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Hidden Forces

Latest episodes

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29 snips
Apr 7, 2025 • 55min

Are We About to Enter the First White-Collar Recession? | James van Geelen

James van Geelen, founder of Citrini Research and expert in thematic equity research, joins the conversation to analyze transformative megatrends influencing today's economy. They discuss the looming white-collar recession, driven by wealth disparities and the rise of AI, promising to reshape the workforce. Delving into global economic shifts, they explore the consequences of U.S. fiscal austerity and international stimulus efforts. The impact on the Democratic Party amid job losses and evolving consumer behavior is a focal point, highlighting how economic policies can redefine politics.
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51 snips
Mar 31, 2025 • 58min

Why Fiscal Policy Is What Really Matters For Investors | Kevin Muir

In this discussion, Kevin Muir, an independent trader and writer for Macro Tourist, delves into the significance of fiscal policy in shaping investment landscapes. He argues that government spending has driven investor outperformance over the past five years, often overshadowing the impact of monetary policy. Muir also explores the risks of fiscal austerity, trade tariffs, and their potential to depress asset prices and the U.S. dollar. Additionally, he highlights emerging investment opportunities in global markets, particularly in response to evolving political strategies.
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127 snips
Mar 24, 2025 • 53min

Navigating the Twin Crises of the 2020s | George Friedman

In this insightful discussion, George Friedman, a renowned geopolitical analyst and founder of Geopolitical Futures, shares his expertise on the intertwined institutional and socioeconomic cycles shaping the 2020s. He delves into pivotal moments in American history, from Andrew Jackson to the Reagan Revolution, and discusses the concurrent crises we face today. Friedman highlights how 'woke ideology' reflects the decline of traditional institutions and predicts a revitalization of the economy. He also outlines a potential roadmap for geopolitical stability, focusing on Russia and the Middle East.
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54 snips
Mar 17, 2025 • 57min

Is the US at Risk of Losing the Long-Game to China? | Rush Doshi

Rush Doshi, former Deputy Senior Director for China and Taiwan on the National Security Council and author of 'The Long Game,' discusses the complexities of U.S.-China relations. He critiques the bipartisan consensus on China and the Trump administration’s approach to trade as it navigates this strategic rivalry. The conversation dives into the historical roots of China's nationalism and its proactive global ambitions since the century of humiliation. Doshi emphasizes the need for nuanced U.S. foreign policy to address the challenges posed by China’s rise.
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17 snips
Mar 10, 2025 • 57min

Living In Wonder: Finding Mystery and Meaning in a Secular Age | Rod Dreher

Rod Dreher, an influential conservative writer known for his insights on religion and culture, engages in a captivating discussion about modernity's crisis and our quest for meaning. He reflects on the mysteries of existence, the importance of love, and the lessons from Eastern Christianity. Dreher shares his transformative journey and critiques materialism while emphasizing the need to embrace a broader spiritual understanding. He also explores how suffering can lead to spiritual growth and the implications of the simulation hypothesis in our search for identity and significance.
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41 snips
Mar 3, 2025 • 53min

Ending the Ukraine War: A Reset in U.S.-Russia Relations? | Andrea Kendall-Taylor & Michael Kofman

Andrea Kendall-Taylor, a senior fellow and director at the Center for a New American Security, and Michael Kofman, a senior research scientist at the Center for Naval Analyses, dive into the intricate negotiations between the U.S. and Russia over the Ukraine war. They discuss the evolving power dynamics within Russia, the significance of casualty reporting, and the implications for European security. The duo also critiques U.S. foreign policy strategies, especially during the Trump administration, while exploring the complex influences of China and nuclear doctrines on global relations.
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29 snips
Feb 17, 2025 • 57min

A Turning Point for Value Investing | Mark Holowesko

Mark Holowesko, Founding Partner and CEO of Holowesko Partners, shares insights on value investing amidst global economic shifts. He highlights concerns over government debt's impact on inflation and interest rates. The conversation delves into the recent resurgence of value investing and promising opportunities, especially in the UK and Japan. Holowesko also discusses the role of gold in investment portfolios and navigates the complexities of investing in China, emphasizing a nuanced approach to risk assessment in today's market landscape.
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116 snips
Feb 13, 2025 • 1h 39min

Navigating the Fourth Turning: Power, Technology, & Moral Decline | Demetri Kofinas

In this discussion, Grant Williams, a keen observer of American politics, teams up with Demetri Kofinas to dissect the moral and societal upheavals as we navigate what Neil Howe describes as 'The Fourth Turning.' They explore how political power and technological shifts contribute to a decline in trust and personal accountability. From the implications of financial nihilism to the fragility of complex systems, they unravel the interconnectedness of historical cycles and today’s tumultuous landscape, urging listeners to blend caution with opportunism in these transformative times.
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25 snips
Feb 10, 2025 • 1h 8min

Taking the Chainsaw to Argentina's Bureaucracy | Federico Sturzenegger

Federico Sturzenegger, head of Argentina's Ministry of Deregulation, shares insights on the country's turbulent political and economic history. He discusses the ambitious reforms initiated by President Javier Milei to restore Argentina's economic freedom. Sturzenegger highlights the importance of attracting foreign investment through fiscal stability, and the revolutionary 'chainsaw' approach aimed at cutting bureaucratic red tape. The conversation also draws compelling comparisons between Argentina's and the U.S.'s approaches to governance and deregulation.
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Feb 3, 2025 • 47min

Is a Libertarian Revolution Underway in Argentina? | Bowtied Mara

In this engaging conversation, Bowtied Mara, a Dutch expat and political commentator, sheds light on Argentina's dynamic political landscape. They explore the historical impacts of Juan Perón and the rise of Javier Milei's libertarian agenda. Mara outlines Milei's ambitious economic reforms, including the overhaul of price controls and bureaucratic red tape. The discussion also touches on the unique challenges facing Argentina, such as currency alignment and the internal divides within the libertarian movement, suggesting a potential shift in the nation's political paradigm.

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