

499: The Way to Make Better Decisions, with Annie Duke
9 snips Nov 9, 2020
Annie Duke, a former professional poker player turned decision-making expert, joins the conversation to share valuable insights on how to improve choices. She critiques the traditional pro/con list, advocating for decision trees that map out outcomes and probabilities. Duke emphasizes the importance of reducing biases by leveraging independent thinking in group settings. She also highlights the power of negative thinking in anticipating challenges, allowing for more strategic preparation. Transform your decision-making skills with her practical tips!
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Resulting
- Resulting is when you judge decision quality solely on the outcome.
- Good outcomes can come from bad decisions, and vice-versa.
Drunk Driving Example
- Driving home drunk, but arriving safely doesn't make the decision good.
- Outcomes don't define decision quality.
Avoid Pro/Con Lists
- Avoid using pro/con lists for decision-making.
- They amplify existing biases and lack crucial dimensions.