Forward Guidance cover image

Forward Guidance

The “Short Everything” Trade | Teddy Vallee

Apr 28, 2022
46:58

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Teddy Vallee focuses on anticipating future growth and positioning trades accordingly, leading to successful returns as rates moved higher and equities and bonds were negatively affected.
  • Valley believes bond yields could go lower due to slower growth and easing of inflation, indicating a favorable risk-reward ratio for bonds.

Deep dives

Teddy Valley's Process and Short Positions

Teddy Valley, Chief Investment Officer and Founder of Para Valley Global, discusses his process for identifying short positions. He explains that his firm focuses on anticipating where growth will be in the next 9 to 12 months and positioning their trades accordingly. Valley mentions that he was shorting everything except crude oil due to his belief in robust growth and mispricing in the market. The Federal Reserve's actions and their disconnect from inflation and growth indicators influenced his view. Valley's strategy led to successful returns as rates moved higher and equities and bonds were negatively affected.

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