Jeremiah Johnson on Prediction Markets, & Life After Trump | Prediction Market Movers

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Jeremiah Johnson, Co-Founder of the New Center of Liberalism. Jeremiah shares how he got involved in prediction markets, his concerns about their role in politics, and how prediction data could reshape political discourse.

 

Chris and Jeremiah dive into the New York Mayoral race, explore what could happen if Zohran Mamdani wins, discuss life after Trump, and unpack the shifting dynamics in modern American politics.

 

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0:00 - Intro

1:00 - How Jeremiah got involved into Prediction Markets

2:30 - Concerns in prediction markets

5:00 - Nate SIlver’s impact on polls

9:00 - Theology in prediction markets

13:30 - NYC mayoral race

19:30 - Who can challenge Cuomo?

22:00 - Brad Lander’s mass appeal

23:45 - Zohran Mamdani’s expectations as NY mayor

26:25 - 2026 midterms 35:15 - “There’s a lot of soul searching for the democrats”

42:00 - Paths for Trump

45:45 - Life after Trump

49:00 - Split Republican Party

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