3min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

The “Short Everything” Trade | Teddy Vallee

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

The Fed's Bias on Inflation

I think it's going to be very difficult for Powell to backtrack on the current path, especially when we're one to two hikes and into the hiking cycle. So I think his bias has to be negative. Down 30%, maybe he says, look, we break even inflation expectations have come down significantly. And what do you do if that actually happens, Teddy? I think you buy gold and gold miners.

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