The Markets

Discussion on declining retail sales and consumer spending in the US, resilient consumers despite spending less frequently. Performance of retail sectors with challenges in housing and autos, positive in restaurants and smaller ticket experiences. Impact of consumer price index on rate decisions. Predictions for Black Friday, increase in consumer spending in apparel, footwear, and electronics.

Exploring underperformance of emerging markets, China's role, potential for resurgence, optimistic about specific markets, impact of interest rates on equities, predicting better performance but challenges, importance of monitoring rates and recession risks.

Discussion on major decisions by central banks, the impact of Japan's negative yield posture on global bond yields, analyzing the impact of rebalancing on inflation, and analysis of recent corporate earnings and outlook.

Discussion on big tech earning season and its implications for the tech sector and US economy. Performance of mega cap tech stocks compared to S&P 500. Effects of higher interest rates on tech giants and the semiconductor industry.

The podcast discusses the effects of violence in Israel on the market, increase in yields in the US treasury market, handling higher rates and foreign demand for US stocks.

This podcast explores the recent movements in the bond market, including falling prices and rising yields. It discusses the impact of unexpected geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, the potential implications of the Federal Reserve's stance on longer-term yields, and the market's response to firmer-than-expected CPI data. Additionally, it explores the recent increase in Treasury bond yields and its impact on the market, analyzing the connection between the rise in yields and positive reports on hiring and consumer spending. The podcast also discusses the bond market's reaction to the September CPI number and debates treasury supply and demand, addressing the market's sensitivity to price data and whether it can digest the large deficits and treasury supply in the US.

Discussion on the current state of the IPO market and its impact on the economy. Positive performance of companies and investors leading to a more offensive approach in the IPO market. Survey results on investors' risk appetite and recession expectations. Adapting capital markets to a high interest rate environment. Exploring how investors value companies in the IPO market and the performance of non-profitable companies.

The podcast discusses the recent rise in 10-year treasury yields and explores future rate expectations. It examines the shift in supply-demand dynamics in the fixed-income market and the potential implications for a soft landing. The hosts also analyze the global fixed-income sell-off and its impact on inflation and market volatility.

The podcast discusses the impact of rising oil prices on the global economy, including upgraded forecasts and record-high global demand. It also explores the pricing power of OPEC Plus, the challenges it faces, and the impact on the US economy and inflation.

Oscar Ostund, global head of content strategy, market analytics & data science for Marquee in Goldman Sachs Global Banking & Markets, discusses institutional investors' expectations of a soft landing in the US despite inflation worries. Also covers investors' sentiments on different asset classes, changing sentiment towards the economic outlook for China and Europe, and the outlook for global currencies and the upcoming FOMC meeting.