American Monetary Association

Jason discusses the topic of decentralized finance (defi) and its potential advantages in the cryptocurrency world. He also touches on the issue of the US housing shortage and how it presents opportunities for real estate investors. Additionally, Jason highlights the benefits of joining the “Fire Your Managers” program and announced an upcoming Empowered Investor pro meeting that will host a guest who will present a special “tenant insurance” product. Finally, he invites everyone to join their community to grow their real estate portfolio. Jason then interviews Professor Campbell R. Harvey from Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business and the author of DeFi and the Future of Finance as they talk about the yield curve and Decentralized Finance. Harvey discusses the phenomenon of an inverted yield curve, which has predicted every recession for the last several decades. Harvey expressed his concern about the current inverted yield curve, which has been in place for 12 months, traditionally leading to a recession. Jason and Campbell also discuss the significance of an inverted yield curve and the potential of decentralized finance (defi) in the financial world. They identified problems with the current financial system and the possibility of solutions through DeFi, such as the need for an alternative to the SWIFT system for wire transfers and the ability to store and use value in transactions. With the advent of WEB 3.0 and the decentralization of monetary assets, DeFi is truly set to revolutionize the world in all economic aspects especially finance.     Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Jason welcomes Selma Hepp, the Chief Economist of Core Logic. They discuss the challenging state of the real estate market and noted that the market was facing issues due to rising mortgage rates, which led to a decline in transactions and mortgage refinances. Additionally, she highlighted that existing homeowners were benefiting from this situation due to their low mortgage rates and increasing equity. Selma also pointed out that the volume of home sales was down by 18% last year and was expected to decline by a similar amount this year, while mortgage origins were likely to be down by 30-35%. She also mentioned that the inventory of available homes for sale was at its lowest level historically, a quarter of where it was before the great recession. Despite this challenging market, Selma didn’t expect much change until the spring of next year.     Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Jason welcomes Gretchen Morgenson as they discuss how private equity’s surge into single-family homes is reshaping urban landscapes and pricing out regular investors and first-time home buyers. They highlight concerns about these firms prioritizing profit over property maintenance, creating a semi-monopoly in the market. The impact stems from massive capital injections, largely sourced from public pension funds seeking high returns. Private equity’s historical roots in leveraged buyouts are discussed, noting the industry’s evolution and its current reliance on institutional investors. The conversation touches on rising interest rates affecting the real estate model and potential challenges for private equity firms. In closing, Gretchen warns individual investors of the industry’s growing interest in their capital.   Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Jason discusses the state of the economy, focusing on the role of the Federal Reserve and potential supply chain issues. He also shared his opinion on the strength of the US dollar and Argentina’s decision to adopt it. Towards the end, Jason addressed the issue of inflation and its steady fall since June of the previous year. He also discussed changes in active inventory across various local real estate markets, comparing it to 2019, and highlighted the importance of inventory in the real estate market. Then Jason and Brian Beaulieu, Chief Economist at ITR Economics, talks about the state of the global economy, particularly in China and Europe and the potential for deflation in the real estate market in the early 2030s, the expected trajectory of inflation and the Federal Reserve’s response to it, and the state of the US housing market. They also highlight the resilience of the real estate market, even in a high-interest-rate environment, and the importance of being unleveraged in the United States and in demographically superior states. #EconomicOutlook #RealEstateInvesting #GlobalEconomicTrends #ChinaEconomicGrowth #DemographicChallenges #Inflation #InterestRates #HousingMarket #Affordability #CulturalShifts https://www.CalculatedRiskBlog.com/2023/01/housing-january-30th-weekly-update.html https://ITREconomics.com/ Key Takeaways: Jason’s editorial 1:29 Defeating inflation, US Dollar hegemony and Argentina 4:30 FED- ready for the next crisis 7:08 Local inventory numbers 10:44 Shadow demand vs. shadow supply Brian Beaulieu interview 12:21 Income property- getting the middle class wealthy 14:12 Macro view on a global scale 15:38 Chart: China is weakening and will continue to weaken 16:25 Chart: Historic opportunity- India is the most populous country 18:27 Making the case for deflation in the 2030’s 22:21 Chart: This is only round one of inflation going forward 25:36 Capitulation- buyers will eventually accept less 29:46 How it all relates to the rental housing market   Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Jason talks about the resilient real estate market as the cost of money decreases and housing affordability improves. With mortgage rates dropping and the promise of increased affordability by the Fed, he anticipates significant price increases