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Behind the Markets Podcast

Latest episodes

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Jan 12, 2024 • 52min

Behind the Markets Podcast: Eric Golden

Eric Golden, an expert in crypto and its overall asset class, joins Jeremy Schwartz on the podcast. They discuss the recent fee war in crypto, criminal use of bitcoin, zero fee ETFs, and the future of the crypto market. Eric shares his thoughts on Ethereum and talks about Canopy, his company's role in digital assets management.
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Jan 5, 2024 • 52min

Behind the Markets Podcast: Kevin & Chris

Show from 1/5/24 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel start the year off by reviewing the holiday market. The Prof explains productivity growth as the difference between inflation and wage increases. He notes that next week's reports will give a better look into how inflation is doing currently, but everything looks positive. Kevin joins as co-host to ask the Prof about the current job market.The Prof finishes by giving us his prediction for the 10 year. (14:59) Chris joins Jeremy and Kevin to talk about the interesting opportunities in the private credit space. Chris explains how credit is becoming its own distinct asset class. Jeremy asks Chris to break down for the average investor where the yields would be on the index. Kevin and Jeremy bring up commercial real estate, mortgage rates and whether people should be concerned. Kevin gives us insight into how the portfolio reflects the risks of credit and the current market. Guest: Kevin Flanagan serves as Head of Fixed Income Strategy as part of WisdomTree’s Investment Strategy group. In this role, he contributes to the asset allocation team, writes fixed income-related content and travels with the sales team, conducting client-facing meetings and providing expertise on WisdomTree’s existing and future bond ETFs. In addition, Kevin works closely with the fixed income team. Chris Acito founded Gapstow in 2009 and is responsible for managing all client engagements. Prior to Gapstow, Chris was the Global Chief Operating Officer for Investcorp’s Hedge Fund Group, which allocated $8.5 billion in client and proprietary capital. Prior to Investcorp, Chris enjoyed a ten-year career as a management consultant, beginning with Booz Allen & Hamilton's Banking & Capital Markets practice. In 1998 he joined John Casey, Kevin Quirk, and others to build a business strategy consulting firm which focused exclusively on the global investment management industry. Chris began his career as an economist. He served on the President's Council of Economic Advisers in both the GHW Bush and Clinton administrations, where his areas of expertise were financial markets and macroeconomic policy. He was also the Managing Director of the Center for Population Economics, a Chicago-based group dedicated to researching issues in health economics under the direction of Nobel Prize winner Robert W. Fogel. Chris holds a BA in Economics from Duke University and an MA in Economics from the University of Chicago. He is Board Chair Emeritus Trustee of The Peddie School in Hightstown, New Jersey. Chris serves on the investment committees of Peddie and The New York Community Trust. Learn more about Kevin: https://www.wisdomtree.com/investments/kevin-flanagan Learn more about Chris: https://www.gapstow.com/#team Follow Kevin on Twitter: @KevinFlanaganWT Follow Chris on LinkedIn: ​​linkedin.com/in/chris-acito-44414a9
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Dec 22, 2023 • 52min

Behind the Markets Podcast: Jim Bianco

Show from 12/22/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel end the year with a discussion on the Professor's prediction on what markets will do in the new year. The Prof gives his opinion on two strong topics about the Fed. He doesn’t believe there will be any slowing of the market however if it does the Fed is ready. Jim joins in to talk with the Prof about money supply. (15:23) Jeremy continues with Jim as they discuss Bianco Research, the new index his company has created and his outlook for 2024. Jim talks about the TIPS yield and how they’ve changed in the past few years. Jeremy asks Jim about his thesis on inflation being sticky. Jim breaks down how covid affected the Chinese economy. Jim gives his view on bond volatility and what’s depressing equity. Jim gives his thoughts on credits and where he feels the market will head going into the new year. Guest: Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C. Since 1990 Jim’s commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Unencumbered by the biases of traditional Wall Street research, Jim has built a decades-long reputation for objective, incisive commentary that challenges consensus thinking. In nearly 20 years at Bianco Research, Jim’s wide ranging commentaries have addressed monetary policy, the intersection of markets and politics, the role of government in the economy, fund flows and positioning in financial markets. Learn more about Jim: https://www.biancoresearch.com/about-us/ Follow Jim on Twitter: @biancoresearch
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Dec 14, 2023 • 53min

