Unexpected Value - Poker · Daily Fantasy · Sports Betting cover image

Unexpected Value - Poker · Daily Fantasy · Sports Betting

Latest episodes

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May 17, 2025 • 1h 36min

#113: The Most Boring Sh*t Ever

Jordan Cooper discusses his experience playing live poker tournaments for the first time in about 18 years, whether or not tools will ruin Best Ball contests, and why catering to recreational players (and the reasons why they play) is paramount in P2P games. ➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper ➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com
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Mar 21, 2025 • 1h 5min

#112: Double Penetration

Jordan Cooper rants about the importance of keeping games accessible for the health of the ecosystem (as well as your profit long-term), mistakes people often make in double board PLO bomb pots, and info on joining the new Discord server! ➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper ➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com
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Mar 14, 2025 • 1h 15min

#111: Shared Knowledge

Jordan Cooper rants about the YouTube algorithm, taking breaks when not at 100% mentally, the perils of teaching people who don't want to learn, and how the chess community seems to differ greatly from that of ones in poker, daily fantasy, or sports betting. ➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper ➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com
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Feb 5, 2025 • 1h 5min

#110: Roots Radicals

Jordan Cooper rants about how DFS may be "dead" for some people, the paradox of creating useful sports betting content, why exploitative strategies trump all in live poker, hacking cruise casino comps, and a lot more. ➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper ➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com
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21 snips
Oct 17, 2023 • 2h 4min

#109: Secrets of Modern Sports Betting

Ed Miller, author of Interception: The Secrets of Modern Sports Betting, discusses how sports betting operates on information asymmetry, the structure of modern sports books, advantages of utilizing Roto Grinders projections, exploiting player correlations, gambling strategies, and the challenges of sports betting modeling.
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Sep 25, 2023 • 2h 2min

#108: Eat Your Own Tail

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Daniel Hutchings (nerdytenor) to discuss the effect of contest simulations on the DFS ecosystem, who they could benefit most, their usefulness in large-field GPPs versus small-field ones, backtesting lineups post-lock, duplication concerns, and the race to equilibrium. Daniel Hutchings on Twitter: https://twitter.com/nerdytenor ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
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Aug 15, 2023 • 1h 14min

#107: The Three Ms

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Peter Jennings (CSURAM88) to discuss how profitable DFS players can translate their skills to sports betting including utilizing fantasy-based player projections appropriately, understanding the dynamics of inefficient prop markets, and the pitfalls & perils of scaling your volume. Peter Jennings on Twitter: https://twitter.com/CSURAM88 Unabated: https://unabated.com ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
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Jul 18, 2023 • 2h 16min

#106: Define Optimal

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Brian Hooper (bric75) to debate the merits of fandom, the shifting bankroll mix between DFS and sports betting, portfolio theory in GPP play, duplication prediction, political election betting markets, and more. Brian Hooper on Twitter: https://twitter.com/BrianHooper__ LOLz Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lolz-a-dfs-show/id1506858064 Sportsbook HUD: http://bric75.com/SportbookHUD ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
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Jun 13, 2023 • 1h 47min

#105: Simply Simtacular

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Steve Buzzard (dacoltz) to discuss Stokastic's new sims tool, how it can be useful for both beginner & advanced DFS players, the difference in mindset when creating contest field lineups rather than your own, and if we are in the "end stage" of DFS. Steve Buzzard on Twitter: https://twitter.com/stevebuzzard Stokastic MLB Sims: https://www.stokastic.com/mlb-stokastic-sims ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
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Jun 7, 2023 • 1h 15min

#104: It’s Simtastic!

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss how sportsbooks prioritize liquidity, and the effect of publicly available contest-level simulations on the DFS ecosystem. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

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