AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Market Miscalculations
- Betting markets and financial markets incorrectly predicted the referendum outcome.
- This unusual conjunction of inaccurate predictions highlights a disconnect between economic speculation and political reality.
Personal Reactions
- Phimbud felt uneasy during the campaign, hiding under the duvet as results came in.
- The personal and analytical combined to create a strange pre-vote mix.
Postal Vote Impact
- Postal votes, cast earlier, may have swung the referendum towards Leave.
- If public opinion shifted back to Remain in the final days, this could explain the discrepancy.