From the New World

Zvi Mowshowitz - How the Worst People in Society Bungled a Pandemic

Aug 29, 2022

03:33:04

Creator website

Highlights

AI Chapters

Episode notes

I'm a Vegetarian, I Don't Believe in Meat Me

02:49

How to Train in Ai to Be Actively Good at Magic Gathering?

03:00

How to Make Good Predictions?

01:35

Introduction

2min

How Did You Get Started Playing Magic?

4min

Is There a Relationship Between Card Games and Agency?

2min

A Hae A, Agency Effectively

3min

The Team Dynamic in Magic, Is That Still True?

5min

What's the Strategy of the Pantheon?

3min

Chess Has the Problem of There's No Luck

4min

Wais Missing in the Old Version?

2min

Learning Curves in Competitive Programming

3min

10.

How to Train in Ai to Be Actively Good at Magic Gathering?

3min

11.

Is There a Difference Between a I and a I in Poker?

3min

12.

How to Play the Best in the Draft Without Knowing the Meda Game

3min

13.

How Do You Decipher Coved Pro Projections?

4min

14.

How to Make Good Predictions?

2min

15.

Don't Assume Competence, Right?

4min

16.

Is That Really How Things Work?

2min

17.

The Seedy Sea, Like, Screwing Up

2min

18.

Do You Want to Tell the Story?

3min

19.

Why Does Li Care About Running All the Tests Very Light?

4min

20.

What Is Narrative Hedging?

4min

21.

Is There an Indirect Coordination Around a Flag?

2min

22.

Is It Implicit?

2min

23.

Are We Using Quotas Red?

3min

24.

Dos Poc the Same Thing Happening?

3min

25.

Moral Mases

3min

26.

Is There a Difference Between the People and the People?

2min

27.

Is There Some Kind of Aversion to Engaging With Physical Reality and Explanatory Reasoning?

2min

28.

Adaptation Execution, Not Maximization Behavior

2min

29.

Do You Care About Covetests?

3min

30.

Do You Care About Your Child's Health?

2min

31.

Do You Know What You're Doing?

2min

32.

The Usefulness of Examples

2min

33.

What Is the Selection Effect of Procedure?

2min

34.

Is There a Selection Effect or a Shift Effect?

2min

35.

I'm a Vegetarian, I Don't Believe in Meat Me

3min

36.

Is It Just Pushing People Up to Their Limit?

3min

37.

How Do We Get Out of This Mess?

2min

38.

You're Not Good if You Don't Have Good Design

3min

39.

Social Climbing - Is That Really Your Model?

2min

40.

Is Social Climbing a Luxury Good?

4min

41.

Social Status

3min

42.

Is It Adaptation or Evolutionary Ajustement?

2min

43.

Are You Trying to Avoid These Hidden Motive Spaces?

2min

44.

Are the Incentives a Design Constraint?

2min

45.

Is Money Serving as a Proxy for Status?

3min

46.

The Status Competition With Your Boss

5min

47.

The End of History Is the One That Is Roundly Mocked

4min

48.

Is the History of Pornography a Good Book?

4min

49.

The Evolution of Modernism

2min

50.

We're Not That Broken, Right?

2min

51.

What's Your Model of Like Breakdown?

2min

52.

Energy, Economy of Scale and Populism

2min

53.

Deglobalization

2min

54.

I Agree With You on That Analysis.

2min

55.

Is the Afghanistan Retreat Deal?

3min

56.

The Green Chicken Guy

2min

57.

The Change Is Not to Fix the Public

2min

58.

Andrew Yang's Thesis Isn't for You

3min

59.

Canadian Public Helth Service Rit Was Far Worse

5min

60.

The Probability Distribution and the Imminence of Like, Type Two Errors

1min

61.

Is the Republican Party Working Like the Democratic Party?

4min

62.

The One Commandment Is Removing Legacy Bureaucrats

2min

63.

Is the Government Really Bad or Is It a Bad Organization?

2min

64.

Is Google Really a Government Organization?

2min

65.

The Principle of Small Business Is Not Working Together, Right?

2min

66.

Libertarianism and the Libertarian Party

3min

67.

The Regan Revolution, Right?

2min

68.

The Libertarian Party Is a Chicken in the Egg Problem

4min

69.

The Best Education Campaign Is Like a Trading Market, Right?

2min

70.

I'm a Normal Person Under Our Current Educational System

3min

71.

Trade Is Good

2min

72.

Trade Is Good?

3min

73.

Were Negotiate Trade Agre?

2min

74.

Baby Formula - Can You Stop a Restriting Supply?

2min

75.

What's Chaos and Needs More Chaos?

3min

76.

The Most Common Answer for Order Among Other Guests

2min

77.

The Last Question Was the Last Question?

5min

78.

I'doper, I Wouldn't Discount Math.

2min

79.

How to Understand a Mathematical Problem

4min

80.

Doing Mass Is Not a Sacramental Good for You

4min

Zvi is a COVID forecaster, writer of thezvi blog, and game designer at emergents.

We discuss Magic the Gathering, chess and computability, learning curves, COVID projections, the CDC banning testing, immoral mazes, selection effects, psychological malleability, Robin Hanson and medicine, institutional incentives, egalitarianism, civilizational collapse, populism, libertarianism, and pure math.Note: the timestamps are somewhat inaccurate due to editing and intro.

0:00 MTG

19:00 chess, computability, and learning

36:30 COVID projections

49:00 CDC banning tests + immoral mazes

57:15 narrative hedging

1:14:05 selection vs. malleability

1:21:20 Robin Hanson and medicine

1:55:00 institution building

2:00:05 egalitarianism and social competition

2:13:30 were we in a golden age?

2:15:30 decivilization

2:18:50 economies of scale

3:03:00 chaos and order

3:14:05 pure math

Zvi’s Blog:

http://thezvi.wordpress.com/

Zvi on Twitter:

https://twitter.com/TheZvi

Episode with Samo Burja:

Episode with Robin Hanson:

CDC banning COVID tests:

https://www.science.org/content/article/united-states-badly-bungled-coronavirus-testing-things-may-soon-improve

Moral Mazes book:

https://www.amazon.ca/Moral-Mazes-Corporate-Managers-Updated/dp/0199729883

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Remember Everything You Learn from Podcasts

Save insights instantly, chat with episodes, and build lasting knowledge - all powered by AI.