Excess Returns The Fourth Turning Is Now | Neil Howe on the Coming Financial Reset and Who Rebuilds What’s Broken
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May 17, 2025 
Neil Howe, a world-renowned expert on generational theory and author, discusses his insights on societal shifts. He explores the identity crisis of Gen X as they transition into leadership roles and contrasts their individualism with Millennials' collective investing mindset. Howe highlights the significance of community in times of chaos, the cycling nature of history, and how past crises can shape the present. He also questions whether the next societal reboot will be driven by state or community efforts, painting a vivid picture of what may come next.
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Lengthening Generational Cycles
- The generational cycle is lengthening due to slower transitions into adulthood and leadership roles.
- Young adults today face delayed milestones like marriage and career permanence, stretching societal rhythms.
Gen X's Latchkey Origins
- Gen X grew up feeling neglected and doomed, fostering individualism and contrarianism.
- They distrusted institutions and preferred personal survival over collective action, unlike Millennials.
Lost Generation Parallels Gen X
- The Lost Generation faced a world in decline and grew into protective, pragmatic leaders.
- Their parental style was cautious and shaped by traumatic historical events, paralleling Gen X's future role.
