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Top of Mind

Latest episodes

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31 snips
Jan 15, 2025 • 1h 1min

Decoding the 2025 Housing Market with Bill McBride

Bill McBride, a housing market expert and author of the influential blog Calculated Risk, discusses the future of the housing market. He predicts 'seven years of purgatory' due to high mortgage rates, which are expected to stay above 6%. Bill emphasizes the importance of inventory over sales numbers for understanding market dynamics. He explores demographic shifts, the impact of rising wages, and the ongoing affordability crisis. Additionally, he shares insights on the housing landscape as we approach 2025 and the potential outcomes for home prices.
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10 snips
Jan 14, 2025 • 16min

More Home Sellers, Fewer Sales (1/13/25 Market Update)

The podcast digs into the current U.S. housing market, highlighting a surge in single-family home listings. Rising mortgage rates are shaking up buyer activity, while recent disasters in California further complicate dynamics. Analysts predict interesting changes in supply and demand as the market evolves. The data-driven insights provide a clear picture of future trends, leaving listeners with a deeper understanding of what to expect.
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Jan 7, 2025 • 16min

Did home sales momentum fizzle in December? (1/6/25 Market Update)

Welcome to How’s the Market, our weekly look at what’s happening in the US housing market, powered by data from Altos Research.If you want to see all the inventory, pricing, and supply and demand charts we reference in the show, head on over to our YouTube channel at https://youtube.com/altosresearch.Hosted by Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research.A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. Altos provides national and local real estate data to financial institutions, real estate professionals, and investors across the country, and the company is now part of HW Media, publisher of HousingWire and RealTrends. Mike uses Altos data to identify trends in the real estate market well before the headlines, and his work has been featured in the New York Times, The Atlantic, Fortune, Forbes and other publications.
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Dec 31, 2024 • 15min

The two big housing market trends to watch in 2025 (12/30/24 Market Update)

Welcome to How’s the Market, our weekly look at what’s happening in the US housing market, powered by data from Altos Research.If you want to see all the inventory, pricing, and supply and demand charts we reference in the show, head on over to our YouTube channel at https://youtube.com/altosresearch.Hosted by Mike Simonsen, President of Altos ResearchA true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. Altos provides national and local real estate data to financial institutions, real estate professionals, and investors across the country, and the company is now part of HW Media, publisher of HousingWire and RealTrends. Mike uses Altos data to identify trends in the real estate market well before the headlines, and his work has been featured in the New York Times, The Atlantic, Fortune, Forbes and other publications.
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Dec 18, 2024 • 54min

“The Great Stay” Economy with Guy Berger

In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Guy Berger, Director of Economic Research at the Burning Glass Institute, to talk about “The Great Stay”: how the lack of mobility in an otherwise strong labor market is impacting the housing marketAbout Guy BergerGuy Berger is a macroeconomist with expertise in US labor markets, and currently serves as the Director of Economic Research at the Burning Glass Institute. He was previously the Principal Economist at LinkedIn, and has also worked as an economist at Bank of America and the Royal Bank of Scotland. His work includes the creation of novel economic indicators, the development of models linking the macroeconomy to business performance, and the design of economic reports. His commentary has been featured frequently in the media, including the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, CNBC, Bloomberg, Yahoo! Finance and Axios. Guy holds a doctorate in economics from Yale University.Here’s a glimpse of what you’ll learn:  What is “The Great Stay” economy with the labor market and housing? Why stagnation in jobs means fewer home sales and why fewer home sales means fewer job openings How companies are hoarding labor like Americans are hoarding real estate When will this Great Stay era end? How the labor market will change with reduced immigration and which sectors will be hit the hardest Will the Fed pivot in 2025 to growing employment or will we still be fighting inflation? The most important demographic trends to consider in the next few years Outlook for the future of jobs in America with big trends like AI and remote work Resources mentioned in this episode: The Burning Glass Institute Guy Berger | LinkedIn Mike Simonsen on LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos ResearchA true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets.Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos ResearchThe Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research.Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels.Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.The Top of Mind podcast features top real estate industry insiders and experts to unpack the most important housing, real estate, mortgage data and trends that are shaping the housing market. Hosted by Altos founder Mike Simonsen and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio.
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Dec 17, 2024 • 15min

What rising inventory means for the 2025 housing market (12/16/24 Market Update)

Welcome to How’s the Market, our weekly look at what’s happening in the US housing market, powered by data from Altos Research.If you want to see all the inventory, pricing, and supply and demand charts we reference in the show, head on over to our YouTube channel at https://youtube.com/altosresearch.Hosted by Mike Simonsen, President of Altos ResearchA true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. Altos provides national and local real estate data to financial institutions, real estate professionals, and investors across the country, and the company is now part of HW Media, publisher of HousingWire and RealTrends. Mike uses Altos data to identify trends in the real estate market well before the headlines, and his work has been featured in the New York Times, The Atlantic, Fortune, Forbes and other publications.
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Dec 10, 2024 • 16min

