Jude Blanchette, Head of the China Center at RAND, and Ryan Hass, a Brookings Institution Fellow and former China policy expert, delve into the vital U.S.-China relationship dynamics. They discuss Trump's tariff threats and military concerns in the Taiwan Strait while contemplating a potential 'grand bargain' between Trump and Xi. The conversation highlights the risks of American decline and the complexities of assessing China's growing influence amid shifting geopolitical realities, including its ties with Europe and Russia.

This week on Sinica, Kaiser and Jeremy welcome Lizzi Lee (李其 Lǐ Qi), SupChina contributor and host of the excellent Chinese-language YouTube channel Wall Street Today, and Jude Blanchette, Freeman Chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), to talk about the spate of regulatory actions, new rules, and Party-led initiatives that, taken together, we at SupChina have started calling the “Red New Deal.” Can these be understood as different facets of a larger, overarching program to remake China’s economy and society? Or are they better understood as distinct moves by different bureaucracies within the Party-state that happen to coincide in time? Listen in as we try to sort through what it all means.11:42 - Lizzi’s contrarian take on whether the new regulation adds up to something bigger15:00 - The logic of the political calendar in China22:56 - What did the response to the Li Guangman viral post mean?33:14 - Kevin Rudd’s take on what it all means – the “red thread”43:32 - No, this isn’t the Cultural Revolution53:00 - Is this a return to true communism?57:34 - Is Xi Jinping China’s biggest tiger mom?A transcript of this interview is available on SupChina.com.RecommendationsJeremy: NüVoices Podcast: Barabara Demick on Eat the Buddha, the final NüVoices episode on SupChina; and the Vice video on YouTube, How China's Queer Youth Built An Underground Ballroom Scene.Lizzi: Desmond Shum’s book Red Roulette: An Insider's Story of Wealth, Power, Corruption, and Vengeance in Today's China.Jude: The New Class: An Analysis of the Communist System by Milovan Djilas.Kaiser: Shutdown: How COVID Shook the World Economy by Adam Tooze; Reservation Dogs (TV show from FX).See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

A second full episode this week for you Sinica listeners! Jude Blanchette joins to talk about the House Select Committee on United States Competition with the Chinese Communist Party, and all that is wrong with it, from its framing of the CCP as an "existential threat" to its focus on the CCP, and how all of this adds up to an embarrassing moral panic that distracts from the serious issues the U.S. confronts when it comes to China.4:37 – What’s wrong with the Select Committee’s framing of China as an “existential threat,” and why the first hearing was an embarrassment9:01 – The current moment as a moral panic over China12:09 – Domestic political drivers of U.S. China policy15:04 – Why the United States versus the Chinese Communist Party is the wrong framing too22:46 – Is this more like McCarthyism — or antisemitism? 28:58 – The downstream effects of U.S. tech containment policy toward China42:01 – The advantage of simplistic, Manichean messaging46:15 – Prioritizing U.S. issues with China: why Confucius Institutes and TikTok are so far down the to-do list, and what really matters48:59 – And what are the real issues that deserve priority?A complete transcript of this podcast is available at TheChinaProject.comRecommendations:Jude: Miracle and Wonder: Conversations with Paul Simon by Malcolm Gladwell and Bruce Headlam, from AudibleKaiser: This podcast interview with Angela Rasmussen, the virologist who has been in the front lines fighting back against the resurgent lab leak theory, from the Slate What Next: TBD podcastSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

In this discussion, Jude Blanchette and Gerard DiPippo, researchers at CSIS, dive into the potential fallout from a Chinese victory over Taiwan. They analyze political and economic repercussions and the global shift in power dynamics. The conversation unpacks China’s military strategies, the international community's responses, and the importance of deterrence. They explore hypothetical scenarios, including alternate histories influenced by geopolitical tensions, emphasizing the broad implications for global stability and supply chains.

Jude Blanchette, a Freeman Chair in China Studies, teams up with Manoj Kewalramani, an expert in Indo-Pacific studies, to dissect Sino-India relations. They dive into the complexities of interpreting Beijing’s dynamics and the evolution of dialogue under Xi Jinping. Challenges like the Doklam standoff and the strategic roles of SCO and BRICS are discussed, along with India's rising prospects as a global supply chain alternative to China. Their insights illuminate the intricacies of geopolitical rivalries and economic interdependencies.