Hidden Forces

How to Think About the Current Moment in A.I. | John Borthwick

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Apr 10, 2023
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INSIGHT

Chat Interfaces As A New Internet Layer

  • The public treats "AI" as a catchall shaped by Hollywood and recent consumer apps like ChatGPT.
  • John Borthwick says large-language chat interfaces are becoming a new discovery layer for the internet.
INSIGHT

Scaling Revealed Emergent Model Behaviors

  • Neural network scaling surprised many experts by producing unexpected, useful behaviors.
  • Borthwick notes the computationalist approach has outperformed symbolic-SYSTEM expectations recently.
ADVICE

Plan For Rapid Cost Deflation

  • Watch model-cost deflation: cheaper training unlocks wider access and faster iteration.
  • Plan product and policy choices assuming models will keep getting far cheaper to train and run.
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