
Lakshya Jain
Co-founder of the data firm Split Ticket and head of political data at The Argument; provides polling analysis and interpretation about Trump’s approval ratings and implications for 2026.
Top 10 podcasts with Lakshya Jain
Ranked by the Snipd community

Sep 29, 2025 • 22min
Trump Is a Weak, Failing President. 5 Brutal New Polls Tell the Story.
In this insightful discussion, Lakshya Jain, co-founder of data firm Split Ticket, analyzes troubling polling data revealing Donald Trump's significant unpopularity. He highlights how this time, disapproval focuses on economic performance, unlike during his first term. The conversation also covers the backlash against Trump's aggressive immigration policies, flops from high-profile political maneuvers, and how typical political dynamics might resurface. Jain predicts a favorable outlook for Democrats in the upcoming 2026 midterms, marking a potential shift in party dynamics.

Sep 29, 2025 • 23min
The Daily Blast: Trump Is a Weak, Failing President. 5 Brutal New Polls Tell the Story.
In this discussion, Lakshya Jain, co-founder of Split Ticket and head of political data at The Argument, reveals the latest grim poll numbers for Donald Trump. They delve into how Trump's approval ratings are plummeting, particularly regarding the economy and immigration. Despite media narratives of strength, Jain highlights how Trump's recent public controversies have followed a concerning trend. The conversation also explores the implications for the upcoming midterms, suggesting Democrats may be in a better position than commonly assumed.

May 6, 2025 • 24min
Trump Seethes as Karl Rove Delivers Harsh On-Air Warning about Polls
Lakshya Jain, co-founder of the Split Ticket election site, dives into the political fallout for Trump over recent commentary from strategist Karl Rove about his plummeting approval ratings. Jain explains how Trump is surprisingly losing grip on immigration, a supposed strong suit, and explores the shifting public sentiment regarding his controversial proposals. The discussion includes insights on how Democrats can leverage these trends, highlighting the delicate balance between border security and humane immigration policies.

May 6, 2025 • 24min
The Daily Blast: Trump Seethes as Karl Rove Delivers Harsh On-Air Warning about Polls
Lakshya Jain, co-founder of the Split Ticket election site, weighs in on President Trump's tension with Karl Rove over slipping approval ratings. Jain explains how Trump is losing ground on immigration, traditionally a stronghold for him. The conversation dives into the changing political landscape, voter sentiments regarding due process, and the repercussions of Trump's hardline approach. Jain also discusses how Democrats can strategically capitalize on this shift, highlighting the need for nuanced discourse in immigration politics.

Nov 1, 2024 • 45min
What top election forecasters are predicting for Tuesday
Lakshya Jain, CEO of Split Ticket, and Logan Phillips, founder of Race to the White House, delve into the world of election forecasting. They dissect early voting trends and the dynamics of swing voters, emphasizing how polls can be more revealing than often credited. The duo shares insights on the evolving voter landscape, noting how demographics and candidate experience influence decisions. They conclude with intriguing predictions about which races could signal the next president on Election Night.

Oct 25, 2024 • 59min
Modeling the 2024 Race ft. Lakshya Jain
Lakshya Jain, the CEO and co-founder of Split Ticket, shares his insights into the 2024 presidential race. He discusses the difficulties in modeling this election and why polling can be misleading. Jain analyzes the phenomenon of 'shy' Trump voters and what this means for poll accuracy. The conversation also covers crucial indicators to watch on election night and the shifting dynamics of the congressional races. With changing attitudes towards vote by mail and key locality trends, Jain provides a nuanced view of the electoral landscape.

Sep 10, 2024 • 29min
The Serious Case for Not Panicking About Trump’s Scary New Polling
Lakshya Jain, a data analyst from Split Ticket, brings insightful analytics to the table as he discusses the upcoming debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. He emphasizes the importance of engaging undecided voters and building a supportive coalition for Harris. Jain outlines strategies Harris can utilize to convey her message effectively, particularly on hot-button issues like abortion and economic concerns. He offers a cautiously optimistic perspective on Harris's chances to prevail by harnessing her unique narrative and connecting with diverse voter demographics.

Sep 10, 2024 • 29min
The Daily Blast: The Serious Case for Not Panicking About Trump’s Scary New Polling
Lakshya Jain from Split Ticket joins to discuss the upcoming debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, where polls show a tight race. He shares insights on the strategies Harris needs to employ for success, emphasizing the importance of focusing on key voter demographics. Jain explains how historical polling dynamics can inform current outreach efforts and highlights the potential impact of effective messaging on undecided voters. His cautious optimism reflects a strategic approach to navigating the electoral landscape.

Aug 22, 2024 • 26min
The Daily Blast: Trump’s Angry New Rants About the Obamas Betray a Deeper MAGA Fear
Data analyst Lakshya Jain, co-author of a thought-provoking piece in Politico Magazine, dives into Trump's fiery responses to the Obamas' critiques. Amidst his outrage, Jain explores how evolving voter sentiments are shifting in favor of Kamala Harris. The discussion uncovers the formation of an anti-MAGA coalition, highlighting the psychological strategies politicians employ and the impact of media on public perception. The urgency for the Trump campaign to adapt to these changes is palpable as new polling data reveals significant trends among diverse voter groups.

Aug 22, 2024 • 27min
Trump’s Angry New Rants About the Obamas Betray a Deeper MAGA Fear
Lakshya Jain, a data analyst and co-author of an insightful Politico Magazine piece, joins the conversation to dissect Donald Trump's recent rants against Barack and Michelle Obama. They explore how these outbursts reveal his deeper fears about a united anti-MAGA coalition. Jain shares compelling data showing a shift in voter support toward Kamala Harris, particularly among diverse demographics. The discussion highlights the evolving political landscape, the psychological tactics politicians use in crisis, and the challenges awaiting Trump as the 2024 election approaches.