Adam Posen

Adam Posen, President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, dives into the complexities of global trade imbalances and the effects of tariffs initiated during Trump’s trade war. He warns that these policies may hinder labor productivity and economic growth by causing businesses to hesitate on major investments. The discussion also touches on Coca-Cola's unexpected earnings amidst tariff challenges, the GOP's proposal to tax electric vehicle owners for road maintenance, and the cooling trend in the Sunbelt housing market.

Gene Seroka, CEO of the Port of LA, discusses how tariffs are affecting port traffic and the looming dangers for the U.S. economy. He predicts a potential 10% drop in cargo volume, highlighting the uncertainty in trade. Meanwhile, Adam Posen, President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, shares insights from his article on the pitfalls of trade wars. Both guests dissect the interlinked fates of U.S. and Chinese markets and the ramifications of tariffs on employment and economic growth.

Economists Adam Posen, Zongyuan Zoe Liu, and Michael Pettis discuss the causes of China's economic stagnation, including the lack of consumer rebound and the challenges of transitioning to a new growth model. They also explore the impact of China's foreign policy and civil-military fusion strategy, and the concept of the middle income trap on the rise and fall of the private sector.

Sebastien Page, Chief Investment Officer at T. Rowe Price, shares insights on cautious investment strategies amidst market volatility. Adam Posen, head of the Peterson Institute, critiques current tariff policies and their role in economic dynamics. Nouriel Roubini, NYU Professor and CEO of Roubini Macro Associates, discusses China's AI advancements and their global market impacts. The trio explores how rising long-end rates and geopolitical tensions reshape investment landscapes and corporate culture while highlighting the transformative potential of AI on growth and productivity.

Adam Posen, President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, offers keen insights into the recent temporary pause in the U.S.-China tariff war. He discusses the negative impact of tariffs already felt in various sectors, particularly among soybean farmers. Posen also highlights the innovative approaches that Chinese manufacturers are using on social media platforms like TikTok to access American consumers, illustrating the evolving landscape of international trade relations.

Adam Posen, President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, discusses the US's tough stance on China. Topics include China's economic shift under President Xi, US misconceptions about manufacturing, unilateralism in economic policies, proposed changes in US policy towards China, and counterarguments to views on China's economic behavior and national security.

Adam Posen, President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics and former Bank of England committee member, shares insights on the Biden administration's industrial policy. He warns that the push for domestic manufacturing, especially in tech and green sectors, is based on flawed economic logic. Posen critiques the strategy for addressing competition from China, advocating for a more nuanced approach focusing on attracting talent rather than relying on aggressive subsidies. He emphasizes the need for balance in navigating complex geopolitical and economic realities.

Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, still sees the Fed hiking by 25 basis points in May following the March CPI print. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund Portfolio Manager, says the direction of the banking crisis is "clear" but "the magnitude is not." Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President & former BOE Monetary Policy Committee member, discusses the problems with subsidies in global trade. Tim Adams, Institute of International Finance President and CEO & former Under Secretary of Treasury for International Affairs, says this isn't a banking crisis. Mark Kimmitt, former US Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs & Retired Brigadier General, discusses the leak of classified documents. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Adam Posen, President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics and former member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, critiques Jerome Powell's recent Jackson Hole speech. He argues that a 'rifle shot' approach to the labor market is unwarranted, given current economic conditions. The discussion delves into the implications of recent labor market trends, the risks of oversimplifying complex economic issues, and the influence of upcoming elections on economic forecasting. Posen emphasizes the need for a broader perspective in monetary policy.

Adam Posen, President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, discusses the Fed's outlook and the implications of Trump's economic policies. He highlights concerns over potential rate hikes and inflationary effects from proposed tariffs. Sarah Wolfe, Senior Economist at Morgan Stanley, comments on jobless claims and hints at a possible rate cut in early 2025. Together, they explore the interplay between macroeconomic trends, protectionism, and the evolving labor market, offering keen insights for investors amidst rising tensions.