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The Writ

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Oct 22, 2021 • 21min

Episode #17 - Ballot of choice

This week on The Writ podcast:In the news* Alberta makes history, electing a woman as mayor of Calgary and someone of South Asian origin as mayor of Edmonton for the first time.* Elections Canada announces how many seats each province will have after the next re-distribution is completed.* Alison Coffin resigns as leader of the Newfoundland and Labrador NDP after party delegates vote in favour of a leadership review.* A provincial byelection will be held in Prince Edward Island on November 15.Polls of the week* The Ontario PCs hold a narrow lead against a divided opposition, according to a Léger/Postmedia poll.* Jason Kenney’s United Conservatives trail the Alberta NDP by 16 points, according to a Mainstreet Research/Western Standard survey.Questions and answers* Ranked ballots. That’s the question.* Who is the B.C. Liberal leadership race frontrunner?* Has a defeated premier ever made a comeback?* Who was my voice in Ottawa and Quebec City when I was a wee baby?#EveryElectionProject* The 1971 Newfoundland and Labrador election, marking the first defeat for Canada’s last Father of Confederation.If you have any questions you’d like me to answer in next week’s episode, leave a comment below, tweet me or send me an email. You can also listen to episodes of The Writ on YouTube by subscribing to my channel here.This week’s podcast title musical inspiration courtesy of Fatboy Slim: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thewrit.ca/subscribe
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Oct 15, 2021 • 41min

Episode #16 - You say yes, I say no

This week on The Writ podcast:In the news* Annamie Paul is still leader of the Green Party, at least until some (more) legal issues are settled.* Judicial recounts confirm the election results in two federal ridings.* Nova Scotia finally sets a fixed election date — in the summer?* Dave Cournoyer of Daveberta.ca and the Daveberta Podcast joins the show to discuss the upcoming municipal, senatorial and referendum votes in Alberta. You can watch the interview on YouTube:Polls of the week* The Angus Reid Institute gives us an update on which premiers are up and which are down (hint: most are down). Poll here, my write-up is here.Questions and answers* What will be remembered as the lasting legacy of the federal election?* What are the odds the country goes to the polls before 2025?* Could any provincial premiers or party leaders make the jump to federal leadership?#EveryElectionProject* The 1919 Ontario election, which introduced Ontarians to the concept of UFOs (and not the flying kind).If you have any questions you’d like me to answer in next week’s episode, leave a comment below, tweet me or send me an email. You can also listen to episodes of The Writ on YouTube by subscribing to my channel here.This week’s podcast title musical inspiration courtesy of The Beatles:Thanks for listening! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thewrit.ca/subscribe
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Oct 8, 2021 • 24min

Episode #15 - I want you to want me (as leader)

In case you missed it already this week, I’ve started my series of post-election analyses of each party’s performance. Check them out below (subscribers only):* For the Liberals, a win’s a win — but also a warning* Conservatives still losing where they need to winThis week on The Writ podcast:In the news* Erin O’Toole holds a meeting with his new caucus for the first time and emerges with his leadership intact, for now.* A judicial recount overturns the preliminary results in a Quebec riding, meaning not a single seat changed hands in the province.* Former Manitoba premier Brian Pallister resigns his seat of Fort Whyte.* Saskatchewan NDP leader Ryan Meili passes a leadership vote, though not exactly with flying colours.* Sabrina Nanji of Queen’s Park Observer joins the podcast for her first update on the election goings-on at the Ontario legislature.Polls of the week* François Legault is sitting pretty in the latest Léger poll out of Quebec.* Jason Kenney is sitting…ugly?…in a new ThinkHQ poll out of Alberta.Questions and answers* What do the federal results in Quebec say about next year’s provincial election?* What’s the new path to a majority for the Liberals or Conservatives?* Notable second-place finishes on election night.#EveryElectionProject* The 1987 New Brunswick election, in which voters decided an opposition was optional.If you have any questions you’d like me to answer in next week’s episode, leave a comment below, tweet me or send me an email. You can also listen to episodes of The Writ on YouTube by subscribing to my channel here.This week’s podcast title musical inspiration courtesy of Cheap Trick:Thanks for listening and have a great Thanksgiving weekend! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thewrit.ca/subscribe
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Oct 1, 2021 • 27min

