AXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast

14 - Infra-Bayesian Physicalism with Vanessa Kosoy

Apr 5, 2022

01:47:31

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Highlights

AI Chapters

Episode notes

The Contribution of Imperfect Probability to Informationism

01:50

How the Self Is Fitting in in the Computational Universe

04:42

Open Source Game Theory - Is Physicalism Really Necessary?

04:51

Introduction

3min

The Contribution of Imperfect Probability to Informationism

2min

What Kind of Behavior Can We Get With Informationism?

2min

Bayesian Updates in the Even and Odd Bits Scenario?

2min

What Kind of Insights Would You Like to Get Out of This Interview?

3min

Artificial Intelligence

5min

Using a Cartesian Eye System to Solve a Problem of Naturalized Agency

4min

How Do You Deal With the Translation Between the Bird's Eye View and the Subjective?

2min

Naturalized Induction and Information Physicalism

2min

10.

Open Source Game Theory - Is Physicalism Really Necessary?

5min

11.

Logical Counterfactuals in Informationism

2min

12.

Nycan Uncertainty and Informationism

2min

13.

What Is Information and Physicalism and How Does It Work?

2min

14.

Is the Riemann Hypothesis True or False?

2min

15.

Infra Distributions and Convex Sets of Distributions

2min

16.

Is There a Simplified Prior?

2min

17.

How Much Work Do I Have to Do to Specify That Entanglement?

2min

18.

How the Self Is Fitting in in the Computational Universe

5min

19.

Is the Universe Running a Program?

3min

20.

The Theory of Anthropics

3min

21.

Is There a Loss Function in the Cybernetic Framework?

3min

22.

The Monotonicity Principle

2min

23.

The Bridge Transform and Informationism

3min

24.

How to Be a Physicalist Paper Clip Maximizer

2min

25.

What Would It Look Like to Have a Selfish Loss Function?

2min

26.

Is There a Difference Between a Physical and a Simulation?

2min

27.

How Do I Make Decisions Given These World Models and Loss Functions?

6min

28.

Is the Continuous History of Your Program Existing?

2min

29.

XI - Lost Bounds or Something Like That?

4min

30.

Is Information Physicalism a Good Solution to the Confusion of Quantum Mechanics?

5min

31.

Is There a Local Realism in Quantum Mechanics?

4min

32.

Is There Any Compliment to Information Ism or Information Physicalism?

2min

33.

How Do We Translate the Problems That We Care About Into Mathematical Models?

4min

34.

Is There Anything That You Think I Should Have Said?

3min

35.

The Assimilation of the AI and the Assimulation Hypothesis

3min

36.

Is There a Way to Define Information Physicalism?

4min

37.

The Last Question I Need to Ask You About Your Work

2min

Late last year, Vanessa Kosoy and Alexander Appel published some research under the heading of "Infra-Bayesian physicalism". But wait - what was infra-Bayesianism again? Why should we care? And what does any of this have to do with physicalism? In this episode, I talk with Vanessa Kosoy about these questions, and get a technical overview of how infra-Bayesian physicalism works and what its implications are.

Topics we discuss, and timestamps:

- 00:00:48 - The basics of infra-Bayes

- 00:08:32 - An invitation to infra-Bayes

- 00:11:23 - What is naturalized induction?

- 00:19:53 - How infra-Bayesian physicalism helps with naturalized induction

- 00:19:53 - Bridge rules

- 00:22:22 - Logical uncertainty

- 00:23:36 - Open source game theory

- 00:28:27 - Logical counterfactuals

- 00:30:55 - Self-improvement

- 00:32:40 - How infra-Bayesian physicalism works

- 00:32:47 - World models