
Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
This podcast takes a deep dive into the market-moving events to cut through the noise and help you identify what really matters. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Chief Market Strategist, Ryan Detrick and VP, Global Macro Strategist, Sonu Varghese, and is a product of the Carson Investment Research Team.The information included herein is for informational purposes and is intended for use by advisors only, and should not be copied, reproduced, or re-distributed without the consent of CWM, LLC. Carson Partners offers investment advisory services through CWM, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Carson Coaching and CWM, LLC are separate but affiliated companies and wholly-owned subsidiaries of Carson Group Holdings, LLC. Carson Coaching does not provide advisory services.
Latest episodes

Mar 27, 2024 • 54min
Talking About the Resilient Economy with Neil Dutta (Ep. 78)
Neil Dutta from RenMac LLC challenges slowing economic growth consensus, discusses real-world indicators, commodity shocks impact, Federal Reserve actions. Delve into entrepreneurship, productivity, AI in investing. Topics include fiscal responses, market conditions, concerns about lack of positioning for upside risk scenarios, and potential impact of AI on productivity.

Mar 20, 2024 • 52min
Why This Isn't a Bubble (Ep. 77)
Discussing whether the market is in a bubble, predictions on potential interest rate cuts, analysis of inflation factors, impact of defense spending on the economy, and overview of economic trends. Exploring market bubbles, valuations, and investing in small and mid-cap stocks. Looking at NVIDIA's earnings growth, Federal Reserve decisions, and economic factors like wage growth and inflation. Analysis of shelter, food, and service inflation, trends in portfolio management services, and positive outlook on the economy with strong labor market.

Mar 13, 2024 • 53min
Is Anyone Bearish? (Ep. 76)
Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese analyze the recent market rally, job reports, interest rates, and specific stocks like Nvidia, Tesla, and Amazon. They discuss market sentiment, productivity, Jerome Powell's speech impact, and the relationship between gold, real interest rates, and storage costs for investment strategies.

5 snips
Mar 6, 2024 • 47min
Election Special with Libby Cantrill of PIMCO (Ep. 75)
Financial experts discuss the impact of the upcoming election on markets, Biden's chances, key battleground states, fiscal policy, and more. They analyze the US dollar, government spending deficit, and state polling. The discussion also covers the Federal Reserve's policies, historical market performance during elections, and the importance of diversity in financial analysis.

Feb 28, 2024 • 48min
It Is a NVIDIA World, We Are Just Living in It (Ep. 74)
Ryan Detrick and Sonu Varghese analyze NVIDIA's impressive earnings growth, market trends, strategic investment preferences, importance of managing volatility, Warren Buffett's investment strategies, and leveraging for wealth building.

Feb 21, 2024 • 48min
Did the Economy Actually Slow Down? (Ep. 73)
Ryan Detrick and Sonu Varghese analyze economic indicators, market trends, and inflation metrics to assess the pace of economic growth. They discuss stock market performance, inflation trends, retail sales, and industrial production data, comparing the current economic slowdown with previous years. The podcast provides insights into GDP growth, income trends, and the impact of younger generations on historical progress.

