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Modeling the 2024 Race ft. Lakshya Jain

The New Liberal Podcast

CHAPTER

Understanding Trump's Shy Voter Phenomenon

This chapter explores the challenges faced by pollsters in accurately capturing the sentiments of Trump's voter base, highlighting the concepts of 'shy' and 'silent' voters. It emphasizes the implications of entrenched opinions, partisanship, and political polarization in shaping poll results ahead of the 2024 election. The discussion critiques media narratives that simplify polling complexities and underscores the importance of nuanced interpretation of electoral probabilities.

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