ChinaTalk
War for Taiwan: What Happens If China Wins?
Jan 23, 2023
In this discussion, Jude Blanchette and Gerard DiPippo, researchers at CSIS, dive into the potential fallout from a Chinese victory over Taiwan. They analyze political and economic repercussions and the global shift in power dynamics. The conversation unpacks China’s military strategies, the international community's responses, and the importance of deterrence. They explore hypothetical scenarios, including alternate histories influenced by geopolitical tensions, emphasizing the broad implications for global stability and supply chains.
01:04:23
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Quick takeaways
- US warnings and sanctions could impact global markets post-conflict.
- Occupying Taiwan entails complex governance challenges and post-war uncertainties.
Deep dives
Analyzing the Economic and Political Consequences of a Chinese Victory in a Taiwan Conflict
Speculative scenario analysis explores the economic, political, and geopolitical consequences if China prevails in a conflict involving Taiwan. Analyzing such a scenario sheds light on gaps in existing assessments and emphasizes the need to consider the financial, economic, and diplomatic ramifications alongside military aspects.
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