
Economic Dynamics of a Cross-Strait Crisis
Pekingology
The Plausibility of Using Sanctions in Advance of a Conflict
I think once that conflict happens, and especially if US forces are involved in taking casualties, yes, I think it's a very high probability we'll use... We'll go nuclear with sanctions. And part, by the way, because the physical disruptions without sanctions will be so severe, it's not clear to me the sanctions matter all that much anyway. So will we nuke? Would we SDN the PBOC if they think a US aircraft carrier? Yeah, I think we will. And then it's going to just be off to the races and it will be catastrophic.
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