Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Black Swans, Fragility, and Mistakes

1

Introduction

00:00 • 4min

2

I'm a Jew, I've Seen Hamlet, Also.

04:28 • 2min

3

Can't Forecast, What Should We Do?

06:24 • 5min

4

Forecasting Is Harder Than You Think

11:05 • 4min

5

The Bigger the Sample, the More Data the Better the Forecast

14:36 • 3min

6

Is Forecasting a Waste of Time?

17:31 • 3min

7

Is It Better to Have a Map for Chicago Than No Map?

20:40 • 2min

8

Debt Is the Opposite of Redundancy

22:13 • 2min

9

I Don't Like to Give People a Second Chance

24:40 • 2min

10

Large Companies Are More Fragile

27:07 • 2min

11

Regulators Are What Got Us Here

29:01 • 3min

12

The True False Is Not What Matters

32:14 • 3min

13

The Third Dimension of Uncertainty

35:34 • 2min

14

Is Ocavet a Good Thing?

37:09 • 2min

15

Mother Nature Doesn't Ice Things

38:42 • 2min

16

We've Gotten Better at Healing the Human Body

40:40 • 4min

17

How Do You Get Fit? Is It a Good Idea? Or a Bad Idea?

44:44 • 2min

18

You Run on Rocks, You Can Break Your Nose

47:12 • 2min

19

Convexity Is a Complex Instrument

49:36 • 2min

20

Convexity of Error, Is a Very Simple Idea.

51:25 • 4min

21

The Effect of the Errors in Pricing an Option

55:11 • 2min

22

I'm a Traiter of Hyperslation

57:02 • 2min

23

Is It a Myth or a Misconception?

58:58 • 3min

24

The Appeal of Design, Not Trial and Error, Isn't It?

01:01:44 • 2min

25

Er, I Have Not Been Corrupted So Far.

01:03:55 • 3min