

Philip Tetlock
Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, legendary social scientist, and expert in forecasting.
Top 3 podcasts with Philip Tetlock
Ranked by the Snipd community

92 snips
Dec 8, 2015 • 50min
#6 Philip Tetlock: How to See the Future
In this episode of the Knowledge Project, I chat with professor and New York Times best-selling author Philip Tetlock about how we can get better at the art and science of predicting the future. Go Premium: Members get early access, ad-free episodes, hand-edited transcripts, searchable transcripts, member-only episodes, and more. Sign up at: https://fs.blog/membership/ Every Sunday our newsletter shares timeless insights and ideas that you can use at work and home. Add it to your inbox: https://fs.blog/newsletter/ Follow Shane on Twitter at: https://twitter.com/ShaneAParrish

5 snips
Apr 22, 2020 • 54min
Philip E. Tetlock on Forecasting and Foraging as a Fox
Philip E. Tetlock, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania and co-author of Superforecasting, dives into the fascinating world of prediction. He discusses the balance between entertainment and accuracy in forecasting, highlighting the challenges forecasters face to capture attention. Tetlock contrasts fox-like integrative thinkers with hedgehogs and lays out the importance of cognitive diversity in crisis forecasting. He also reflects on the impact of second cultures and offers insights into improving decision-making processes, all while navigating the complexities of human judgment.

Aug 26, 2019 • 40min
How to Forecast the Future
Philip Tetlock, a leading expert in forecasting and psychology at the University of Pennsylvania, sheds light on the art of prediction amidst today's uncertainties. He discusses the complex dynamics of economic forecasting, where psychological biases often cloud judgment. Tetlock emphasizes the tension between delivering entertaining soundbites and offering precise, informative predictions. He also highlights the need for accountability among forecasters and stresses the importance of embracing historical context and adaptive thinking in making accurate forecasts.