ChinaTalk War for Taiwan: What Happens If China Wins?
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Jan 23, 2023 
In this discussion, Jude Blanchette and Gerard DiPippo, researchers at CSIS, dive into the potential fallout from a Chinese victory over Taiwan. They analyze political and economic repercussions and the global shift in power dynamics. The conversation unpacks China’s military strategies, the international community's responses, and the importance of deterrence. They explore hypothetical scenarios, including alternate histories influenced by geopolitical tensions, emphasizing the broad implications for global stability and supply chains.
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Lack of Analysis on PRC Taiwan Takeover
- There's a gap in analysis of the economic/political consequences of a Chinese takeover of Taiwan.
- This gap is salient in discussions about the potential conflict.
Focus on Military Aspects
- Analysis often focuses on military aspects, neglecting diplomatic and economic factors.
- The latter are more speculative and less amenable to traditional analysis methods.
Initial Reactions to Conflict
- In the lead-up to conflict, uncertainty reigns supreme, affecting markets and businesses.
- Direct investors might adopt a "wait-and-see" approach unlike portfolio investors.