Will 2025 finally be a normal housing market? (12/9/24 Market Update)

Welcome to How’s the Market, our weekly look at what’s happening in the US housing market, powered by data from Altos Research.If you want to see all the inventory, pricing, and supply and demand charts we reference in the show, head on over to our YouTube channel at https://youtube.com/altosresearch.Hosted by Mike Simonsen, President of Altos ResearchA true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. Altos provides national and local real estate data to financial institutions, real estate professionals, and investors across the country, and the company is now part of HW Media, publisher of HousingWire and RealTrends. Mike uses Altos data to identify trends in the real estate market well before the headlines, and his work has been featured in the New York Times, The Atlantic, Fortune, Forbes and other publications.
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Dec 4, 2024 • 1h 1min

The Latest on the Distressed Housing Market with Daren Blomquist

In this episode of the Top of Mind podcast, Mike Simonsen sits down with Daren Blomquist from Auction.com to talk about the state of the distressed housing market. About Daren BlomquistDaren Blomquist is vice president of market economics at Auction.com. In this role, Blomquist analyzes and forecasts complex macro and microeconomic data trends within the marketplace and industry to provide value to both buyers and sellers using the Auction.com platform.Daren’s reports and analysis have been cited by thousands of media outlets — including all the major news networks and leading publications such as The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times and USA TODAY. Daren has been quoted in hundreds of publications and has appeared on many national network broadcasts, including CBS, ABC, CNN, CNBC, FOX Business and Bloomberg.Here’s a glimpse of what you’ll learn:  What their investor activity tells us about housing demand right now What their leading indicators say about home sales in 2025 The surprising trends with distressed borrowers in 2024 Which states have distressed and foreclosure levels approaching 2019 (it’s not what you’d think) Which states have 80% fewer foreclosures now than in 2019 The notable new demand trends for distressed property buyers in 2024 The #1 reason their clients aren’t buying homes The leading indicators in their data and what it tells us about 2025 The new phenomenon of “Foreclosure Spin Cycle” and what it means for American homeowners Daren’s bearish forecast for home prices in 2025 and 2026 Resources mentioned in this episode: Daren Blomquist | LinkedIn Auction.com Mike Simonsen | LinkedIn Altos Research Featuring Mike Simonsen, President of Altos ResearchA true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country. Mike's insights on the market have been featured in Forbes, New York Times, Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, Seattle PI, and many other national media outlets.Follow us on Twitter for more data analysis and insights: Altos on Twitter Mike on Twitter About Altos ResearchThe Top of Mind Podcast is produced by Altos Research.Each week, Altos tracks every home for sale in the country - all the pricing, and all the changes in pricing - and synthesizes those analytics to make them available before becoming visible through traditional channels.Schedule a demo to see Altos in action. You can also get a copy of our free eBook: How To Use Market Data to Build Your Real Estate Business.The Top of Mind podcast features top real estate industry insiders and experts to unpack the most important housing, real estate, mortgage data and trends that are shaping the housing market. Hosted by Altos founder Mike Simonsen and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio.
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Dec 3, 2024 • 15min

How migration is dividing the housing market in two (12/2/24 Market Update)

Welcome to How’s the Market, our weekly look at what’s happening in the US housing market, powered by data from Altos Research.If you want to see all the inventory, pricing, and supply and demand charts we reference in the show, head on over to our YouTube channel at https://youtube.com/altosresearch.Hosted by Mike Simonsen, President of Altos ResearchA true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. Altos provides national and local real estate data to financial institutions, real estate professionals, and investors across the country, and the company is now part of HW Media, publisher of HousingWire and RealTrends. Mike uses Altos data to identify trends in the real estate market well before the headlines, and his work has been featured in the New York Times, The Atlantic, Fortune, Forbes and other publications.
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Nov 26, 2024 • 12min

Buying a home is growing even less affordable (11/25/24 Market Update)

Welcome to How’s the Market, our weekly look at what’s happening in the US housing market, powered by data from Altos Research.If you want to see all the inventory, pricing, and supply and demand charts we reference in the show, head on over to our YouTube channel at https://youtube.com/altosresearch.Hosted by Mike Simonsen, President of Altos ResearchA true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. Altos provides national and local real estate data to financial institutions, real estate professionals, and investors across the country, and the company is now part of HW Media, publisher of HousingWire and RealTrends. Mike uses Altos data to identify trends in the real estate market well before the headlines, and his work has been featured in the New York Times, The Atlantic, Fortune, Forbes and other publications.

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