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Hidden Forces

Latest episodes

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25 snips
Dec 30, 2024 • 48min

Investing in Argentina, AI, and More in 2025 | Zach Abraham & Chase Taylor

Zach Abraham, founder of Bulwark Capital Management, and Chase Taylor, founder of Pinecone Macro Research, dive into the pressing economic landscape. They explore the Federal Reserve's recent policy shifts and the burgeoning investment opportunities in Argentina under Javier Milei's government. The discussion highlights how Argentina is shaping up as a model for Latin America amid changing economic tides. They also contemplate potential risks in U.S. equity markets and the evolving dynamics of national capitalism and AI regulation.
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22 snips
Dec 16, 2024 • 51min

The Fall of Damascus and the New Geopolitics of the Middle East | Kamran Bokhari

Kamran Bokhari, a geopolitical analyst and senior director at the New Lines Institute, delves into the fall of Damascus and its seismic impact on the Middle East's power dynamics. He highlights how Assad's ouster resembles a geopolitical earthquake, shifting influence from Riyadh to Ankara. The conversation also touches on the implications for Iran and its diminishing presence, the evolving relationships among Hezbollah and Israel, and the potential ripple effects on regional stability and Sunni Islamist movements.
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29 snips
Dec 9, 2024 • 60min

Will AI Generate a New Growth Wave of Creative Destruction? | Herman Mark Schwartz

Herman Mark Schwartz, a Politics professor at the University of Virginia and expert in economic development, joins for an insightful discussion. They delve into AI's potential to ignite a new wave of creative destruction rivaling past innovations. Schwartz outlines scenarios for future growth: an extension of current trends, a transformative AI-driven paradigm, or facing crises of resource shortages and geopolitical strife. The conversation also touches on the ethical implications of technology and governance in navigating these economic shifts.
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109 snips
Dec 2, 2024 • 57min

National Capitalism & Death of the International Monetary System | Russell Napier

In this engaging discussion, financial historian Russell Napier delves into the shifting landscape of global trade and monetary systems. He explores the fallout from the RMB's de-pegging from the USD and the implications of growing economic tensions between the U.S. and China. Napier emphasizes the importance of strategic asset selection amidst potential financial repression and offers insights on what assets to pursue or avoid in this new paradigm. He also speculates on the development of a Chinese-centric monetary order and its potential global impact.
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19 snips
Nov 25, 2024 • 52min

The End of the German Economic Miracle | Wolfgang Münchau

Wolfgang Münchau, director of Eurointelligence and author on the German economy, discusses the rise and decline of Germany's economic power. He highlights the 'German Miracle' of post-WWII growth and examines the structural weaknesses impacting its current state. Key topics include the misalignment between political incentives and economic needs, the pitfalls of Germany's capital model, and the nostalgia for past industrial successes. Münchau also addresses the geopolitical vulnerabilities exacerbated by reliance on Russian energy and the challenges posed by an evolving global landscape.
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7 snips
Nov 18, 2024 • 59min

De-banking, Censorship, and the Right to Die | Rupa Subramanya

Rupa Subramanya, a journalist at the Free Press, dives into pressing issues like de-banking and political censorship. She highlights the alarming trend of financial exclusion targeting dissenters and the complexities surrounding free speech in the digital era. Rupa also discusses the evolving right-to-die movement, addressing the ethical implications of assisted dying in society. The conversation challenges listeners to reflect on personal freedoms and the fragility of community ties amid growing political pressures.
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Nov 14, 2024 • 46min

Why the Fed Risks Losing Control of the Bond Market | Andy Constan

In this engaging discussion, guest Andy Constan, founder of Damped Spring Advisors and former high-level strategist at major financial firms, warns about the Federal Reserve's perilous grip on the long-end of the bond market. He argues that continued rate cuts could paradoxically tighten financial conditions. The conversation also dives into government finances, the potential economic implications of the upcoming Trump election, and the dynamics of the ongoing equity rally beyond major tech stocks, offering keen insights on valuation and market trends.
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Nov 11, 2024 • 50min

Semiconductors, Tariffs, & Chip Restrictions Under Trump | Chris Miller

Chris Miller, an associate professor at Tufts University and author of "Chip War," provides keen insights into the semiconductor industry’s future amidst potential political shifts. He discusses the implications of Trump's 2024 candidacy for U.S. industrial policy and the allocation of funds under the CHIPS Act. Miller delves into the challenges facing American manufacturers like Intel and TSMC, the efficacy of U.S. export controls against China, and the risks of China's tech growth overtaking Western advancements, especially in AI.
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7 snips
Nov 4, 2024 • 52min

Who Is Going to Win the 2024 U.S. Elections? | Henry Olsen

Henry Olsen, a political analyst and author known for his insights on electoral dynamics, shares his outlook on the 2024 presidential race. He discusses the importance of swing states and the significance of early voting trends. Olsen believes this election may rival the closeness of 2000, with potential economic implications depending on the outcome. The role of J.D. Vance is highlighted as a key figure in transforming Republican politics, while the challenges of trust in electoral recounts and the impact of Trump’s economic policies are examined, revealing a highly charged political landscape ahead.
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5 snips
Oct 28, 2024 • 57min

Turning Point: A New Security Order in the Middle East? | Joshua Landis

Joshua Landis, the Director of the Center for Middle East Studies at the University of Oklahoma, shares his insights on the contrasting futures of the Middle East: one of ongoing conflict and another of potential peace. He explores the implications of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Lebanon's political instability, and U.S.-Israel-Saudi partnerships for global security. Landis delves into the rise of sectarian divisions and critiques outdated foreign policies, highlighting the urgency for a cohesive approach to foster stability and unity in the region.

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