Pekingology

Economic Dynamics of a Cross-Strait Crisis

Apr 13, 2023

47:28

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Episode notes

Introduction

2min

The Macro and Microeconomic Implications of a Military Conflict

4min

The Risks of Cross-Rate Tensions in Investors and Enmensies

5min

The Importance of Risk Premiums in Investment Decisions

3min

The Risk of a Chinese Attack on Taiwan

2min

The Risks of Non-Invasion Scenarios

6min

The Importance of Deescalation in the Decision Tree

2min

The Escalatory Dynamic in the Real Economy

3min

The Dynamics of a Crisis

4min

10.

The Problem With Capital Controls in China

2min

11.

The Importance of Market Indicators in the Case of an Invasion

5min

12.

The Path to Annexation Without Economic Catastrophe

4min

13.

The Plausibility of Using Sanctions in Advance of a Conflict

2min

14.

The Economic Impacts of Globalization

2min

In this episode of Pekingology, Freeman Chair Jude Blanchette is joined by Gerard Dipippo – Senior Fellow in the Economics Program at CSIS, and Andrew Polk - Cofounder of Trivium China and Senior associate with the Freeman Chair in China Studies at CSIS. They discuss the economic and financial dynamics of a possible Taiwan Strait Crisis.