Episode #14 - Exit Music (For An Election)

This week on The Writ podcast:In the news* Annamie Paul resigns as Green Party leader.* The Liberals won the mail ballots — and it could have mattered a lot had the election been closer. Read more here.* The polls (mostly) nailed the election, again. Read more here.Polls of the week* A post-election “exit poll” from Léger shows us what motivated people to vote for each party.Questions and answers* What’s the value of reporting the national numbers in polls or election results?* What were some big misses in the polls in Canadian elections?* What are the odds anybody other than the Greens tries to replace their leader?#EveryElectionProject* The 1937 Ontario election, won by the Ontario Liberals under the hard-livin’, Mackenzie King-hatin’, Maurice Duplessis-lovin’ Mitch Hepburn.If you have any questions you’d like me to answer in next week’s episode, leave a comment below, tweet me or send me an email. You can also listen to episodes of The Writ on YouTube by subscribing to my channel here.This week’s podcast title musical inspiration courtesy of Radiohead:Thanks for listening! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thewrit.ca/subscribe
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Sep 24, 2021 • 0sec

Episode #13 - It's over!

This week on The Writ podcast, Aaron Wherry, senior writer with the CBC and author of Promise and Peril: Justin Trudeau in Power, joins me to discuss the results of Monday’s election.In the news* Will this have been the last election for Trudeau and what will he do with this next term in office?* The Conservatives and the decisions they need to make about where to go next with the party — more to the centre or back to the right.* Whether the New Democrats should (or can be) satisfied with their modest gains.* Maxime Bernier and the future of the People’s Party.* What the durability of the Bloc Québécois, as well as other parties, means for the future of minority governments in Canada.* Also: does Baden-Württemberg have a great electoral system, or the greatest electoral system?Questions and answers* Did the People’s Party actually cost the Conservatives any seats?* What should we make of the Greens’ victory in Kitchener Centre?* Biggest upset of the night.#EveryElectionProject* The 1965 Canadian federal election, which returned a parliament that looked nearly the same as the one elected in 1963.If you have any questions you’d like me to answer in next week’s episode, leave a comment below, tweet me or send me an email. You can also listen to episodes of The Writ on YouTube by subscribing to my channel here.This week’s podcast title musical inspiration, from the inimitable Roy Orbison:Thanks for listening! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thewrit.ca/subscribe
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Sep 17, 2021 • 1h 12min

Episode #12 - Qui sait, qui sait, who knows?

This week on The Writ podcast, Philippe J. Fournier of 338Canada joins me to pore over the electoral map with only a few days to go before the votes are cast and the ballots are counted. We take a cross-country tour of all the country’s battlegrounds.Then, we play a game of over/under that you’ll want to listen to.Finally, on this week’s instalment of the #EveryElectionProject, I’m finishing up the series on recent elections by casting back all the way to the 2019 Canadian federal election.SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENT!On Monday night, I hope you’ll join me for my 2021 Federal Election Livestream on YouTube! The show will start at around 6:30 PM ET and will run until the wee hours of the morning when, hopefully, we’ll have a result. I’ve invited some friends and special guests who will be popping by throughout the night.You can find the stream here.It’ll be a lot of fun and I hope to see you there!I’ll have a special bonus episode for subscribers up early (early) Monday morning after the last polls have been published.Until then, thanks for listening!This week’s podcast title musical inspiration: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thewrit.ca/subscribe
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Sep 10, 2021 • 47min

Episode #11 - Do you hear the People's Party?

