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Forward Guidance

Latest episodes

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18 snips
Jan 10, 2025 • 1h 14min

Global Yields Nearing A Breaking Point | Weekly Roundup

This week delves into the encroaching growth scare and how the dollar is triggering a global margin call. Discussions spotlight global yields nearing a breaking point and the housing affordability crisis plaguing many. The challenges of public spending and strong job reports provide a backdrop to navigating current economic uncertainties. Impact on the housing market from rising yields is examined, raising concerns over homeownership amidst skyrocketing mortgage rates.
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60 snips
Jan 8, 2025 • 42min

FLASH UPDATE: The Dollar Rally Isn’t Over — What It Means For Risk Assets | Joe McCann

Joe McCann, Founder and CEO of Asymmetric Fund, discusses the intersection of macroeconomics and crypto. He shares his tactical bearish outlook on risk assets and analyzes the ongoing dollar rally. The conversation dives into Bitcoin's resilience against dollar fluctuations and the potential for a strategic Bitcoin reserve. McCann also presents his crypto shopping list and highlights key investment opportunities for 2025, stressing the need for adaptive financial strategies in a shifting economic landscape.
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24 snips
Jan 8, 2025 • 60min

Higher Bond Yields To Wreak Havoc In 2025 | Jonny Matthews

Jonny Matthews, a renowned portfolio manager with experience at Brevin Howard and Citigroup, shares his expertise on the economic landscape. He discusses the implications of Fed policy on rising bond yields and the resilience of the U.S. labor market. Matthews sheds light on the potential consequences of the Trump Administration's market strategies and offers insights into investment tactics for uncertain times, focusing on the intricate relationship between productivity, inflation, and economic growth.
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47 snips
Dec 28, 2024 • 1h 9min

How Macro Trading Veterans Are Thinking About 2025 | David Cervantes & DCP

David Cervantes, a macro investor at Pinebrook Capital, shares valuable insights on the economic landscape, including reflections on the FOMC's recent decisions. He draws parallels between today's market conditions and the 1990s, discussing how traders manage their emotions during volatility. The conversation touches on the impact of recent Federal Reserve policies, expectations for 2025, and strategies for navigating inflation amidst political shifts. Cervantes emphasizes the importance of a resilient mindset in adapting to market changes.
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9 snips
Dec 23, 2024 • 58min

Debating The Impact Of A Bitcoin Strategic Reserve | Travis Kling

Travis Kling, CIO of Ikigai Fund, shares his insights from a background in traditional finance. He discusses financial nihilism and the logistics of a U.S. Bitcoin strategic reserve, pondering its potential impact on global monetary policy. Kling dives into how this reserve might reshape Bitcoin's price trajectory and the interplay with central bank dynamics. He also tackles wealth inequality stemming from quantitative easing and the philosophical implications for Bitcoin owners, highlighting a cautious optimism for its future.
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15 snips
Dec 21, 2024 • 1h 11min

Post-FOMC Fallout: Did The Fed Get It Right? | Weekly Roundup

Danny Dayan, a financial expert known for his sharp insights on economic trends, joins the discussion on the recent Federal Reserve decisions. They dissect the volatility spikes in the markets and the ongoing risks posed by China's economy. The conversation shifts to the labor market's state and the implications of interest rate strategies. They also delve into how geopolitical tensions are reshaping investor sentiments and market dynamics, including the importance of understanding historical precedents and adapting strategies for future growth.
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36 snips
Dec 18, 2024 • 52min

This Is Peak Hawkishness From The Fed | Joseph Wang

Joseph Wang, an expert on the Federal Reserve and financial markets, dives into the latest Fed decisions and their impact on economic projections. He predicts more than two rate cuts next year and expresses a bearish outlook on US equities for 2025. The discussion highlights the Fed's hawkish shift and the market's volatile reaction, while exploring the intricacies of the Fed's communication strategy. Wang also analyzes how geopolitical factors influence asset dynamics, including currencies and commodities like gold and Bitcoin.
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48 snips
Dec 14, 2024 • 1h 3min

How Long Can The Goldilocks Market Last? | Weekly Roundup

This discussion delves into the small-cap trade and upcoming Fed decisions, tackling whether inflation fears are exaggerated. The impact of China’s balance sheet recession and the evolving dynamics of Bitcoin and MicroStrategy are explored. Conversations on housing affordability add depth, while the complex relationship between US-China affairs reveals competitive undertones. Innovative blockchain solutions promise a fee-free experience, all while analyzing market trends amidst geopolitical tensions, making for an insightful and engaging listen.
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71 snips
Dec 12, 2024 • 1h 7min

Rethinking Rate Cuts: Are We Fueling Inflation Or Controlling It? | Warren Mosler

Warren Mosler, a renowned economist and pioneer of modern monetary theory, tackles the complexities of monetary policy and its real-world effects. He discusses how interest rates influence economic health and the misconceptions surrounding trade deficits. The conversation highlights the intricate connection between government spending and inflation, emphasizing the need for a shift in fiscal strategies. Mosler critiques outdated economic models and argues that budget deficits shouldn't be feared in a fiat currency system, offering fresh perspectives on today’s economic challenges.
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30 snips
Dec 7, 2024 • 1h 10min

The Post-Payrolls Debate: Growth, Inflation, And Rate Cuts | Weekly Roundup

This week features Capital Flows, a macroeconomic expert and author known for analyzing market trends. They dive into the November jobs report and the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts. The conversation touches on the complexities of ongoing inflation, contrasting economic indicators, and the implications of credit market dynamics. Additionally, they explore the evolution of blockchain technology and its transformative power in finance, particularly regarding gas-free transactions, and the intricate relationship between labor, inflation, and Bitcoin in today's economy.

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