Behind the Markets Podcast: Eric Biegeleisen

Show from 12/15/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel talk about the Fed this week. The Prof is surprised by how flexible the Fed has been. He states that this flexibility has shown promise for the markets future of a soft landing due to the previous rate hikes. The Prof gives his opinion on bond duration rates. If there is a recession, he says that bond rates will go down. (10:44) Eric joins Jeremy, beginning with his agreement to what the Prof has stated. Eric talks about what 3EDGE models their assets on and how they determine risk in their client portfolios. The two converse on how high US margins are compared to history and the rest of the world. Eric discusses how 3EDGE researches and builds formulas to predict future growth in the market. He talks about standout areas highlighted by the company's models and where they keep eyes on for future growth. They talk about gold and its importance in the market. The two cover a wide range of market assets and what 3EDGE views as important areas to track and who would benefit from their services. Guest: Eric Biegeleisen serves as Partner, Deputy Chief Investment Officer & Investment Committee Member at 3EDGE Asset Management. Eric is responsible for the research operations at 3EDGE. His research focuses on discovering and exploring the interconnectedness of global capital markets through quantitative and qualitative analyses. Learn more about Eric: https://3edgeam.com/team/ Follow Eric on Twitter: @EBiegs_3EDGE
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Dec 8, 2023 • 53min

Behind the Markets Podcast: Uma Moriarty

Show from 12/08/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel begin today's show by covering all the data coming in from the last two weeks. The Prof states that the data is relatively weak, but not recession weak. There is no inflationary pressure that indicates further inflation. (9:21) Jeremy is then joined by Uma to discuss her view on the interest rate impact on the real estate market. She talks about the modern economy and how it relates to real estate and CenterSquare. Chris and Jeremy ask Uma about rental rates on data centers spaces, REITS and e-commerce logistic cycles. Uma talks about how CenterSquare structures technology in its warehouses. They also cover metrics related to the REIT and private real estate investing asset class. Guest: Uma Moriarity is the Senior Investment Strategist and Global ESG Lead for CenterSquare Investment Management. She focuses on investment strategy and leads thought leadership across the Firm’s public and private real estate platforms. She is part of the listed real estate investment team and serves on CenterSquare’s Private Real Estate Debt Investment Committee. Prior to joining CenterSquare, she spent three years in corporate strategy and planning at ExxonMobil in Houston. Learn more about Uma: https://www.centersquare.com/team-members/uma-moriarity/ Follow Uma on Twitter: @uma_moriarty Chris Gannatti is Head of Research at WisdomTree Europe Follow him on Twitter: @CGannatti
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Dec 1, 2023 • 53min

Behind the Markets Podcast: Liza Tobin

Show from 12/01/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel are back from the holidays this week to summarize how great November was. Professor Siegel gets into detail about Fed fund action, not only currently but an estimate into the future as well. (6:42) Liza joins Jeremy to discuss what is going on between the US and China. She covers topics of discussion between both governments and its effects on future markets. Liza talks about SCSP and what they do. The two discuss tech, social media and the risks against US interests. Liza explains the issue of moving infrastructure back to America and what needs to happen to succeed. Guest: Liza Tobin is the senior director of research and analysis for economy at the Special Competitive Studies Project. Before joining SCSP, she served on the National Security Council staff as China director, where she led the development of multiple US strategies and policies related to China, including on trade and economics, climate and the environment, military issues, and China’s influence beyond the Indo-Pacific. Before serving at the National Security Council, Ms. Tobin worked for more than a decade in various capacities as a China specialist for the US government, including as a senior adviser at the US Indo-Pacific Command and an economic analyst at the CIA, and in various roles in the private sector and academia. Learn more about Liza: https://itif.org/person/liza-tobin/ Follow Liza on Twitter: @Liza_D_Tobin
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Nov 17, 2023 • 52min

