Is This the Beginning of a DTC Comeback?: State of the Industry
Nov 19, 2024
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Join Jeremiah Promer, Founder of NoCommerce, and Yarden, Co-founder of Veros, as they dissect the current DTC landscape. They reveal why growth for seven-figure brands has plateaued and analyze shifting ad performance on platforms like Meta and TikTok. Discover rising consumer optimism that might impact holiday sales and gain insights into the emerging AppLovin ad network. These industry experts provide sharp takes on consumer spending trends, hinting at exciting possibilities for Black Friday and beyond!
The stagnation in DTC growth for seven-figure brands contrasts sharply with eight-figure brands that exhibited a 10% growth, highlighting disparity in brand performance.
A significant shift in consumer sentiment suggests increased optimism about the economy, potentially influencing holiday shopping behavior positively for e-commerce brands.
Deep dives
Industry Performance Overview
In October, there was a noticeable stabilization in the direct-to-consumer (DTC) sector, particularly among seven-figure brands, which experienced flat growth compared to the previous year. This stagnation indicated that while the decline had ceased, there were no significant signs of recovery. Conversely, eight-figure brands maintained a 10% year-over-year revenue growth, reflecting a disparity in performance across different brand scales. The overall median growth rate was effectively zero, suggesting a complex landscape where many brands were struggling while others achieved notable success.
Advertising Spend and Performance Trends
October saw a mix of changes regarding advertising spend across various platforms, with Meta experiencing a rise in expenditures despite a slight decrease in return on ad spend (ROAS). This increase was contrasted by declines seen in Google, where both spending and ROAS fell more significantly post-election. The fluctuations mirrored consumer sentiment leading up to and following the elections, where a significant portion of advertisers either reported deteriorated or stable performance. Interestingly, Meta's robust algorithmic capabilities seemed to insulate it from the electoral impacts better than its competitors, suggesting a resilience in its ad performance amid market fluctuations.
Positive Economic Sentiment Emerging
For the first time since tracking began in March 2023, a shift in consumer expectations regarding the economy indicated a net positive outlook among buyers. This sentiment, gauged through surveys conducted immediately after purchases, revealed an increasing belief that the economy would improve in the near future. This change in consumer confidence was accompanied by observed increases in revenue for many e-commerce brands leading into Black Friday, suggesting that the perception of economic stability could positively influence holiday buying behavior. As brands prepare for the key shopping season, these insights provide a potentially optimistic view for upcoming sales performance.
Dive into the latest insights from the ecommerce industry with our October State of Industry Report! Join Taylor, Steve, Jeremiah, and Yarden as they break down October’s key data trends, highlight growth opportunities, and share surprising insights about ad performance, consumer sentiment, and what it all means for Black Friday and beyond.
In this episode:
Why DTC growth for seven figure brands has stagnated.
The latest on ad performance for Meta, Google, and TikTok.
Everything you need to know about AppLovin: the new ad network taking ecommerce by storm.
Insights into consumer spending habits and rising discount rates.
Why consumer optimism about the economy might shake up your holiday sales strategy.
PLUS: Get a sneak peek of our upcoming special report on AppLovin and why every DTC marketer needs to pay attention!