Forecasting Is Harder Than You Think

I like the metaphore you use in the essay is, well, it's better to have some map than no map. And that makes at, i want to come back to that, but that makes forecasting difficultad. Instead of telling people osi what doesn't work, people get offended. Ptiy hone of the best thare lives in it. I got into a state of rage because an economist sitting next me said he liked deficits.