

Prediction Market Movers
Prediction News
Each week, Chris Gerlacher talks to industry insiders, financial analysts and legal experts on all of the latest developments in prediction markets.
Episodes
Mentioned books

Oct 21, 2025 • 44min
Damon Thayer on Prediction Markets, Politics & Post-Harris America | Prediction Market Movers
On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Damon Thayer, Director of Politics at Prediction News and former Kentucky Senator, to explore the connection between sports betting, politics, and prediction markets.
Thayer takes listeners inside Kentucky’s journey to legalizing sportsbooks, discussing the behind-the-scenes process, economic impact, and what the state’s success means for the rest of the country.
00:00 - Intro
1:00 - The path to sports betting in Kentucky
7:00 - Who stopped sports betting in Kentucky?
9:00 - An immediate impact of legal betting in Kentucky
13:15 - Damon’s intro to prediction markets
19:00 - Prediction markets utilized in polling
27:00 - NY Mayoral race
33:30 - NY and Virginia gubernatorial races
40:00 - Post-Harris era for the democrats
42:30 - Kentucky bourbon
👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets.
For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

Oct 15, 2025 • 39min
Manifold’s Wildest Trader: Tumbles on Losing Big & Winning Fans | Prediction Market Movers
On this edition of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher sits down with online prediction market entertainer and Manifest 2025’s “Best Debtor”, Tumbles (@32Tumbles).
Tumbles opens up about his wild journey on the Manifold trading platform, the types of markets he trades, and how things took a surprising turn leading to his infamous Manifest award. Chris and Tumbles dive deep into life as a prediction market entertainer, the intersection between Manifold and broader prediction markets, and some of his most memorable (and costly) trading stories.
#PredictionMarkets #ManifoldMarkets #Manifest2025 #Tumbles #ChrisGerlache #PredictionMarketPodcast #OnlineTrading #PredictionMarketCommunity #Manifold
👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets.
For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

Oct 2, 2025 • 30min
Aggie’s Journey Into Prediction Markets | Prediction Market Movers
In this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher welcomes Fifty-One Alpha founder Aggie (@BlondiePredicts), often called the queen of prediction markets. Aggie opens up about her background in tennis, her transition into finance, and how she developed her passion for prediction markets.
00:00 - Intro
1:00 - Aggies past life as a tennis player
3:15 - Transitioning into the business world
4:25 - From Latvia to NYC
7:00 - “People just can’t figure me out”
8:30 - Getting into content creation with no content background
9:30 - Prediction market intro
12:30 - Building an online community
15:30 - Which markets she is eyeing
16:45 - feeling welcome in the space
18:45 - Getting women more involved in the prediction market space
21:30 - Brands and prediction market
25:00 - What’s next for Aggie?
28:00 - Goodbye

Sep 24, 2025 • 28min
Inside Kalshi with Noah Sternig: Prediction Markets & Pushing Limits | Prediction Market Movers
On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Noah Sternig, former head at Kalshiand long-time prediction market enthusiast. Noah shares his insider journey into Kalshi, how he pushed the limits of what prediction markets can be, and his perspective on defining insider trading in the industry. The conversation also dives into the future of prediction markets, regulation, and what’s next for Noah’s career.
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #InsiderTrading #NoahSternig #Regulation #CFTC #PredictionMarketMovers
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Sep 18, 2025 • 37min
Alex Kane on CFTC Regulations and the Prediction Market space | Prediction Market Movers
Welcome to Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher is joined by Sporttrade founder Alex Kane, an expert in sports wagering and the regulatory environment with legal betting. The two discuss Kane's background, why he started Sporttrade, his letter to the CFTC, concerns with the current landscape and more!
👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets.
For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

Sep 4, 2025 • 28sec
Introducing Prediction Market Movers with Chris Gerlacher
Join host Chris Gerlacher as he kicks off Prediction Market Movers, the podcast covering the latest in prediction market news, trading strategies, and legal updates. Each week, Chris talks with top traders, industry insiders, and everything around prediction markets.
👉 Subscribe now to stay updated on everything happening in the prediction market industry.


