Zvi Mowshowitz - How the Worst People in Society Bungled a Pandemic
From the New World
Don't Assume Competence, Right?
"I assume too much confidence or weren't actually believing in expedentials," he says. "There's always more delays than you think there are, and no, it's not just engineers thatyou should always just assume bat they can take at least double the time." He predicts things that didn't happen were likely to happen, although not superlikely to happen. 'When i did omecron, and got it more correct, that was mostly me literally just trusting expedentials to be real'
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