Behind the Markets Podcast: Brian Drubetsky

Show from 11/17/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel discuss their views on the Fed and inflation this week. CPI and PPI came in below expectation. The Prof states the economy is not falling apart but it should be watched closely. He believes the Fed should avoid raising interest rates at this time. Brian joins in to state he agrees with the Prof and to ask him about GDP and if productivity will help grow the trend. (9:32) Jeremy continues his conversation with Brian as they begin by discussing small cap value opportunities and what he does at Schafer-Cullen Capital. Brian gets into detail on why small caps generally outperform over the long term which benefits their portfolios. Jeremy asks Brian about small cap risks and where flows are headed. Brian talks about the outlook of real estate, the housing market and the love of consumer spending. Brian finishes by talking about utilities, his founder's book and an overview on the future of Schafer-Cullen. Guest: Brian Drubetsky joined the Firm in 2013 and currently serves as the Firm's Co-Portfolio Manager on the Small Cap Value Equity strategy and is a member of the Investment Team. Previously, he was a Research Analyst at Manatuck Hill Partners and a Research Consultant at Spencer Capital, both long-short equity hedge funds. He also held Associate positions at Neuberger Berman and KPMG. Brian received his M.B.A. from Columbia Business School in 2009 where he participated in the Value Investing Program and graduated magna cum laude from George Washington University in 2002 with a B.B.A. Learn more about Brian: https://www.cullenfunds.com/Brian-Drubetsky/ Follow Brian on LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/brian-drubetsky-494a692
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Nov 10, 2023 • 1h 15min

Behind the Markets Podcast: Richard Bernstein

Show from 11/10/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel begin this week by discussing the Profs views on current market activity. He mentions some noteworthy changes in the job market, a jump in inflationary expectations, and which reports to watch for next week. He says it is way too early to predict what will happen in December. (5:59) Richard Bernstein joins the Professor and Jeremy at The Union League in Philadelphia to discuss many facets of the market today. Key topics from the interview include the equity risk premium, stocks versus bonds, small caps, what sectors RBA likes, and bond portfolios. Richard talks about where his firm stands and how they construct their portfolios. Richard states globalization is contracting and that the United States future lies in becoming independent again. They also discuss AI and long term interest set by the government. Guest: Richard Bernstein is the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer of Richard Bernstein Advisors LLC. As CIO, Mr. Bernstein is a member of the firm's Investment Committee which manages multi-asset, global equity, and fixed income ETF strategies for financial advisors and institutions. Learn more about Richard: https://www.rbadvisors.com/our-people/ Follow Richard on LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/richardbernstein
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Nov 3, 2023 • 53min

Behind the Markets Podcast: Paul & Tim

Show from 11/03/23 Hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel begin this week with a current market overview. Professor Siegel states that the market didn’t fare too well for lower rates. He goes over the current labor market report which has dropped. He discusses Powell and the market increases and decreases. The Professor confirms he still believes there is no fear of a recession. Productivity rebound could reverse the current market state. (10:01) Paul and Tim join Jeremy today to discuss the banks. Paul talks about TARP 2.0 and his view on troubled asset release programs. Tim joins the discussion adding his view on the current banking industry and where Fed funds are going. They talk about Fed loan programs, extensions and Fed insensitivity to the banking system. Tim covers risks related to interest rates and the differences between today and the past. Paul talks about what he does at Bridge Tree Partners and his day to day goals. Tim and Paul discuss their views on small and large banks. Guests: Paul Graham is a programmer, writer, and investor. In 1995, he and Robert Morris started Viaweb, the first software as a service company. Viaweb was acquired by Yahoo in 1998, where it became Yahoo Store. In 2001 he started publishing essays on paulgraham.com, which now gets around 25 million page views per year. In 2005 he and Jessica Livingston, Robert Morris, and Trevor Blackwell started Y Combinator, the first of a new type of startup incubator. Since 2005 Y Combinator has funded over 3000 startups, including Airbnb, Dropbox, Stripe, and Reddit. In 2019 he published a new Lisp dialect written in itself called Bel. Tim Coffey was a Vice President and Research Analyst at FIG Partners LLC, a premier investment banking and research firm specializing in community banks. Before joining FIG Partners, Tim was a Research Analyst at Green Street Capital Management. Prior to that, he covered the banking industry for several business publications in San Diego, California. Tim has more than 20 years of financial services experience. Tim received a B.A. degree in Economics from San Diego State University and both an M.B.A. degree and an M.S. degree in Financial Analysis from the University of San Francisco. Learn more about Paul: http://www.paulgraham.com/bio.html Learn more about Tim: https://www.janney.com/meet-janney/people/timothy-coffey Follow Paul on Twitter: @paulg Follow Tim on LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/timothy-n-coffey-a4857b7
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Oct 27, 2023 • 53min

Behind the Markets Podcast - Michael Green

Michael Green, an expert in the market, joins the discussion on mixed reactions in the market data and the potential impact of the new speaker elected by the government. He discusses wage increases, inflation, ETFs, betting on high rates, and the real estate market. Michael shares his opinion on option market day trading, macro strategies, high yield market, credit default swaps, and passive indexing's impact on the market.

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