in the low-inventory market. Highlighting the 700,000-home deficit compared to normal inventory, Jason emphasizes the simple supply and demand dynamics driving potential price surges. He also urges viewers to consider the upcoming cruise for a unique learning and networking experience. Overall, the episode provides insights into the current real estate landscape, emphasizing the market's strength and predicting positive trends. Then Jason interviews Alex J. Pollock from the Mises Institute. The discussion revolves around the unpredictability of financial markets, particularly in contrast to more deterministic fields like astronomy. Pollock argues that economic and financial forecasts, even by prominent figures like central bankers, often prove inaccurate due to the interactive and recursive nature of human ideas, intents, and strategies within these systems. The conversation delves into the challenges of predicting economic and financial futures and emphasizes the significance of relying on self-corrective market properties rather than central authorities. #RealEstate #Affordability #SupplyAndDemand #MarketTrends #InvestingTips #Economics #FinancialMarkets #CentralBanking https://empoweredinvestorlive.com/ https://www.AlexJPollock.com/ Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 2:04 Total inventory for sale- how the year ended 6:06 Join the cruise https://empoweredinvestorlive.com/ 7:25 US SFR Total Available Inventory- Weekly, by Year Alex J. Pollock's interview 11:02 "Not like reality and math" 14:35 Applying these principles to the housing market 17:04 Housing prices and the International Union for Housing Finance 19:18 Talking bubbles 21:33 Giant inventory housing shortage 24:58 Entry level housing or the New home market 28:12 The great asset and liability   Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Today Jason talks about “shadow demand” in the housing market. He emphasizes the impact of demographics, particularly the 25 to 34 age group, where about 16% are still living at home, representing untapped demand. With 11 million potential homebuyers in this category, Jason explores the dynamics of supply and demand, debunking predictions of a looming shadow supply. He also touches on factors like low inventory, the influence of baby boomers staying in their homes, and potential wildcards like geopolitical risks affecting the housing market’s trajectory. Then Jason and Bridger finish their conversation as they delve into the housing market, the economy, and financial trends, noting that millennials and Gen Z are gradually entering it, causing a housing inventory shortage. Despite rising interest rates, the market still faces low inventory levels. The conversation shifts to the potential impact on banks due to an inverted yield curve, bond values, and the housing market’s reliance on new construction. They also explore the possibility of a banking crisis and discuss the Fed’s role in managing interest rates. Jason concludes with insights on the strength of the U.S. dollar, the perceived threat of BRICS nations, and the inevitability of central bank digital currencies, raising concerns about financial freedom. #peterschiff #RobertKiyosaki #ShadowDemand #SupplyAndDemand #RealEstate #HousingMarket #Economy #InterestRates #Banking #USDollar #BRICS #CBDC   Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Jason discusses the impact of mortgage status on the US housing market and wealth distribution, highlighting the growing wealth gap and the formation of two socioeconomic classes due to approximately 40% of US homeowners not having a mortgage. He also touched on the performance of cyclical markets, particularly in luxury markets in Miami, New York, and California, attributing low sales volume to low inventory and high buyer demand. Lastly, he mentioned an upcoming cruise event and a monthly Zoom meeting for empowered investor pro members, in which they’ll be talking about insurance for landlords against tenant damage. Then Bridger Pennington of FundLaunch.com interviews Jason Hartman, renowned real estate expert. They delve into macroeconomics, market trends, and the impact of interest rates on housing affordability. Hartman emphasizes the unique value of today’s low-rate mortgages and challenges predictions of a housing crash. The discussion also covers inflation-induced debt strategies and the current housing inventory shortage. Insightful, forward-looking, and packed with actionable advice for investors, Jason provides a comprehensive understanding of the real estate landscape. https://www.FundLaunch.com #bridgerpennington #RealEstateInsights #HousingMarketDecode #MarketTrendsUnveiled #PropertyInvestmentWisdom #FinancialFreedomJourney #DebunkingRealEstateMyths   Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Jason interviewed Melody Wright, a housing analyst and strategist, about the housing market. Melody shared her experience in the mortgage industry and her transition into real estate technology. They discussed her pessimistic outlook on the housing market due to issues like inventory shortage, short-term rental properties, and ‘shadow leverage’. Melody emphasized that she wasn’t predicting a crash but was highlighting the challenges. Melody and Jason also discussed the delay in recording Covid data in Los Angeles County and the importance of triangulating data from multiple sources. They also touched upon the impact of a frozen housing market and the role of short-term rentals in the market. They also discussed the oversaturation of the short-term rental market due to Airbnb’s growth strategy, and the trend of institutional investors pulling back. They concluded the conversation with a discussion on the current state and future prospects of the housing market, including the shift towards rental properties. She also discusses the oversaturation of the real estate market, particularly in the build-for-rent and multi-family sectors. She points out that the boom in building luxury properties and the overpricing of homes have resulted in an oversupply. Many builders have ignored the need for affordable housing, and there might be a need for government intervention to subsidize write-downs on overpriced properties. Wright also highlights the impact of demographic shifts, with fewer babies being born and boomers retiring, and their effects on housing trends.     Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Jason welcomes back to the show Joseph Brown of Heresy financial as they discuss the global conflicts, the emotional detachment of Americans from these events, and the potential dangers of policymakers’ decisions. They highlighted the role of profit in perpetuating war and concluded with a cautionary note about the potential for ongoing conflict if war remains profitable. They also discussed the philosophy of ‘packaged commodities’ investment, arguing that investing in real estate with subsidized financing and tax benefits can be more profitable than investing in commodities directly. They noted the potential for increased capital flow and immigration into the US due to economic devastation and war around the world. Additionally, they advised investing in scarce resources, with a preference for those at the end product stage. Joseph expressed his long-standing optimism on residential real estate and predicted that prices would continue to rise. Jason emphasized the need to consider the housing market in a global context, noting that American real estate remains relatively affordable compared to many other countries. They concluded that the key factor in the housing market is the balance between the number of people needing housing and the number of available places to live. #RealEstateInvestment #GlobalInstability #RealEstateMarket #Inflation #CapitalFlight #USRealEstate #WealthPreservation” Key Takeaways: 0:29 Extreme profits in a world in chaos 4:53 Pushing the prices of resources higher 8:16 Packaged commodities investing and wealth creation and destruction 11:42 Action steps and the great American real estate market 16:21 Bullish on residential real estate with data to prove it 21:37 Chart on mortgage currently on property 23:58 The 6 year millennial lag and shadow demand 26:09 Stepping into the housing market vs staying out of it 29:13 The Reverse Repo Facility 38:16 The inverted yield curve and the housing market 41:02 The jobs market and the gig economy   Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

In this episode, Jason interviews Mike Zlotnik from the Tempo Family of Funds https://tempofunding.com/ to gain insights into the current state of the real estate market. Mike discusses the impact of high-interest rates on commercial and residential properties, particularly in the retail and office space sectors. He mentions that transaction volumes have significantly declined, with some properties being sold at a distress due to the need for immediate sales. However, multi-family apartments and self-storage properties continue to perform relatively well. Mike highlights the challenges faced by value-add projects that were acquired with bridge loans and are now reaching maturity. These assets may need to be sold at a discount if refinancing is not feasible. Additionally, he mentions the difficulty in raising cash for refinancing within syndications, as investors may not be willing to contribute more funds. Despite the challenges, Mike believes that the market may improve if interest rates stabilize or decrease.  They also discuss various economic topics, including unemployment, inflation, central planning, entitlements, and the real estate market. They touch upon the impact of technology and artificial intelligence on employment, the shortage of workers in the housing construction sector, and the shift from fix-and-flip properties to new construction properties in the real estate market. They also mention the decline in hard money loan volume for fix-and-flip projects and the need for more distressed properties in order to stimulate the market. While they have different perspectives on how these issues can be resolved, they agree that the current economic situation presents challenges and uncertainties. #realestate #marketupdate #commercialproperty #residentialproperty #transactionvolume #interestrates Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial Jason's editorial 0:27 Greetings from the beautiful Danube river 1:12 Shortage of houses affecting people and areas harder than other 2:53 We have 700 videos on our Main YouTube channel https://www.youtube.com/@JasonHartmanRealEstate/videos 3:22 Itinerary for the next few weeks Mike Zlotnik interview 5:00 Welcome Mike Zlotnik; an overview of different asset classes 8:10 Transactional volume for office space is down by 75% 9:12 The residential market trend is going down 11:30 Extending or renegotiating deals 14:10 The banks and the creature form Jekyll Island 15:45 Prediction on what the FED is going to do 18:32 Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities, residential market and the overall economy 21:22 Entitlements and a giant shortage of workers especially in the housing sector 23:03 Hard money lending, the build-to-rent model and the shortage of inventory 27:57 Awesome mortgage rates equals non-distressed home sellers 30:42 Home builders are starting at such high prices 32:07 Being opportunistic in this current environment and buying build-to-rent properties   Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com