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Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Latest episodes

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Oct 18, 2024 • 1h 17min

Harris on Harris vs. Trump

Ben Harris, Director of Economic Studies at Brookings and former economic advisor, discusses the contentious 2024 election landscape. He evaluates the economic policies of Vice President Harris and former President Trump, illustrating how their differing agendas could shape future governance. Harris highlights inflation trends, the impact of price gouging proposals, and the complexities of capital gains taxation. The conversation also delves into the significance of renewable energy amid geopolitical tensions and the importance of addressing housing supply challenges for first-time buyers.
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Oct 11, 2024 • 1h 13min

Consumer Prices & Catastrophic Hurricanes

Matt Colyar and Adam “Hurricane” Kamins join the podcast to discuss this week’s inflation data and the economic impact of Hurricane Milton. The team parses the latest CPI report and debates whether inflation is “sticky” or “moderating”.  Adam discusses his work on estimating the economic damage from the recent string of devastating hurricanes. The team also discusses the potential longer-term fallout on housing and migration in storm-prone areas like Florida.  For the paper on the impact of homeowners insurance on housing affordability click hereGuest: Matt Colyar - Assistant Director, Moody's AnalyticsGuest: Adam Kamins - Senior Director, Moody's AnalyticsHosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody’s AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn
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Oct 4, 2024 • 1h 1min

Michael Strain on the Jobs Report

Mark and Cris are joined by Dante and Michael Strain, Director of Economic Policy Studies at the American Enterprise Institute.  Dante kicks things off with a detailed summary of the stronger than expected U.S. employment report for September. Buoyant wage growth and upward revisions to July and August’s numbers confirm that the economy remains healthy.  The discussion then pivoted to the presidential election with Michael making a strong case for status quo economic policies and divided government.Check out Michael's Strain's Book: The American Dream Is Not DeadGuest: Michael R. Strain - Director of Economic Policy Studies, American Enterprise Institute (AEI)Guest: Dante DeAntonio, Senior Director of Economic Research, Moody's AnalyticsHosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody’s AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn
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Sep 27, 2024 • 1h 11min

Best.Economy.Ever.

Is this the best economy ever? Given the big revisions to GDP and the steady stream of other stellar economic data, the Inside Economics team makes the case that it is.  Moderating inflation, full employment, stronger savings rates and steady corporate profits point to an economy that is stronger than consumer confidence suggests. The team also discusses the latest economic proposals from the presidential campaign and a recent opinion piece comparing Mark’s forecasts to those of Punxsutawney Phil. Editor’s note: Punxsutawney Phil has also been unfairly mischaracterized by the media. https://www.axios.com/2023/01/28/groundhog-day-punxsutawney-phil-spring-winterGuest: Matt Colyar - Assistant Director, Moody's AnalyticsHosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody’s AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn
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Sep 20, 2024 • 1h 11min

Fed's 50 and Our Forecast

Martin Wurm, Director of Economic Research at Moody’s Analytics, shares insights on the Fed's unexpected 50 basis point rate cut. He discusses the balancing act the Fed must perform between inflation and employment. The conversation dives into the impact of these cuts on the housing market, revealing a surge in mortgage applications. Wurm emphasizes the importance of the Fed's independence amidst political influences, while the team plays a fun statistics game, unraveling the mysteries behind a striking 14.2% figure linked to the economy.
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Sep 13, 2024 • 1h 13min

The Chicken or the Egg?

The Inside Economics team breaks down the latest inflation data -- August’s consumer price index. They unpack the underlying components, focusing most of their attention on the confounding acceleration in shelter inflation. “Eggflation” makes a return to the podcast as well. Nevertheless, U.S. inflation has cooled considerably, and the Fed is set to start lowering their policy rate at next week’s meeting. What will that mean for U.S. consumers and businesses? Finally, Marisa takes some listener questions and Matt reads some (mostly positive) reviews of the Inside Economics podcast.  Guest: Matt Colyar - Assistant Director, Moody's AnalyticsHosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody’s AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn
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Sep 6, 2024 • 35min

August Jobs: Pretty Good

The Inside Economics crew gathers in Southern California for an early morning reaction to the August jobs report, which they all concur is “pretty good”. They discuss the implications of slowing job growth for the Fed’s upcoming meetings as well as the presidential election. Finally, they all give their odds for a recession occurring in the next year—Cris remains the bear of the group. Guest: Dante DeAntonio - Senior Director, Economic ResearchHosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody’s AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn
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Aug 30, 2024 • 1h 11min

The Economy's Highs and Lows

The Inside Economics team discusses what they found most encouraging and disquieting in the blizzard of economic releases and events of this past week. Emily Mandel, our state and local government expert, also weighs in on the fiscal health of states and how the economy is performing in states that stand to swing the Presidential election. The group also takes up listener questions; keep the Qs coming. Guest: Emily Mandel - Associate Director, Senior Economist, Moody's AnalyticsHosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody’s AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X' @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn
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Aug 23, 2024 • 1h 11min

Economic Potpourri

Brendan LaCerda joins economic experts Mark Zandi, Cris deRitis, and Marisa DiNatale for a wide-ranging discussion. They tackle the Canadian railroad workers strike and key insights from Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech. The hosts share intriguing findings on U.S. employment revisions potentially overestimating job numbers. They also explore urban housing market dynamics, the significance of personal savings rates, and the implications of recent economic trends on homeownership and consumer behavior.
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Aug 16, 2024 • 45min

Groceries & Gouging

The hosts dive into the latest inflation trends, noting a cooling in consumer prices while questioning if corporations are unfairly keeping prices high. They explore the rise in grocery prices since the pandemic and debate the effectiveness of proposed price gouging policies. The impact of institutional investors on housing dynamics and the complexities of inflation, particularly in essential markets like food and energy, are thoroughly examined. Expect insights mingled with spirited discussions and humor!

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