Behavioral Grooves Podcast Eight Years Grooving: How to Decide | Annie Duke (Republish)
Oct 16, 2025
Annie Duke, decision-making expert and author, shares her insights on improving choices in uncertain situations. She introduces concepts like the Archer’s Mindset and Free Rolls, emphasizing educated guessing and decision processes. Duke challenges common beliefs about intuition, arguing it can mislead, and advocates for the power of negative thinking to foresee potential failures. Her practical tools aim to enhance goal-setting and outcomes, making decision-making easier and fostering happier lives.
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Adopt An Archer's Mindset
- Annie Duke defines the Archer's Mindset: treat guesses as educated attempts to hit a defined target.
- Narrow the target by identifying bounds and mediating judgments to improve decision accuracy.
Use Negative Thinking To Prepare
- Imagine how you might fail and list obstacles to anticipate problems before they occur.
- Use those failure scenarios to reduce probabilities of failure and create contingency plans.
Phelps Visualized Failures Too
- Michael Phelps visualized both success and potential failures during training.
- When his goggles came off in a race, his pre-visualized plan helped him win despite the problem.
