for the rest of the country. 00:00 - Intro 1:00 - The path to sports betting in Kentucky 7:00 - Who stopped sports betting in Kentucky? 9:00 - An immediate impact of legal betting in Kentucky 13:15 - Damon’s intro to prediction markets 19:00 - Prediction markets utilized in polling 27:00 - NY Mayoral race 33:30 - NY and Virginia gubernatorial races 40:00 - Post-Harris era for the democrats 42:30 - Kentucky bourbon 👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets.   For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com  

On this edition of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher sits down with online prediction market entertainer and Manifest 2025’s “Best Debtor”, Tumbles (@32Tumbles). Tumbles opens up about his wild journey on the Manifold trading platform, the types of markets he trades, and how things took a surprising turn leading to his infamous Manifest award. Chris and Tumbles dive deep into life as a prediction market entertainer, the intersection between Manifold and broader prediction markets, and some of his most memorable (and costly) trading stories. #PredictionMarkets #ManifoldMarkets #Manifest2025 #Tumbles #ChrisGerlache #PredictionMarketPodcast #OnlineTrading #PredictionMarketCommunity #Manifold 👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets.    For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

In this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher welcomes Fifty-One Alpha founder Aggie (@BlondiePredicts), often called the queen of prediction markets. Aggie opens up about her background in tennis, her transition into finance, and how she developed her passion for prediction markets. 00:00 - Intro 1:00 - Aggies past life as a tennis player 3:15 - Transitioning into the business world 4:25 - From Latvia to NYC 7:00 - “People just can’t figure me out” 8:30 - Getting into content creation with no content background 9:30 - Prediction market intro  12:30 - Building an online community  15:30 - Which markets she is eyeing 16:45 - feeling welcome in the space 18:45 - Getting women more involved in the prediction market space 21:30 - Brands and prediction market 25:00 - What’s next for Aggie? 28:00 - Goodbye