This week on The Writ podcast:In the news* David Coletto is the CEO of Abacus Data and hosts inFocus with David Coletto. He joins me to discuss how the race has unfolded so far and how the Liberal-NDP switchers are the key electorate that could decide the outcome of the election.* Coletto also describes the PPC’s emerging voting coalition, what is contributing to their rise and whether their vote will turn out on election day.Questions and answers (with David)* How to explain the difference in the PPC’s support between online and IVR polls?* How do pollsters weed out dishonest respondents and avoid being tripped out by demographic unicorns?* What’s the best way to estimate who will turn out to vote?Polls of the week* A run-down of where the federal parties stand. Read more in Wednesday’s article on The Writ.#EveryElectionProject* The 2015 Canadian federal election.This week’s podcast title musical inspiration:If you have any questions you’d like me to answer in next week’s episode, leave a comment below, tweet me or send me an email. You can also listen to episodes of The Writ on YouTube by subscribing to my channel here.Thanks for listening! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thewrit.ca/subscribe
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Sep 3, 2021 • 52min

Episode #10 - I've just seen a Face-à-Face

This week on The Writ podcast:In the news* Corey Hogan can be heard regularly on The Strategists podcast. He’s also a former head of communications for the Alberta governments under Rachel Notley and Jason Kenney, and is now a vice-president at the University of Calgary. We discuss the dynamics of the campaign, how voters, the media and political parties digest polls and how leaders prepare for debates.Polls of the week* A run-down of where the federal parties stand. Read more in Wednesday’s article on The Writ.* The potential impact of Thursday’s French-language debate.* A look at how many candidates are running — or, if you’re the Greens, not running — in this election.Questions and answers* What’s the value of asking people who they think will win?* Is the PPC impacting the Conservative campaign?* What’s my approach when I watch debates?#EveryElectionProject* The 2011 Canadian federal election.This week’s podcast title musical inspiration:If you have any questions you’d like me to answer in next week’s episode, leave a comment below, tweet me or send me an email. You can also listen to episodes of The Writ on YouTube by subscribing to my channel here.Thanks for listening! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thewrit.ca/subscribe
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Aug 26, 2021 • 43min

Episode #9 - So why not take all of Ontario

This week on The Writ podcast:In the news* Sabrina Nanji covers Ontario’s provincial politics in her newsletter, Queen’s Park Observer. She joins me to discuss how the federal election is viewed from the provincial capital, and how Ontario’s parties are getting involved — or staying away from — the federal campaign.* As a special offer for readers and listeners of The Writ, you can subscribe to Queen’s Park Observer and get 25% off the subscription rate for the next year. Just enough to get you through the 2022 Ontario election!Polls of the week* A run-down of where the federal parties stand. Read more in Wednesday’s article on The Writ.Questions and answers* Should we pay attention to the polls beyond Ontario?* With the polls as they are, could Maxime Bernier have qualified for the debate ?* What’s up with the “Big Mo” in election campaigns?#EveryElectionProject* The 2008 Canadian federal election.This week’s podcast title musical inspiration:If you have any questions you’d like me to answer in next week’s episode, leave a comment below, tweet me or send me an email. You can also listen to episodes of The Writ on YouTube by subscribing to my channel here. Thanks for listening! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thewrit.ca/subscribe
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Aug 18, 2021 • 57min

Episode #8 - Farewell to Nova Scotia

This week on The Writ podcast:In the news* The CBC’s Aaron Wherry joins me to discuss the first week of the federal election campaign and offers some hot takes on the results in Nova Scotia.Polls of the week* A run-down of where the federal parties stand. Read more in today’s article on The Writ.Questions and answers* What happened with the polls in Nova Scotia?* Why does the NDP struggle to secure an enduring foothold in urban centres outside of Western Canada?* Will the other party leaders bring up Annamie Paul’s leadership issues at the debate?#EveryElectionProject* The 2006 Canadian federal election.This week’s podcast title musical inspiration:If you have any questions you’d like me to answer in next week’s episode, leave a comment below, tweet me or send me an email. Thanks for listening! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thewrit.ca/subscribe

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