Feb 14, 2024 • 48min
Talking about Bitcoin ETFs with Matt Hougan (Ep. 72)
Bitcoin ETFs are one of the most anticipated and debated developments in the crypto space. What are the implications for the market, the economy, and crypto's future? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, speak with Matthew Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management about the impact of Bitcoin ETFs on the market, offering a new investment avenue. They explore Bitcoin's role as an asset class or currency within traditional portfolios. Ryan and Sonu also cover the CPI data, its implications for inflation, and market expectations.Listen to the episode to learn about:The Consumer Price Index (CPI) dataThe stock market’s performance, historical seasonality, and the likelihood of a market pullbackThe increase in household net worth and credit card debt, highlighting the overall financial situation of consumersThe significance of Bitcoin ETF approval and its impact on financial advisors and investorsFund flows from GBTC to new Bitcoin ETFsAdding Bitcoin to portfolios, its historical returns, volatility, and the potential benefits for investorsThe likelihood of Ethereum ETFsShort-term and long-term drivers of Bitcoin’s valueAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Matthew Hougan: LinkedIn: Matthew HouganX: Matt Hougan Bitwise Asset ManagementConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseAbout Our Guest:Matt Hougan is a well-known expert in the fields of cryptocurrency, ETFs, and financial technology. He currently serves as the Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management, which is the world's largest provider of cryptocurrency index funds and manages over $1.5 billion in assets.Before this, he was the CEO of ETF.com and Inside ETFs. During his tenure, he played a key role in developing the world's first ETF data and analytics system, the most popular ETF media platform, and the world's largest ETF conference.Matt serves as a board member for Equbot and is also a strategic advisor to several startups related to cryptocurrency and financial advising, such as Blockworks, Stratifi, and Exchange. He co-founded Advisor Circle, which is a product and content studio for the financial industry and also created the Futureproof Wealth Festival.

Feb 7, 2024 • 48min
Let the Good Times Roll (Ep. 71)
From the stock market hitting all-time highs to new tax bills, positive economic indicators, and even the Super Bowl, there's a lot to keep track of when it comes to finance and investing this week!In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, provide an in-depth analysis of current economic indicators, including jobs, productivity, and consumer confidence. They also touch on the potential for a stock market breather in February amidst election buzz. Additionally, they examine a new tax bill that could inject more money into the economy and give the stock market a boost. Ryan and Sonu discuss: The stock market hitting all-time highs, historical February performance, and potential market consolidationA bipartisan tax bill moving through Congress and its potential impact on business and individual financesAn analysis of the Super Bowl indicator and its historical correlation with stock market performanceThe Fed's approach to potential rate cuts and market expectationsA comparison of income-driven and credit-driven economic cycles and their impacts on the economyAn analysis of the strong job market report and consumer confidence dataThe importance of productivity in driving positive economic outcomes And more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese

Jan 31, 2024 • 46min
Unpacking a Mega Week (Ep. 70)
The stock market has been on a remarkable run, reaching new highs and defying expectations. But what are the drivers behind this rally, and what are the risks ahead? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, analyze recent market trends, including the stock market's highs and the implications of the upcoming Fed meeting. They explore the significance of January's market performance, particularly in the financial sector, as an indicator for the year's outlook. Additionally, they cover the recent GDP report, offering insights into the economy's trajectory.Ryan and Sonu discuss: The positive implications of the market making new highs and its historical performancePotential factors that could disrupt the bullish market trajectoryThe significance of January performance and its potential impact on the market for the rest of the yearForecasting the Fed’s decision and its potential impact on the marketThe strong fourth quarter GDP growth, consumption, and investment spending, and its implications on the economyComparison of nominal GDP growth in the US and ChinaAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Facts Vs. Feelings Ep. 69 - Can You Take Me HigherConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese

Jan 24, 2024 • 48min
Can You Take Me Higher (Ep. 69)
Now that the stock market has reached its all-time high, what can we expect?Which ways can the latest economic indicators and international markets affect us?In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dive into the stock market's recent all-time highs and their implications for investors. They also cover the importance of manufacturing and high-tech industries for the economy. Additionally, they examine global economic factors, including China's influence on markets and the comparative strengths of the US economy.Ryan and Sonu discuss: Historical data on all-time highs, patterns of all-time highs over the years, and the likelihood of continued all-time highsAnalysis of the increase in consumer confidenceAn analysis of retail salesThe importance of manufacturing for the economy, including high-paying jobs and the impact on supply chainsThe positive trends in high-tech production and its impact on the economyThe impact of Taiwan Semiconductor's growth on the semiconductor market and its implications for investorsThe impact of geopolitical tensions on the stock markets, particularly in Taiwan and ChinaThe impact of China's economic slowdown on global marketsA Comparison of the growth rates of the US and China economiesThe potential momentum in small and mid-cap stocks and the significance of GDP growthAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese