

Modeling the 2024 Race ft. Lakshya Jain
Oct 25, 2024
Lakshya Jain, the CEO and co-founder of Split Ticket, shares his insights into the 2024 presidential race. He discusses the difficulties in modeling this election and why polling can be misleading. Jain analyzes the phenomenon of 'shy' Trump voters and what this means for poll accuracy. The conversation also covers crucial indicators to watch on election night and the shifting dynamics of the congressional races. With changing attitudes towards vote by mail and key locality trends, Jain provides a nuanced view of the electoral landscape.
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Intro
00:00 • 2min
Examining the Decline of Polling in the 2024 Presidential Race
01:57 • 4min
Understanding Trump's Shy Voter Phenomenon
05:34 • 27min
Navigating Polling and Perception Challenges
32:27 • 6min
Understanding Polling Dynamics and Election Night Indicators
38:52 • 4min
Vote by Mail Dynamics in 2024
43:14 • 5min
2024 Congressional Race Dynamics
48:19 • 10min