ChinaTalk Moneyball and US State Department
Aug 22, 2022
Dan Spokojny, a former State Department FSO and founder of FP21, joins Jon Bateman, a senior fellow at Carnegie Endowment, to discuss reforming foreign policy decision-making. They tackle the limitations of current practices, emphasizing the need for evidence-based approaches over narrative-driven decisions. The conversation highlights the disparity in training between military and State Department officials, advocating for structured analysis and innovative forecasting. They also delve into the importance of integrating historical perspectives and utilizing technology in policymaking.
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State Department Internship
- Jordan recalls an internship at the State Department where writing skills were prioritized over analytical rigor.
- 'Juicy' cables were circulated, not those with real substance, revealing a focus on narrative.
Medicine's Evolution
- Dan Spokojny draws parallels between foreign policy and medicine's evolution.
- He highlights how doctors once practiced bloodletting, demonstrating the importance of evidence-based approaches.
Talent Evaluation
- While innate talent is valuable, effective talent evaluation is crucial.
- A General Manager needs a system, unlike individual players like Michael Jordan.
